Result
1:0
18/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Olivera E. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
- 58', Romero S. 🟨,
- 61', Perez A. 🟨,
- 62', Fernandez S. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
- 62', Nunez S. ↓, Brandao G. ↑,
- 63', Mir M. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 63', Gabriel Rossetto ↓, Medina F. ↑,
- 63', Perez A. ↓, Gallard J. ↑,
- 65', Anasco M. 🟨,
- 72', Velazquez E. 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 0, Rossi F. ⚽,
- 83', Romero S. ↓, Amaro J. ↑,
- 83', Sanchez V. ↓, Velazquez A. ↑,
- 86', Mayada C. 🟨,
- 86', Ferrares B. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
- 90', Rossi F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo
35.2% | Draw
31.6% | Danubio
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Largo's form might have worsened.Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Danubio's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Largo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Danubio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerro Largo - Danubio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.08) |
2.94 ↓
(3.2) |
2.84 ↓
(3.45) |
7.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Danubio?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Largo: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Largo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.
- Cerro Largo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Danubio is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cerro Largo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cerro Largo has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Danubio?
Cerro Largo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Cerro Largo?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Danubio were as follows:
06.03.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Danubio
3:2
15.02.2025
Danubio
-
Cerro Largo
0:0
20.10.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Danubio
0:0
09.06.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Danubio
2:2
20.04.2024
Danubio
-
Cerro Largo
1:1
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Latest results of Danubio
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Esp | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Penarol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Danubio | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Albion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Juventud | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
