Puebla vs Chivas Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara
Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.42
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
84% (394/470)63% (124/196)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.020.21
Total shots
136
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
178
Passes
84% (394/470)63% (124/196)
Long passes
65% (41/63)32% (18/57)
Passes in final third
68% (89/131)47% (31/66)
Crosses
29% (9/31)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.24
Throw-ins
3117
Fouls
817
Tackles
67% (10/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
6338
Clearances
2540
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.210.02
Goals prevented
-1.790.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Gonzalez B. , Ledezma R. (A),
  • 12', 0 - 2, Govea O. , Alvarez E. (A),
  • 30', Sandoval S. 🟨,
  • 33', Cristante H. 🟨,
  • 34', Gonzalez O. , Guerra E. ,
  • 36', Castillo J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Castillo R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sandoval S. , Cowell C. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez B. , Gomez M. ,
  • 46', Castillo R. , Baltazar C. ,
  • 58', Alvarez E. , Tapias M. ,
  • 59', Ramirez M. , Lozano E. ,
  • 69', Monarrez F. 🟨,
  • 69', Ledezma R. , Brizuela I. ,
  • 79', Monarrez F. , Moreno I. ,
  • 79', Gonzalez A. , Pulido A. ,
  • 87', Guerra E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Puebla
28%
Draw
27.4%
Chivas Guadalajara
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 25.5% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 25.2% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (3.14)
    3.44
    (3.66)
    2.15
    (2.09)
    5.1%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • Users Predictions: Chivas Guadalajara will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chivas Guadalajara will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 2.
    • Recent form of Puebla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guadalajara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Guadalajara has had a series of home games.
    • Guadalajara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury) Fedorco J. (Injury) Pachuca Martinez J. R. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Aguirre D. (Injury) Alvarado R. (Ankle Injury) Chicharito (Knock) Gutierrez E. (Muscle Injury) Mozo A. (Knee Injury) Padilla Y. (Hip Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Navarro E. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    15.04.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla 1:0
    25.10.2024 Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara 1:0
    06.04.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla 3:2
    20.10.2023 Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara 0:2
    10.03.2023 Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara 1:0
    Latest results of Puebla
    23.09.2025 Puebla - Pachuca 2:2
    19.09.2025 Necaxa - Puebla 1:0
    13.09.2025 Toluca - Puebla 3:1
    29.08.2025 Puebla - Monterrey 2:4
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1291235:161928
    2Club America1283126:111527
    3Cruz Azul1274122:15725
    4Monterrey1181223:17625
    5Tigres UANL1265122:101223
    6Pachuca1262416:13320
    7Club Tijuana1154221:111019
    8Juarez1253416:15118
    9Guadalajara Chivas1142516:17-114
    10UNAM Pumas1134414:17-313
    11Atlas1234521:27-613
    12Club Leon1233612:22-1012
    13Mazatlan FC1225515:21-611
    14Queretaro1232714:21-711
    15Atl. San Luis1231817:20-310
    16Santos Laguna1231813:21-810
    17Necaxa1223711:21-109
    18Puebla1212910:29-195

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