Cerro Largo vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Cerro Largo - Danubio
18/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Cerro Largo
37.8%
Draw
30.9%
Danubio
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 28.8% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 28.6% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Largo's form might have worsened.
  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Largo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Cerro Largo - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.08)
    2.99
    (3.2)
    2.99
    (3.45)
    7.1%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.
    • Cerro Largo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Danubio is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cerro Largo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Cerro Largo has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Danubio were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Cerro Largo - Danubio 3:2
    15.02.2025 Danubio - Cerro Largo 0:0
    20.10.2024 Cerro Largo - Danubio 0:0
    09.06.2024 Cerro Largo - Danubio 2:2
    20.04.2024 Danubio - Cerro Largo 1:1
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boston River32107:257
    2Penarol32016:336
    3Cerro Largo22004:136
    4Racing Montevideo22003:126
    5Danubio21102:114
    6Liverpool M21101:014
    7Miramar31024:403
    8Juventud31023:5-23
    9Defensor Sp21011:4-33
    10CA Cerro20111:2-11
    11Wanderers20110:1-11
    12River Plate20110:1-11
    13Plaza Colonia20111:3-21
    14Montevideo City20113:6-31
    15Nacional21015:500
    16Progreso20022:4-20

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