Result
4:3
22/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (279/352) | 80% (317/397) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (279/352) | 80% (317/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 30% (15/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (65/97) | 74% (101/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 50% (7/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.92 | -1.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Carmona W. ⚽, Owusu P. (A), Hidalgo B. (A2)
- 40', 1 - 1, Echenique E. ⚽, Powell A. (A),
- 45', 1 - 2, Owusu P. ⚽, Ivan Jaime (A), Carmona W. (A2)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 47', Synchuk G. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 2, Jabbari A. ⚽, Echenique E. (A), Bucha P. (A2)
- 57', Synchuk G. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
- 58', Ivan Jaime ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
- 60', Robinson M. 🟥,
- 62', Miazga M. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 3, Owusu P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 65', Miazga M. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 65', Jabbari A. ↓, Hagglund N. ↑,
- 66', Nwobodo O. 🟨,
- 74', Owusu P. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
- 74', Carmona W. ↓, Piette S. ↑,
- 77', Powell A. ↓, Gidi S. ↑,
- 77', Bucha P. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 3, Barlow T. ⚽,
- 83', Hadebe T. 🟨,
- 84', Longstaff M. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
- 88', Nwobodo O. ↓, Jimenez S. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 3, Denkey K. ⚽,
- 90+5', Denkey K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
55% | Draw
23.4% | CF Montréal
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Cincinnati - CF Montréal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.65) |
4.06 ↑
(3.95) |
4.38 ↓
(4.45) |
5.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - CF Montréal?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cincinnati will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Cincinnati may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Chirila S.
(Leg Injury)
Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
Valenzuela G.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Montreal: Ibrahim S.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 2.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against CF Montréal?
Cincinnati has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Cincinnati?
CF Montréal has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - CF Montréal were as follows:
18.10.2025
Cincinnati
-
CF Montréal
3:0
25.06.2025
CF Montréal
-
Cincinnati
1:3
31.08.2024
Cincinnati
-
CF Montréal
4:1
13.04.2024
CF Montréal
-
Cincinnati
2:1
20.09.2023
CF Montréal
-
Cincinnati
1:1
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of CF Montréal
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 | 12 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | San Diego FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | New York City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | DC United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:17 | -12 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
