Result
2:0
26/07/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (217/279) | 87% (460/531) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (217/279) | 87% (460/531) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (27/56) | 55% (34/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (73/113) | 63% (70/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Delgado P. ⚽, Gan Chao (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wu Shaocong ↓, Fan Shuangjie ↑,
- 58', Muhmet N. ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
- 59', Wang Ziming ↓, Lin Liangming ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Letschert T. ⚽, Delgado P. (A),
- 69', Guga ↓, Feng Boxuan ↑,
- 75', Cao Yongjing ↓, Li Lei ↑,
- 80', Li Y. ↓, Dong Y. ↑,
- 87', Romulo ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
- 90+1', Delgado P. ↓, Li Moyu ↑,
- 90+7', Wang Gang 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chengdu Rongcheng
55% | Draw
23.6% | Beijing Guoan
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chengdu Rongcheng's performance.Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Guoan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chengdu Rongcheng that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.98) |
3.97 ↑
(3.85) |
4.37 ↑
(3.44) |
5.4%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Beijing Guoan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Chengdu Rongcheng has had a series of away games.
- Chengdu Rongcheng is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Chengdu Rongcheng: Hu H.
(Inactive)
Kallon I.
(Inactive)
Wei Shihao
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Bai Yang
(Inactive)
Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
He Yupeng
(Inactive)
Zhang Yuan
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chengdu Rongcheng won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Chengdu Rongcheng won against Beijing Guoan?
Chengdu Rongcheng has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Chengdu Rongcheng?
Beijing Guoan has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
29.03.2025
Beijing Guoan
-
Chengdu Rongcheng
1:1
14.09.2024
Chengdu Rongcheng
-
Beijing Guoan
2:2
05.05.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Chengdu Rongcheng
2:1
29.10.2023
Beijing Guoan
-
Chengdu Rongcheng
2:3
03.07.2023
Chengdu Rongcheng
-
Beijing Guoan
0:1
Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Shanghai Port | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 51:27 | 24 | 47 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 47:26 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 42:33 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Professional | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 44:34 | 10 | 33 |
| 7 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Dalian Yingbo | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21:28 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 27:31 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 26:49 | -23 | 17 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 26:45 | -19 | 16 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 17:36 | -19 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
