New York City vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New York City - Chicago Fire
Result
3:1
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.440.27
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
86% (445/520)79% (223/282)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
3.440.27
xG on target (xGOT)
3.860.60
Total shots
228
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
163
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
3921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
86% (445/520)79% (223/282)
Long passes
56% (24/43)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
71% (101/143)56% (47/84)
Crosses
13% (3/24)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.940.30
Throw-ins
1220
Fouls
1219
Tackles
55% (11/20)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5830
Clearances
3634
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.603.86
Goals prevented
-0.400.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Haak J. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. , Dean J. (A), Gutman A. (A2)
  • 28', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 31', Gutierrez B. 🟥,
  • 41', Pineda M. , D'Avilla D. ,
  • 45+1', Dean J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gray T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Gray T. , Ilenic M. ,
  • 46', Shore J. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 46', Bamba J. , Kouame R. ,
  • 56', Thiago Martins 🟨,
  • 58', Zinckernagel P. , Barroso L. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Bakrar M. , Haak J. (A), Wolf H. (A2)
  • 60', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Wolf H. , Fernandez J. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
  • 76', Oregel S. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 76', Dean J. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 79', Fernandez J. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 84', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Martinez A. (Pen),
  • 90', Haak J. , Parks K. ,
  • 90', Martinez A. , Cavallo N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
45.7%
Draw
25.5%
Chicago Fire
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 25.2% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 26.1% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • New York City - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.06)
    3.74
    (3.75)
    3.3
    (3.29)
    4.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for New York City - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.
    • NY City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • NY City might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) O'Toole K. (Leg Injury) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Gasper C. (Lower-Body Injury) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Mueller C. (Personal Reasons)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.7:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    24.08.2024 New York City - Chicago Fire 2:2
    13.07.2024 Chicago Fire - New York City 0:0
    21.10.2023 New York City - Chicago Fire 1:0
    04.03.2023 Chicago Fire - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)