Result
1:0
15/04/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
Usa | NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 0.33 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
88% (427/483) | 88% (351/397) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 0.33 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.37 | 0.09 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 19 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
88% (427/483) | 88% (351/397) |
Long passes |
---|
69% (49/71) | 73% (27/37) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (96/125) | 82% (104/127) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (3/9) | 27% (7/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.53 | 0.57 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (14/22) | 57% (13/23) |
Duels won |
---|
65 | 45 |
Clearances Total |
---|
23 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.09 | 0.37 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.09 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Gustavo Ferrareis 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Gutierrez E. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fedorco J. ↓, Waller Martiarena F. F. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 58', Orona E. 🟨,
- 62', Pulido A. ↓, Chicharito ↑,
- 62', Camberos H. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 62', Orona E. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
- 66', Gomez M. ↓, Mozo A. ↑,
- 69', Wilke T. 🟨,
- 70', Beltran F. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 70', Wilke T. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 79', Moyano F. ↓, Guido Paz D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara 62.4% | Draw 22.9% | Puebla 14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-14.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puebla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.61) |
4.09 ↑ (3.73) |
6.46 ↑ (5.83) |
6% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers) Network on : NBC Universo
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla?
Users Predictions:
Chivas Guadalajara will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 2.
- Guadalajara is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Puebla has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Guadalajara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Guadalajara have a series of guest games.
- In this match Guadalajara is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Rangel R.
(Red Card)
Rey L.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
Gularte E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Rivas J.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 27:26 (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Puebla?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Puebla has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla were as follows:
25.10.2024
Puebla
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
06.04.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Puebla
3:2
20.10.2023
Puebla
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
10.03.2023
Puebla
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
09.10.2022
Puebla
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:1
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
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