Puebla vs Chivas Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara
Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.42
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
84% (394/470)63% (124/196)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.020.21
Total shots
136
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
178
Passes
84% (394/470)63% (124/196)
Long passes
65% (41/63)32% (18/57)
Passes in final third
68% (89/131)47% (31/66)
Crosses
29% (9/31)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.24
Throw-ins
3117
Fouls
817
Tackles
67% (10/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
6338
Clearances
2540
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.210.02
Goals prevented
-1.790.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Gonzalez B. , Ledezma R. (A),
  • 12', 0 - 2, Govea O. , Alvarez E. (A),
  • 30', Sandoval S. 🟨,
  • 33', Cristante H. 🟨,
  • 34', Gonzalez O. , Guerra E. ,
  • 36', Castillo J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Castillo R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sandoval S. , Cowell C. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez B. , Gomez M. ,
  • 46', Castillo R. , Baltazar C. ,
  • 58', Alvarez E. , Tapias M. ,
  • 59', Ramirez M. , Lozano E. ,
  • 69', Monarrez F. 🟨,
  • 69', Ledezma R. , Brizuela I. ,
  • 79', Monarrez F. , Moreno I. ,
  • 79', Gonzalez A. , Pulido A. ,
  • 87', Guerra E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Puebla
28%
Draw
27.4%
Chivas Guadalajara
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 25.5% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 25.2% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (3.14)
    3.44
    (3.66)
    2.15
    (2.09)
    5.1%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • Users Predictions: Chivas Guadalajara will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chivas Guadalajara will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 2.
    • Recent form of Puebla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guadalajara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Guadalajara has had a series of home games.
    • Guadalajara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury) Fedorco J. (Injury) Pachuca Martinez J. R. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Aguirre D. (Injury) Alvarado R. (Ankle Injury) Chicharito (Knock) Gutierrez E. (Muscle Injury) Mozo A. (Knee Injury) Padilla Y. (Hip Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Navarro E. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    15.04.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla 1:0
    25.10.2024 Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara 1:0
    06.04.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla 3:2
    20.10.2023 Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara 0:2
    10.03.2023 Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara 1:0
    Latest results of Puebla
    23.09.2025 Puebla - Pachuca 2:2
    19.09.2025 Necaxa - Puebla 1:0
    13.09.2025 Toluca - Puebla 3:1
    29.08.2025 Puebla - Monterrey 2:4
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca ✔ 14102239:162332
    2Tigres UANL ✔ 1595131:141732
    3Cruz Azul ✔ 1595127:171032
    4Club America ✔ 1594231:161531
    5Monterrey ✔ 1593330:24630
    6Guadalajara Chivas1572624:20423
    7Club Tijuana1556426:19721
    8Pachuca1463519:17221
    9Juarez1555524:25-120
    10Atl. San Luis1451820:20016
    11Atlas1544724:33-916
    12UNAM Pumas1536617:22-515
    13Santos Laguna1442817:23-614
    14Queretaro1442815:25-1014
    15Mazatlan FC1527619:27-813
    16Club Leon1534813:27-1413
    17Necaxa1424815:27-1210
    18Puebla15231019:38-199

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)