Barnet vs Chesterfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Hive Stadium (London).

League Two - Round 35
Referee: Davis W. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.17	0.78
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
1	2
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
61% (192/317)	68% (256/375)
Expected goals (xG)
1.17	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.21	0.10
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
7	8
Shots outside the box
3	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
32	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	1
Free kicks
6	9
Passes
61% (192/317)	68% (256/375)
Long passes
28% (25/89)	41% (36/87)
Passes in final third
57% (97/169)	59% (83/140)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.83	0.38
Throw ins
40	33
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
69% (11/16)	52% (13/25)
Duels won
55	68
Clearances
27	61
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.10	0.21
Goals prevented
0.10	-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Duffy D. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
63', Curtis S. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
63', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Ofoborh N. ⚽, Winterburn B. (A),
75', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
75', Mandeville L. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
83', Braybrooke S. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
89', Winterburn B. ↓, Chinedu P. ↑,
90+4', Tshimanga K. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barnet
46.6%

Draw
25.9%

Chesterfield
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

25.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Barnet - Chesterfield Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)	3.6 ↑ (3.56)	3.4 ↓ (3.74)	7% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Barnet - Chesterfield?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Barnet (votes: 1 - 50%). Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.
Recent performances by Barnet have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chesterfield is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Barnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Barnet might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive) Smith K. (Inactive) Tavares N. (Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 1.1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Chesterfield?

Barnet has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Barnet?

Chesterfield has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Chesterfield were as follows:

13.12.2025 Chesterfield - Barnet 3:1

27.02.2024 Barnet - Chesterfield 0:2

11.11.2023 Chesterfield - Barnet 4:2

28.01.2023 Barnet - Chesterfield 3:0

26.08.2022 Chesterfield - Barnet 3:1

Latest results of Barnet

24.02.2026 Accrington Stanley - Barnet 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Colchester United - Barnet 4:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Barnet - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Barnet - Cheltenham Town 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Walsall - Barnet 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Chesterfield

21.02.2026 Crawley Town - Chesterfield 1:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Chesterfield - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield 2:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Chesterfield - Walsall 2:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League