Barnet vs Chesterfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Hive Stadium (London).

League Two - Round 35
Referee: Davis W. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.17	0.78
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
1	2
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
61% (192/317)	68% (256/375)
Expected goals (xG)
1.17	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.21	0.10
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
7	8
Shots outside the box
3	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
32	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	1
Free kicks
6	9
Passes
61% (192/317)	68% (256/375)
Long passes
28% (25/89)	41% (36/87)
Passes in final third
57% (97/169)	59% (83/140)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.83	0.38
Throw ins
40	33
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
69% (11/16)	52% (13/25)
Duels won
55	68
Clearances
27	61
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.10	0.21
Goals prevented
0.10	-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Duffy D. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
63', Curtis S. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
63', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Ofoborh N. ⚽, Winterburn B. (A),
75', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
75', Mandeville L. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
83', Braybrooke S. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
89', Winterburn B. ↓, Chinedu P. ↑,
90+4', Tshimanga K. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barnet
46.6%

Draw
25.9%

Chesterfield
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

25.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Barnet - Chesterfield Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)	3.6 ↑ (3.56)	3.4 ↓ (3.74)	7% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Barnet - Chesterfield?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barnet (votes: 1 - 50%). Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.
Recent performances by Barnet have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chesterfield is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Barnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Barnet might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive) Smith K. (Inactive) Tavares N. (Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 1.1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Chesterfield?

Barnet has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Barnet?

Chesterfield has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Chesterfield were as follows:

13.12.2025 Chesterfield - Barnet 3:1

27.02.2024 Barnet - Chesterfield 0:2

11.11.2023 Chesterfield - Barnet 4:2

28.01.2023 Barnet - Chesterfield 3:0

26.08.2022 Chesterfield - Barnet 3:1

Latest results of Barnet

24.02.2026 Accrington Stanley - Barnet 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Colchester United - Barnet 4:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Barnet - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Barnet - Cheltenham Town 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Walsall - Barnet 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Chesterfield

21.02.2026 Crawley Town - Chesterfield 1:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Chesterfield - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield 2:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Chesterfield - Walsall 2:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League