Result
1:3
13/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/489) | 82% (385/468) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/489) | 82% (385/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (107/145) | 67% (81/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 90% (18/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Zinckernagel P. ⚽, Gutierrez B. (A),
- 37', O'Neill A. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Mercau N. ⚽, O'Toole K. (A), Wolf H. (A2)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', Franco A. ↓, Oregel S. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Martinez A. ⚽,
- 67', Bamba J. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
- 71', O'Neill A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
- 80', Mercau N. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
- 81', Waterman J. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
- 90', Raul Gustavo ↓, Tanasijevic S. ↑,
- 90', Martinez A. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Garfield Reid S. ⚽, Gray T. (A),
Chances of winning
Chicago Fire
44.9% | Draw
25.3% | New York City
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2%)
Chicago Fire - New York City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.07) |
3.75 ↑
(3.65) |
3.16 ↓
(3.28) |
5.4%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - New York City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). NY City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0.
- Chicago is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- NY City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Chicago has had a series of home games.
- Chicago might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C.
(Health problems)
- There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N.
(Leg Injury)
Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
Perea A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Chicago: Kouame R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against New York City?
Chicago Fire has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Chicago Fire?
New York City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - New York City were as follows:
25.05.2025
New York City
-
Chicago Fire
3:1
24.08.2024
New York City
-
Chicago Fire
2:2
13.07.2024
Chicago Fire
-
New York City
0:0
21.10.2023
New York City
-
Chicago Fire
1:0
04.03.2023
Chicago Fire
-
New York City
1:1
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Latest results of New York City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 | 12 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | San Diego FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | New York City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | DC United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:17 | -12 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
