Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan
Result
2:0
26/07/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.300.35
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
78% (217/279)87% (460/531)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.300.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.840.20
Total shots
198
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
197
Passes
78% (217/279)87% (460/531)
Long passes
48% (27/56)55% (34/62)
Passes in final third
65% (73/113)63% (70/111)
Crosses
53% (8/15)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.53
Throw-ins
1120
Fouls
719
Tackles
77% (10/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4733
Clearances
2921
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.201.84
Goals prevented
0.20-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Delgado P. , Gan Chao (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wu Shaocong , Fan Shuangjie ,
  • 58', Muhmet N. , Yang Liyu ,
  • 59', Wang Ziming , Lin Liangming ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Letschert T. , Delgado P. (A),
  • 69', Guga , Feng Boxuan ,
  • 75', Cao Yongjing , Li Lei ,
  • 80', Li Y. , Dong Y. ,
  • 87', Romulo , Liao Rongxiang ,
  • 90+1', Delgado P. , Li Moyu ,
  • 90+7', Wang Gang 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chengdu Rongcheng
55%
Draw
23.6%
Beijing Guoan
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 24.6% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 25.4% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chengdu Rongcheng's performance.
  • Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Guoan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chengdu Rongcheng that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.98)
    3.97
    (3.85)
    4.37
    (3.44)
    5.4%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Beijing Guoan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chengdu Rongcheng has had a series of away games.
    • Chengdu Rongcheng is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Chengdu Rongcheng: Hu H. (Inactive) Kallon I. (Inactive) Wei Shihao (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Bai Yang (Inactive) Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) He Yupeng (Inactive) Zhang Yuan (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chengdu Rongcheng won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng 1:1
    14.09.2024 Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan 2:2
    05.05.2024 Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng 2:1
    29.10.2023 Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng 2:3
    03.07.2023 Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan 0:1
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Shenhua18142242:192344
    2Shanghai Port18115241:231838
    3Beijing Guoan18115238:201838
    4Chengdu Rongcheng18114335:152037
    5Shandong Taishan1884636:29728
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1884625:27-228
    7Zhejiang Professional1875635:28726
    8Dalian Yingbo1875619:24-526
    9Yunnan Yukun1874726:28-225
    10Qingdao West Coast1858524:27-323
    11Wuhan Three Towns1855825:34-920
    12Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18521122:38-1617
    13Henan Songshan Longmen18441027:33-616
    14Meizhou Hakka18341122:39-1713
    15Qingdao Hainiu18251115:29-1411
    16Changchun Yatai18221415:34-198

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League