Result
1:0
15/04/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (427/483) | 88% (351/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (427/483) | 88% (351/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (49/71) | 73% (27/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (96/125) | 82% (104/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.57 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Gustavo Ferrareis 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Gutierrez E. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fedorco J. ↓, Waller Martiarena F. F. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 58', Orona E. 🟨,
- 62', Pulido A. ↓, Chicharito ↑,
- 62', Camberos H. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 62', Orona E. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
- 66', Gomez M. ↓, Mozo A. ↑,
- 69', Wilke T. 🟨,
- 70', Beltran F. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 70', Wilke T. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 79', Moyano F. ↓, Guido Paz D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
62.4% | Draw
22.9% | Puebla
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-14.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puebla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.61) |
4.09 ↑
(3.73) |
6.46 ↑
(5.83) |
6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers) Network on : NBC Universo
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla?
Users Predictions:
Chivas Guadalajara will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 2.
- Guadalajara is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Puebla has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Guadalajara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Guadalajara have a series of guest games.
- In this match Guadalajara is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Rangel R.
(Red Card)
Rey L.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
Gularte E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Rivas J.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 27:26 (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Puebla?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Puebla has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla were as follows:
25.10.2024
Puebla
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
06.04.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Puebla
3:2
20.10.2023
Puebla
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
10.03.2023
Puebla
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
09.10.2022
Puebla
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:1
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
