Result
3:2
30/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 5
- Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (380/463) | 64% (170/266) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (380/463) | 64% (170/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 30% (22/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (58/97) | 52% (47/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Castro C. 🟨,
- 14', Gimenez G. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Ramirez Perdesen C. G. ⚽,
- 24', Dominguez C. 🟨,
- 34', Alfonso E. 🟨,
- 40', Aragon F. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Torres J. ⚽, Dominguez F. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Riquelme H. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Caceres Aguero F. M. ⚽, Sosa P. (A),
- 54', Caceres Aguero F. M. 🟨,
- 55', Martinez M. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 2, Araujo S. ⚽, Peralta F. (A),
- 64', Peralta F. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
- 64', Dominguez C. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 65', Araujo S. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 70', Alfonso E. ↓, Feliu J. ↑,
- 70', Caceres Aguero F. M. ↓, Bareiro S. ↑,
- 74', Fretes S. 🟨,
- 76', Iturbe J. ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
- 78', Fernandez B. 🟨,
- 80', Fernandez B. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
- 86', Torres J. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
- 87', Martinez M. 🟥,
- 88', Castro C. ↓, Ibarrola W. ↑,
- 90', Martinez A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Aliseda I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
59.2% | Draw
25.2% | 2 de Mayo
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.56) |
3.65 ↓
(3.77) |
5.88 ↑
(5.87) |
8%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1.
- Cerro Porteño is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- 2 de Mayo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is the team to beat.
- We predict that Cerro Porteño will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against 2 de Mayo?
Cerro Porteño has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Cerro Porteño?
2 de Mayo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo were as follows:
24.05.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
2 de Mayo
1:1
23.03.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Cerro Porteño
1:1
29.09.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
2 de Mayo
0:3
29.07.2024
2 de Mayo
-
Cerro Porteño
1:1
19.04.2024
2 de Mayo
-
Cerro Porteño
0:2
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Guarani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Sp. Luqueno | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Libertad Asuncion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ameliano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 11 | General Caballero JLM | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
