Ural vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
28/07/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 2
  • Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
144
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
199
Shots on target
144
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
53
Free Kicks
1012
Goalkeeper Saves
211

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Sekulic M. ,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Aliev S. ,
  • 41', Masternoy V. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Kirsch I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Bardachev M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lozhkin V. , Zhigulev I. ,
  • 46', Morozov K. , Zarypbekov E. ,
  • 50', 2 - 2, Nikolaev O. ,
  • 59', Kasimov T. , Gorelov P. ,
  • 65', Zheleznov Y. , Voronov M. ,
  • 65', Ishkov I. , Kharin E. ,
  • 69', Tarba Z. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 77', Akbashev R. , Mosin E. ,
  • 78', Ayupov T. , Bondarev V. ,
  • 79', Sekulic M. , Kashtanov A. ,
  • 86', Zarypbekov E. 🟨,
  • 87', Masternoy V. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 88', Kharin E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Begic S. ,

Chances of winning


Ural
50.3%
Draw
29.7%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 24.6% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.65)
    3.19
    (3.84)
    4.76
    (5.15)
    5.4%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ural is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ural won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ural won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    27.07.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ural 3:2
    Latest results of Ural
    19.07.2025 Shinnik - Ural 0:1
    12.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Ural 1:0
    31.05.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Ural 2:0
    28.05.2025 Ural - Akhmat Grozny 2:1
    24.05.2025 Ural - SKA Khabarovsk 3:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh28185535:161959
    2Rodina Moscow281510348:242455
    3Ural28147741:271449
    4R. Volgograd28129736:221445
    5S. Kostroma281111640:33744
    6Kamaz28913641:281340
    7Chelyabinsk28912737:31639
    8Yenisey28910927:32-537
    9Neftekhimik28812831:32-136
    10Arsenal Tula28812838:34436
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl28812823:23036
    12Torpedo Moscow28981129:34-535
    13SKA Khabarovsk28811931:37-635
    14Ulyanovsk28871331:41-1031
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk28781332:39-729
    16Ufa286101229:35-628
    17FK Chayka28471726:63-3719
    18Saratov282101612:36-2416

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