Ural vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
28/07/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 2
  • Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
144
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
199
Shots on target
144
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
53
Free Kicks
1012
Goalkeeper Saves
211

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Sekulic M. ,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Aliev S. ,
  • 41', Masternoy V. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Kirsch I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Bardachev M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lozhkin V. , Zhigulev I. ,
  • 46', Morozov K. , Zarypbekov E. ,
  • 50', 2 - 2, Nikolaev O. ,
  • 59', Kasimov T. , Gorelov P. ,
  • 65', Zheleznov Y. , Voronov M. ,
  • 65', Ishkov I. , Kharin E. ,
  • 69', Tarba Z. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 77', Akbashev R. , Mosin E. ,
  • 78', Ayupov T. , Bondarev V. ,
  • 79', Sekulic M. , Kashtanov A. ,
  • 86', Zarypbekov E. 🟨,
  • 87', Masternoy V. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 88', Kharin E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Begic S. ,

Chances of winning


Ural
50.3%
Draw
29.7%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 24.6% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.65)
    3.19
    (3.84)
    4.76
    (5.15)
    5.4%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ural is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ural won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ural won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    27.07.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ural 3:2
    Latest results of Ural
    19.07.2025 Shinnik - Ural 0:1
    12.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Ural 1:0
    31.05.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Ural 2:0
    28.05.2025 Ural - Akhmat Grozny 2:1
    24.05.2025 Ural - SKA Khabarovsk 3:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh22163330:111951
    2Ural22125530:191141
    3Rodina Moscow22109330:171339
    4S. Kostroma2298531:25635
    5Chelyabinsk2298528:20835
    6Kamaz2289537:251233
    7SKA Khabarovsk2288624:22232
    8R. Volgograd2287725:18731
    9Neftekhimik22710527:24331
    10Arsenal Tula22611530:26429
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl2268819:21-226
    12Yenisey2259815:26-1124
    13Torpedo Moscow22661019:29-1024
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk22661025:29-424
    15Ulyanovsk22651125:35-1023
    16Ufa22481024:31-720
    17Saratov222101010:23-1316
    18FK Chayka22261419:47-2812

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