Ceuta vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
3:2
26/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.25
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
71% (237/334)80% (358/449)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.061.46
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1422
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
71% (237/334)80% (358/449)
Long passes
35% (26/75)36% (24/67)
Passes in final third
47% (40/85)69% (92/134)
Crosses
15% (2/13)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.79
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
1215
Tackles
75% (18/24)85% (11/13)
Duels won
5954
Clearances
3419
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.462.06
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Zalazar K. ⚽, Matos Jose (A),
  • 34', Dzodic S. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Embarba A. ⚽,
  • 45+1', Jamelli 🟨,
  • 45+9', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Youness ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
  • 46', Lopy D. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
  • 46', Dzodic S. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
  • 46', Melamed N. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, de la Fuente K. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 2, Arribas S. ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
  • 70', Anuar 🟨,
  • 73', Bodiger Y. 🟨,
  • 74', Leo Baptistao ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
  • 79', Bonini F. 🟨,
  • 82', Monte N. 🟨,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Jamelli (Pen),
  • 87', Embarba A. 🟨,
  • 87', de la Fuente K. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
  • 87', Zalazar K. ↓, Caparros A. ↑,
  • 88', Munoz A. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
  • 88', Horta A. ↓, Thalys ↑,
  • 90+7', Bodiger Y. ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
  • 90+8', Ahmed A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceuta
30.6%		Draw
27.9%		Almería
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 27.1% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 26.7% 42.7%

Ceuta - Almería Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.05 ↓
(3.06)		 3.39 ↓
(3.48)		 2.29 ↑
(2.25)		 5.9%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Almería will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Ceuta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Almería is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Almería may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ceuta has had a series of away games.
    • Almería is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Bassinga A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Baba I. (Muscle Injury) Horta A. (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ceuta
    23.11.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Ceuta 2:1 ✺
    16.11.2025 Ceuta - Leganés 1:2 ✺
    02.11.2025 Córdoba - Ceuta 2:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 La Unión - Ceuta 0:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Almería
    22.11.2025 Leganés - Almería 0:3 ✺
    16.11.2025 Almería - Cádiz 3:0 ✺
    01.11.2025 Almería - Eibar 3:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Lorca Deportiva - Almería 0:2 ✺
    26.10.2025 Almería - Castellón 1:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander17112440:251535
    2Dep. La Coruna1795332:171532
    3Almeria1795333:221132
    4Las Palmas1685318:10829
    5Castellon1784527:21628
    6Burgos CF1674521:15625
    7Ceuta1774618:21-325
    8Valladolid1766520:15524
    9Gijon1773721:23-224
    10Cadiz CF1766516:18-224
    11Cultural Leonesa1772820:22-223
    12Cordoba1757521:22-122
    13Granada CF1748520:22-220
    14Malaga1654720:21-119
    15Leganes1747616:18-219
    16Albacete1654722:27-519
    17Huesca1754815:23-819
    18Real Sociedad B1753923:26-318
    19Andorra1746719:26-718
    20Eibar1745818:24-617
    21Mirandes1643917:26-915
    22Zaragoza1643913:26-1315

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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