Chaves vs Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
24/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 19
  • Referee: Araujo D. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
34
Yellow cards
52
Total shots
108
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
55
Corner kicks
34
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1315
Throw ins
1419
Fouls
1512

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Pereira M. , Arsenio (A),
  • 17', Pinho P. 🟨,
  • 30', Alves R. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Roberto , Kusso D. (A),
  • 45', Collard D. , Faria B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Esajas R. , Delgado J. ,
  • 46', Pinho P. , Bikoro F. ,
  • 54', Rocha L. 🟨,
  • 57', Muscat Z. 🟨,
  • 69', Joao Vasco , Silva J. ,
  • 69', Platiny , Martins R. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Tiago Almeida ,
  • 74', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
  • 78', Rocha L. , Danny ,
  • 78', Silverio , Teixeira M. ,
  • 80', Bikoro F. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Martins R. ,
  • 85', Roberto , Joao Pedro ,
  • 86', Kusso D. , Romero A. ,
  • 86', Muscat Z. , Carraca ,
  • 90+1', Danny 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chaves
45.7%
Draw
29.4%
Lusitânia
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 28% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 27.5% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Chaves - Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.94)
    3.2
    (3.34)
    3.78
    (3.91)
    7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chaves - Lusitânia?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chaves: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Chaves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chaves is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Chaves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Lusitânia were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Lusitânia - Chaves 2:2
    20.10.2024 Chaves - Lusitânia 2:0
    Latest results of Chaves
    17.01.2026 Benfica B - Chaves 1:0
    11.01.2026 Chaves - Marítimo 2:3
    20.12.2025 Chaves - Portimonense 0:1
    12.12.2025 Oliveirense - Chaves 2:3
    Latest results of Lusitânia
    18.01.2026 Lusitânia - Marítimo 0:4
    08.01.2026 Lusitânia - Leixões 2:2
    30.12.2025 Torreense - Lusitânia 0:1
    22.12.2025 Lusitânia - Oliveirense 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6Benfica B291011841:35641
    7Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    8FC Porto B281251136:35141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC281081037:44-738
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

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