Chaves vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Chaves - Estoril Praia
Result
2:2
21/04/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 30
  • Referee: Almeida N. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.48
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
1411
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
42
Free Kicks
1212
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2323
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Fouls
1111
Red Cards
02
Yellow Cards
11
Attacks
10567
Dangerous Attacks
4244

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Carraca 🟨,
  • 19', Araujo T. , Pina W. ,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Correia J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Joao Basso ,
  • 62', Alvaro P. 🟨,
  • 63', Heriberto Tavares , Marques J. ,
  • 63', Guitane R. , Garcia Andrade F. ,
  • 63', Correia J. , Sanca L. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Garcia Andrade F. ,
  • 74', Raphael Guzzo , Paulo Victor ,
  • 76', Hernandez H. , Jo ,
  • 81', Essugo D. , Morim H. ,
  • 87', Cassiano , Joao Carlos ,
  • 90+13', Marcelo Carne 🟥,
  • 90+13', Alvaro P. 🟥,
  • 90+20', 2 - 2, Morim H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chaves
31.8%
Draw
29.3%
Estoril Praia
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 28.3% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Chaves - Estoril Praia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (2.59)
    3.25
    (3.31)
    2.44
    (2.64)
    5.2%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Chaves - Estoril Praia?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Estoril will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 1.
    • Chaves is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Estoril is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Estoril could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Chaves won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Estoril Praia were as follows:
    10.12.2023 Estoril Praia - Chaves 4:0
    18.03.2023 Estoril Praia - Chaves 0:2
    01.10.2022 Chaves - Estoril Praia 1:1
    Latest results of Chaves
    15.04.2024 Vizela - Chaves 0:1
    07.04.2024 Chaves - Portimonense 2:3
    29.03.2024 Benfica - Chaves 1:0
    11.03.2024 Gil Vicente - Chaves 0:0
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    13.04.2024 Estoril Praia - Braga 0:1
    08.04.2024 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 0:0
    30.03.2024 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:0
    10.03.2024 Benfica - Estoril Praia 3:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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