Cerro Largo vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
28
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
109
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
58
Corner Kicks
28
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Olivera E. , Anasco M. ,
  • 58', Romero S. 🟨,
  • 61', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 62', Fernandez S. , Peralta M. ,
  • 62', Nunez S. , Brandao G. ,
  • 63', Mir M. , Garcia M. ,
  • 63', Gabriel Rossetto , Medina F. ,
  • 63', Perez A. , Gallard J. ,
  • 65', Anasco M. 🟨,
  • 72', Velazquez E. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Rossi F. ,
  • 83', Romero S. , Amaro J. ,
  • 83', Sanchez V. , Velazquez A. ,
  • 86', Mayada C. 🟨,
  • 86', Ferrares B. , Bertocchi N. ,
  • 90', Rossi F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cerro Largo
35.2%
Draw
31.6%
Danubio
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 28.8% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 28.6% 26.5%

Cerro Largo - Danubio Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.64
(2.08)
2.94
(3.2)
2.84
(3.45)
7.2%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Largo: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Largo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.
    • Cerro Largo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Danubio is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cerro Largo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Cerro Largo has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Danubio were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Cerro Largo - Danubio 3:2
    15.02.2025 Danubio - Cerro Largo 0:0
    20.10.2024 Cerro Largo - Danubio 0:0
    09.06.2024 Cerro Largo - Danubio 2:2
    20.04.2024 Danubio - Cerro Largo 1:1
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional00000:000
    2CA Cerro00000:000
    3Liverpool M00000:000
    4Progreso00000:000
    5Danubio00000:000
    6Wanderers00000:000
    7Central Esp00000:000
    8Defensor Sp00000:000
    9Juventud00000:000
    10Penarol00000:000
    11Racing Montevideo00000:000
    12Cerro Largo00000:000
    13Maldonado00000:000
    14Boston River00000:000
    15Montevideo City00000:000
    16Albion00000:000

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