Result
0:1
13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (411/518) | 63% (151/241) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (411/518) | 63% (151/241) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (29/66) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (84/135) | 52% (48/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 1.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Perez M. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Iturbe J. ⚽, Carrizo F. (A),
- 20', Pacheco F. 🟨,
- 25', Sosa L. ↓, Lora J. ↑,
- 45+1', Lutiger R. 🟨,
- 45+4', Torres J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lutiger R. ↓, Pasquini N. ↑,
- 53', Chavez G. 🟨,
- 53', Piris R. 🟨,
- 63', Cabellos C. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
- 70', Tavara M. 🟨,
- 72', Pacheco F. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
- 72', Chavez G. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
- 73', Carrizo F. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
- 73', Iturbe J. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 80', Dominguez C. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
- 84', Torres J. 🟥,
- 89', Leon D. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
- 90+6', Alarcon J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sporting Cristal
35.2% | Draw
28.8% | Cerro Porteño
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)The chances for Cerro Porteño have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.65) |
3.27 ↓
(3.34) |
2.63 ↓
(2.64) |
5.9%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
- AH 0 - Cerro Porteño (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sporting Cristal will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Sporting Cristal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cerro Porteño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Gimenez G.
(Inactive)
Melgarejo R.
(Knee Injury)
Morel J.
(Inactive)
Viera W.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L.
(Injury)
Sosa M.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Cerro Porteño?
Sporting Cristal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sporting Cristal?
Cerro Porteño has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
24.04.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Sporting Cristal
2:2
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
