Cesena vs Catanzaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena).

Serie B - Round 32
Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.98	1.36
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
18	16
Shots on target
6	3
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
7	5
Passes
87% (384/440)	89% (389/435)
Yellow cards
4	1
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.98	1.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.95	0.30
Total shots
18	16
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
7	10
Blocked shots
5	3
Shots inside the box
11	14
Shots outside the box
7	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
7	5
Touches in opposition box
25	26
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
12	15
Passes
87% (384/440)	89% (389/435)
Long passes
45% (18/40)	59% (19/32)
Passes in final third
79% (100/126)	82% (104/127)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.28	0.86
Throw ins
10	7
Fouls
15	12
Tackles
78% (7/9)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
41	44
Clearances
24	24
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.30	1.95
Goals prevented
-0.70	-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Liberali M. ⚽, Cassandro T. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', Vrioni G. ↓, Cerri A. ↑,
57', Ciervo R. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Cerri A. ⚽,
65', Petriccione J. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
65', Alesi G. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
70', Corazza T. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Piacentini M. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
76', Bastoni S. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
77', Pittarello F. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
77', Brighenti N. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
78', Cerri A. 🟨,
82', Zaro G. 🟨,
83', Liberali M. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
87', Nuamah P. 🟥,
87', Olivieri M. 🟨,
90+3', Shpendi C. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Berti T. ⚽,
90+6', Iemmello P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cesena
39.4%

Draw
27.4%

Catanzaro
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Cesena - Catanzaro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)	3.43 ↑ (3.28)	2.84 ↓ (3.18)	6.1% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Cesena - Catanzaro?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Catanzaro (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Recent form of Cesena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Catanzaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Catanzaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Cesena: Castagnetti M. (Inactive) Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Frabotta G. (Inactive) Magni V. (Injury) Mangraviti M. (Inactive)
There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A. (Injury) Oudin R. (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
Including home match between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Catanzaro?

Cesena has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Cesena?

Catanzaro has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Catanzaro were as follows:

27.12.2025 Catanzaro - Cesena 2:0

17.05.2025 Catanzaro - Cesena 1:0

01.02.2025 Catanzaro - Cesena 4:2

28.08.2024 Cesena - Catanzaro 2:0

Latest results of Cesena

17.03.2026 Mantova - Cesena 3:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Cesena - Frosinone 2:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Modena - Cesena 0:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Cesena - Monza 1:3 ✺

28.02.2026 Empoli - Cesena 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Catanzaro

14.03.2026 Padova - Catanzaro 1:3 ✺

08.03.2026 Catanzaro - Empoli 3:2 ✺

04.03.2026 Carrarese - Catanzaro 3:3 ✺

01.03.2026 Catanzaro - Frosinone 2:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Virtus Entella - Catanzaro 1:3 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	33	21	8	4	67:28	39	71
2	Frosinone	34	19	12	3	65:33	32	69
3	Monza	33	19	9	5	51:27	24	66
4	Palermo	34	18	11	5	55:28	27	65
5	Catanzaro	32	14	11	7	50:39	11	53
6	Modena	32	14	8	10	43:28	15	50
7	Juve Stabia	33	10	15	8	39:41	-2	45
8	Cesena	33	12	8	13	42:48	-6	44
9	Carrarese	33	10	12	11	44:43	1	42
10	Sudtirol	33	8	15	10	35:36	-1	39
11	Avellino	33	10	9	14	37:53	-16	39
12	Mantova	33	10	7	16	37:48	-11	37
13	Sampdoria	33	9	10	14	32:43	-11	37
14	Empoli	33	8	12	13	43:48	-5	36
15	Padova	33	8	10	15	32:45	-13	34
16	Entella	33	8	10	15	31:46	-15	34
17	Bari	33	8	10	15	33:51	-18	34
18	Pescara	33	7	11	15	46:59	-13	32
19	Spezia	33	7	9	17	32:49	-17	30
20	Reggiana	33	7	9	17	31:52	-21	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation