Ural vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
28/07/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 2
  • Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
144
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
199
Shots on target
144
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
53
Free Kicks
1012
Goalkeeper Saves
211

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Sekulic M. ,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Aliev S. ,
  • 41', Masternoy V. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Kirsch I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Bardachev M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lozhkin V. , Zhigulev I. ,
  • 46', Morozov K. , Zarypbekov E. ,
  • 50', 2 - 2, Nikolaev O. ,
  • 59', Kasimov T. , Gorelov P. ,
  • 65', Zheleznov Y. , Voronov M. ,
  • 65', Ishkov I. , Kharin E. ,
  • 69', Tarba Z. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 77', Akbashev R. , Mosin E. ,
  • 78', Ayupov T. , Bondarev V. ,
  • 79', Sekulic M. , Kashtanov A. ,
  • 86', Zarypbekov E. 🟨,
  • 87', Masternoy V. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 88', Kharin E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Begic S. ,

Chances of winning


Ural
50.3%
Draw
29.7%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 24.6% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.65)
    3.19
    (3.84)
    4.76
    (5.15)
    5.4%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ural is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ural won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ural won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    27.07.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ural 3:2
    Latest results of Ural
    19.07.2025 Shinnik - Ural 0:1
    12.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Ural 1:0
    31.05.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Ural 2:0
    28.05.2025 Ural - Akhmat Grozny 2:1
    24.05.2025 Ural - SKA Khabarovsk 3:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh24164430:121852
    2Rodina Moscow251210339:211846
    3Ural25136635:241145
    4S. Kostroma25911536:30638
    5Kamaz25910641:281337
    6Chelyabinsk25910633:26737
    7R. Volgograd2599728:20836
    8Neftekhimik24810630:27334
    9SKA Khabarovsk2589827:30-333
    10Arsenal Tula25711733:30332
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl25710822:23-131
    12Yenisey25710821:29-831
    13Torpedo Moscow25861123:31-830
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk25771129:32-328
    15Ulyanovsk25761229:39-1027
    16Ufa25681128:33-526
    17FK Chayka25371523:53-3016
    18Saratov252101310:29-1916

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