Result
3:2
26/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (237/334) | 80% (358/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (237/334) | 80% (358/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (26/75) | 36% (24/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (40/85) | 69% (92/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Zalazar K. ⚽, Matos Jose (A),
- 34', Dzodic S. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Embarba A. ⚽,
- 45+1', Jamelli 🟨,
- 45+9', Lopy D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Youness ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
- 46', Lopy D. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
- 46', Dzodic S. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
- 46', Melamed N. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
- 54', 2 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, de la Fuente K. (A),
- 61', 2 - 2, Arribas S. ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
- 70', Anuar 🟨,
- 73', Bodiger Y. 🟨,
- 74', Leo Baptistao ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 79', Bonini F. 🟨,
- 82', Monte N. 🟨,
- 83', 3 - 2, Jamelli (Pen),
- 87', Embarba A. 🟨,
- 87', de la Fuente K. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
- 87', Zalazar K. ↓, Caparros A. ↑,
- 88', Munoz A. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
- 88', Horta A. ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 90+7', Bodiger Y. ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
- 90+8', Ahmed A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ceuta
30.6% | Draw
27.9% | Almería
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ceuta - Almería Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↓
(3.06) |
3.39 ↓
(3.48) |
2.29 ↑
(2.25) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Almería?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Almería will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Ceuta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Almería is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Almería may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ceuta has had a series of away games.
- Almería is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Almería: Chumi
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceuta: Bassinga A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Almería: Baba I.
(Muscle Injury)
Horta A.
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Almería?
Ceuta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Ceuta?
Almería has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Almería were as follows:
Latest results of Almería
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 49:32 | 17 | 41 |
| 2 | Castellon | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Las Palmas | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37:25 | 12 | 37 |
| 5 | Almeria | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 41:32 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Malaga | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 35 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Cadiz CF | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Gijon | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 32 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 28 |
| 13 | Andorra | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 | Albacete | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:34 | -7 | 27 |
| 15 | Leganes | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 26 |
| 16 | Eibar | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 25 |
| 17 | Cultural Leonesa | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 19 | Granada CF | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
| 20 | Huesca | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 23 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 21 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 23:37 | -14 | 17 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
