Ural vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
28/07/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 2
  • Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
144
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
199
Shots on target
144
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
53
Free Kicks
1012
Goalkeeper Saves
211

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Sekulic M. ,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Aliev S. ,
  • 41', Masternoy V. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Kirsch I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Bardachev M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lozhkin V. , Zhigulev I. ,
  • 46', Morozov K. , Zarypbekov E. ,
  • 50', 2 - 2, Nikolaev O. ,
  • 59', Kasimov T. , Gorelov P. ,
  • 65', Zheleznov Y. , Voronov M. ,
  • 65', Ishkov I. , Kharin E. ,
  • 69', Tarba Z. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 77', Akbashev R. , Mosin E. ,
  • 78', Ayupov T. , Bondarev V. ,
  • 79', Sekulic M. , Kashtanov A. ,
  • 86', Zarypbekov E. 🟨,
  • 87', Masternoy V. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 88', Kharin E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Begic S. ,

Chances of winning


Ural
50.3%
Draw
29.7%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 24.6% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.65)
    3.19
    (3.84)
    4.76
    (5.15)
    5.4%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ural is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ural won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ural won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    27.07.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ural 3:2
    Latest results of Ural
    19.07.2025 Shinnik - Ural 0:1
    12.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Ural 1:0
    31.05.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Ural 2:0
    28.05.2025 Ural - Akhmat Grozny 2:1
    24.05.2025 Ural - SKA Khabarovsk 3:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh32197641:221964
    2Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    3Ural32177848:291958
    4R. Volgograd311410740:231752
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey3212101036:34246
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl321113831:25646
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Torpedo Moscow321191235:38-342
    11Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    12Arsenal Tula31814939:37238
    13Ulyanovsk32991433:43-1036
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka32572030:69-3922
    18Saratov324101814:43-2922

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