Result
1:1
10/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Jourdan E. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Correa L. ⚽,
- 30', Franca S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Quinteros B. ↓, Mederos R. ↑,
- 53', Amaro J. 🟨,
- 68', Garcia M. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
- 68', Jourdan E. ↓, Assis S. ↑,
- 70', Barros C. ↓, Rijo T. ↑,
- 74', Mederos R. 🟨,
- 74', 🟨,
- 77', Morales B. ↓, Cambon A. ↑,
- 78', Daguerre D. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 84', Aleman B. 🟨,
- 89', Pandiani A. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
- 89', Arguello M. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
- 89', Correa T. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
- 89', Amaro J. ↓, Valenzuela I. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Macelli A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo
42.9% | Draw
31.4% | Cerro
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)The ML Model estimate for Cerro aligns with the current prediction.
Cerro Largo - Cerro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.2) |
2.97 ↓
(3) |
3.62 ↑
(3.53) |
7.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Cerro?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Cerro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 3.
- Cerro Largo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Cerro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cerro Largo might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Cerro?
Cerro Largo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Cerro Largo?
Cerro has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Cerro were as follows:
07.09.2025
Cerro
-
Cerro Largo
0:1
19.06.2025
Cerro
-
Cerro Largo
2:1
28.09.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Cerro
3:1
14.07.2024
Cerro
-
Cerro Largo
0:1
24.03.2024
Cerro
-
Cerro Largo
1:1
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Albion | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Danubio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventud | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Progreso | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
