Result
2:2
21/04/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Almeida N. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 105 | 67 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', Carraca 🟨,
- 19', Araujo T. ↓, Pina W. ↑,
- 32', 1 - 0, Correia J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 1 - 1, Joao Basso ⚽,
- 62', Alvaro P. 🟨,
- 63', Heriberto Tavares ↓, Marques J. ↑,
- 63', Guitane R. ↓, Garcia Andrade F. ↑,
- 63', Correia J. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Garcia Andrade F. ⚽,
- 74', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
- 76', Hernandez H. ↓, Jo ↑,
- 81', Essugo D. ↓, Morim H. ↑,
- 87', Cassiano ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
- 90+13', Marcelo Carne 🟥,
- 90+13', Alvaro P. 🟥,
- 90+20', 2 - 2, Morim H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Chaves
31.8% | Draw
29.3% | Estoril Praia
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Chaves - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.59) |
3.25 ↓
(3.31) |
2.44 ↓
(2.64) |
5.2%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chaves - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Estoril will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 1.
- Chaves is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Estoril is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Estoril could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Chaves won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Estoril Praia?
Chaves has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Chaves?
Estoril Praia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Estoril Praia were as follows:
10.12.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Chaves
4:0
18.03.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Chaves
0:2
01.10.2022
Chaves
-
Estoril Praia
1:1
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
