Result
3:1
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (445/520) | 79% (223/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.86 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (445/520) | 79% (223/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 43% (23/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (101/143) | 56% (47/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 3.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Haak J. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ⚽, Dean J. (A), Gutman A. (A2)
- 28', Moralez M. 🟨,
- 31', Gutierrez B. 🟥,
- 41', Pineda M. ↓, D'Avilla D. ↑,
- 45+1', Dean J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Gray T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Gray T. ↓, Ilenic M. ↑,
- 46', Shore J. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
- 46', Bamba J. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
- 56', Thiago Martins 🟨,
- 58', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Barroso L. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Bakrar M. ⚽, Haak J. (A), Wolf H. (A2)
- 60', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Wolf H. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
- 76', Oregel S. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
- 76', Dean J. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
- 79', Fernandez J. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
- 84', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
- 89', 3 - 1, Martinez A. (Pen),
- 90', Haak J. ↓, Parks K. ↑,
- 90', Martinez A. ↓, Cavallo N. ↑,
Chances of winning
New York City
45.7% | Draw
25.5% | Chicago Fire
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
New York City - Chicago Fire Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(2.06) |
3.74 ↓
(3.75) |
3.3 ↑
(3.29) |
4.5%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for New York City - Chicago Fire?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.
- NY City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chicago is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- NY City might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in NY City: Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
O'Toole K.
(Leg Injury)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Chicago: Gasper C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Poreba D.
(Knee Injury)
Teran C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Chicago: Mueller C.
(Personal Reasons)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.7:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Chicago Fire?
New York City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against New York City?
Chicago Fire has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Chicago Fire were as follows:
24.08.2024
New York City
-
Chicago Fire
2:2
13.07.2024
Chicago Fire
-
New York City
0:0
21.10.2023
New York City
-
Chicago Fire
1:0
04.03.2023
Chicago Fire
-
New York City
1:1
Latest results of New York City
Latest results of Chicago Fire
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 52 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44:30 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:37 | -2 | 37 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 36 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 35 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 38:46 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 21 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 29:55 | -26 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 42:34 | 8 | 52 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 47 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 53:39 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 42:37 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | New York City | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 41 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 39 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 39 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33:37 | -4 | 28 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 31:49 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25:48 | -23 | 20 |
| 15 | DC United | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23:52 | -29 | 20 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
