Result
2:1
19/06/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Alvarez E. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Larrosa E. (Pen),
- 38', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
- 40', Mir M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Ocampo M. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 59', Alvarez E. ↓, Haller R. ↑,
- 62', Anasco M. ↓, Affonso M. ↑,
- 62', Mir M. ↓, Piriz M. ↑,
- 66', Contrera J. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, Affonso M. ⚽,
- 70', Cuello E. ↓, Falconis O. ↑,
- 70', Miranda A. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
- 73', Bertocchi N. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 77', Caceres S. 🟨,
- 80', Caceres S. ↓, Mulet A. ↑,
- 83', Contrera J. ↓, Medina F. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Alonso M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cerro
33.3% | Draw
31.7% | Cerro Largo
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Cerro - Cerro Largo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↓
(3.2) |
2.89 ↓
(2.9) |
2.7 ↑
(2.47) |
6.9%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Cerro - Cerro Largo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Cerro Largo?
Cerro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Cerro?
Cerro Largo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Cerro Largo were as follows:
28.09.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Cerro
3:1
14.07.2024
Cerro
-
Cerro Largo
0:1
24.03.2024
Cerro
-
Cerro Largo
1:1
30.11.2023
Cerro Largo
-
Cerro
0:0
02.07.2023
Cerro Largo
-
Cerro
0:1
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 9 |
| 3 | Boston River | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Liverpool M | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Penarol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Juventud | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Danubio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Montevideo City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Miramar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | River Plate | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
