Result
2:2
24/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 19
- Referee: Araujo D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Pereira M. ⚽, Arsenio (A),
- 17', Pinho P. 🟨,
- 30', Alves R. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Roberto ⚽, Kusso D. (A),
- 45', Collard D. ↓, Faria B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Esajas R. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
- 46', Pinho P. ↓, Bikoro F. ↑,
- 54', Rocha L. 🟨,
- 57', Muscat Z. 🟨,
- 69', Joao Vasco ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 69', Platiny ↓, Martins R. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Tiago Almeida ⚽,
- 74', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
- 78', Rocha L. ↓, Danny ↑,
- 78', Silverio ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
- 80', Bikoro F. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 2, Martins R. ⚽,
- 85', Roberto ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 86', Kusso D. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
- 86', Muscat Z. ↓, Carraca ↑,
- 90+1', Danny 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chaves
45.7% | Draw
29.4% | Lusitânia
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Chaves - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.94) |
3.2 ↓
(3.34) |
3.78 ↓
(3.91) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chaves - Lusitânia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chaves: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Chaves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Chaves is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Chaves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Lusitânia?
Chaves has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Chaves?
Lusitânia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Lusitânia were as follows:
16.08.2025
Lusitânia
-
Chaves
2:2
20.10.2024
Chaves
-
Lusitânia
2:0
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
