Result
2:0
27/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 18
- Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (318/381) | 87% (436/499) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (318/381) | 87% (436/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (16/46) | 50% (21/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (58/83) | 80% (132/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 33% (2/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Petriccione J. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Iemmello P. ⚽,
- 42', Zaro G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Bisoli D. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 0, Pittarello F. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
- 55', Frabotta G. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
- 55', Balde S. ↓, Blesa J. ↑,
- 55', Zaro G. ↓, Amoran P. ↑,
- 62', Petriccione J. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
- 63', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 73', Cassandro T. 🟨,
- 73', Bisoli D. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 77', Cisse A. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
- 77', Pontisso S. ↓, Buglio D. ↑,
- 81', Berti T. ↓, Arrigoni T. ↑,
- 86', Frosinini R. ↓, Di Chiara G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
38.3% | Draw
31% | Cesena
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Catanzaro - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.69) |
3.02 ↑
(2.88) |
3.03 ↑
(2.84) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Cesena will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 15.2% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Cesena (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Catanzaro is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cesena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cesena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Buglio D.
(Inactive)
Di Francesco F.
(Inactive)
Oudin R.
(Inactive)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
Seha S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cesena: Adamo E.
(Yellow Cards)
Bastoni S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Castagnetti M.
(Injury)
Guidi M.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Cesena?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Catanzaro?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Cesena were as follows:
17.05.2025
Catanzaro
-
Cesena
1:0
01.02.2025
Catanzaro
-
Cesena
4:2
28.08.2024
Cesena
-
Catanzaro
2:0
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
