Grimsby Town vs Chesterfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

League Two - Round 16
Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.71
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
11	5
Passes
62% (187/300)	67% (212/318)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.58	0.29
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
9	7
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
11	5
Touches in opposition box
19	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
11	14
Passes
62% (187/300)	67% (212/318)
Long passes
37% (30/81)	20% (16/81)
Passes in final third
48% (58/120)	60% (78/130)
Crosses
27% (6/22)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.50
Throw-ins
27	26
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
64% (14/22)	86% (12/14)
Duels won
60	48
Clearances
28	39
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.29	0.58
Goals prevented
0.29	0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Warren T. 🟨,
32', Dunkley C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Pym C. 🟥,
55', Vernam C. ↓, Casper C. ↑,
56', Kabia J. 🟨,
66', Kabia J. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Rodgers H. (Own goal),
73', Dunkley C. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
77', Rose D. ↓, Gilsenan Z. ↑,
77', McEachran G. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
77', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
79', Darcy R. 🟨,
86', Darcy R. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
86', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
90+5', Bonis L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
44.3%

Draw
27%

Chesterfield
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.2%

31.8%

Grimsby Town - Chesterfield Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.28)	3.49 ↓ (3.52)	3.25 ↑ (2.83)	6.2% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Chesterfield?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 44.1% – 94.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Grimsby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Grimsby could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Sweeney J. (Injury)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Dibley-Dias M. (Knee Injury) Dobra A. (Inactive) Elliott G. (Inactive) Stirk R. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Grigg W. (Inactive) Williams T. (Surgery)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Chesterfield?

Grimsby Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Grimsby Town?

Chesterfield has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Chesterfield were as follows:

18.01.2025 Grimsby Town - Chesterfield 1:1

12.11.2024 Chesterfield - Grimsby Town 3:2

07.09.2024 Chesterfield - Grimsby Town 2:1

Latest results of Grimsby Town

08.11.2025 Barrow - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

04.11.2025 Grimsby Town - Everton U21 5:3 ✺

01.11.2025 Grimsby Town - Ebbsfleet United 3:1 ✺

28.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Brentford 0:5 ✺

25.10.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Chesterfield

11.11.2025 Chesterfield - Liverpool U21 2:3 ✺

08.11.2025 Chesterfield - Accrington Stanley 3:3 ✺

01.11.2025 Stevenage Borough - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield 1:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Chesterfield - Fleetwood Town 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	18	11	2	5	28:18	10	35
2	Swindon	18	10	4	4	31:24	7	34
3	MK Dons	18	9	5	4	35:20	15	32
4	Notts Co	18	9	4	5	30:20	10	31
5	Bromley	18	8	6	4	28:22	6	30
6	Gillingham	19	7	8	4	26:20	6	29
7	Cambridge Utd	18	8	5	5	20:16	4	29
8	Salford	18	9	2	7	24:25	-1	29
9	Colchester	19	7	7	5	28:21	7	28
10	Chesterfield	18	7	7	4	32:29	3	28
11	Crewe	18	8	3	7	27:24	3	27
12	Grimsby	18	7	5	6	32:25	7	26
13	Fleetwood	18	7	5	6	27:26	1	26
14	Barnet	18	6	7	5	22:19	3	25
15	Tranmere	18	5	8	5	30:27	3	23
16	Oldham	18	5	8	5	16:13	3	23
17	Accrington	18	5	6	7	21:22	-1	21
18	Barrow	18	5	5	8	18:23	-5	20
19	Crawley	18	4	5	9	22:30	-8	17
20	Shrewsbury	18	4	5	9	18:31	-13	17
21	Bristol Rovers	18	5	2	11	15:31	-16	17
22	Cheltenham	18	5	2	11	14:32	-18	17
23	Harrogate	18	4	4	10	17:28	-11	16
24	Newport	18	3	3	12	18:33	-15	12

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League