Result
3:2 penalties
06/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Italy | Como TV |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN South |
Spain | beIN Sports |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 1.37 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
16 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
5 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 9 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 37 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
23 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
68% (129/191) | 61% (142/233) |
Passes in the final third |
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63% (55/88) | 58% (52/89) |
Crosses |
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27% (6/22) | 26% (5/19) |
Tackles |
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65% (11/17) | 68% (13/19) |
Clearances Total |
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47 | 34 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Affonso M. ⚽, Hernandez B. (A),
- 39', Sanseviero L. 🟨,
- 45', Sosa L. 🟨,
- 45', Brasil M. 🟨,
- 45+6', 2 - 0, Affonso M. ⚽, Medina F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Fernandez J. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
- 46', Pintos I. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Cardozo E. ⚽, Nunez S. (A),
- 59', Affonso M. ↓, Otormin L. ↑,
- 60', Rossi F. ↓, Peraza F. ↑,
- 60', Rabino R. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
- 63', Cardozo E. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
- 66', Medina F. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
- 67', Hernandez B. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
- 67', Medina F. 🟨,
- 71', Sosa L. ↓, Millan J. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Fernandez S. (Pen),
- 89', Brasil M. ↓, Di Pippa A. ↑,
- 90+2', Arguello M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Romero S. 🟨,
- 90+9', Velazquez E. 🟥,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Fernandez S. (Pen),
- 1, Bertocchi N. (Pen),
- 2, Millan J. (Pen),
- 2, Otormin L. (Pen),
- 3, Romero S. (Pen),
- 3, Di Pippa A. (Pen),
- 4, Femia E. (Pen),
- 4, Contrera J. (Pen),
- 5, Peralta M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo 34.6% | Draw 33.4% | Danubio 32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danubio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cerro Largo - Danubio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.72 ↓ (2.88) |
2.81 ↓ (3.03) |
2.95 ↑ (2.56) |
6.2% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Danubio?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Danubio will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.7% – 80.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 0.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Recently Cerro Largo have a series of home games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:13 (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Largo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Danubio?
Cerro Largo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Cerro Largo?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Danubio were as follows:
15.02.2025
Danubio
-
Cerro Largo
0:0
20.10.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Danubio
0:0
09.06.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Danubio
2:2
20.04.2024
Danubio
-
Cerro Largo
1:1
02.09.2023
Danubio
-
Cerro Largo
2:0
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Latest results of Danubio
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal