Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores
Football Copa Libertadores Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño
Result
0:1
13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.74
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
79% (411/518)63% (151/241)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.86
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
79% (411/518)63% (151/241)
Long passes
44% (29/66)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
62% (84/135)52% (48/93)
Crosses
18% (5/28)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.61
Throw-ins
2312
Fouls
1313
Tackles
67% (10/15)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5169
Clearances
2058
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.861.73
Goals prevented
-0.141.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Perez M. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Iturbe J. ⚽, Carrizo F. (A),
  • 20', Pacheco F. 🟨,
  • 25', Sosa L. ↓, Lora J. ↑,
  • 45+1', Lutiger R. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Torres J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lutiger R. ↓, Pasquini N. ↑,
  • 53', Chavez G. 🟨,
  • 53', Piris R. 🟨,
  • 63', Cabellos C. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
  • 70', Tavara M. 🟨,
  • 72', Pacheco F. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
  • 72', Chavez G. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
  • 73', Carrizo F. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
  • 73', Iturbe J. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
  • 80', Dominguez C. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
  • 84', Torres J. 🟥,
  • 89', Leon D. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
  • 90+6', Alarcon J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
35.2%		Draw
28.8%		Cerro Porteño
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 28.4% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 29% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • The chances for Cerro Porteño have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
    •

    Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.68 ↑
    (2.65)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.34)    		 2.63 ↓
    (2.64)    		 5.9%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH 0 - Cerro Porteño (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Cristal will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Sporting Cristal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cerro Porteño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Injury) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Gimenez G. (Inactive) Melgarejo R. (Knee Injury) Morel J. (Inactive) Viera W. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L. (Injury) Sosa M. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    24.04.2025 Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal 2:2
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    10.05.2025 Ayacucho - Sporting Cristal 1:4 ✺
    07.05.2025 Sporting Cristal - Bolívar 2:1 ✺
    28.04.2025 Sporting Cristal - Juan Pablo II College 3:2
    24.04.2025 Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal 2:2 ✺
    19.04.2025 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    10.05.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 0:2 ✺
    07.05.2025 Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras 0:2 ✺
    03.05.2025 Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion 1:2 ✺
    28.04.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño 1:3
    24.04.2025 Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal 2:2 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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