Result
3:1
31/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 22
- Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (402/487) | 85% (420/497) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (402/487) | 85% (420/497) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (24/71) | 61% (36/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (95/128) | 72% (104/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.16 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Olivieri M. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽, Sounas D. (A),
- 33', Frabotta G. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽, Palumbo M. (A),
- 37', Piacentini M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Sounas D. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽,
- 64', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 64', Bisoli D. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
- 64', Piacentini M. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
- 73', Palmiero L. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
- 73', Patierno C. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
- 75', Olivieri M. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
- 78', Enrici P. 🟨,
- 81', Castagnetti M. ↓, Arrigoni T. ↑,
- 86', Biasci T. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avellino
30.9% | Draw
30.9% | Cesena
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Avellino - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↑
(2.98) |
3.03 ↓
(3.04) |
2.46
(2.46) |
6.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avellino - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 0.
- Avellino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cesena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cesena could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Avellino: Iannarilli A.
(Inactive)
Insigne R.
(Calf Injury)
Izzo A.
(Inactive)
Kumi J.
(Injury)
Rigione M.
(Inactive)
Simic L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Cesena: Mangraviti M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Cesena?
Avellino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Avellino?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Cesena were as follows:
09.11.2025
Cesena
-
Avellino
3:0
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 64:32 | 32 | 68 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
