CF Montréal vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - Cincinnati
Result
1:3
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.40
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
411
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
30
Passes
82% (371/450)84% (342/406)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.891.92
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
1318
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
812
Passes
82% (371/450)84% (342/406)
Long passes
41% (23/56)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
75% (59/79)74% (106/144)
Crosses
33% (3/9)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.621.20
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
128
Tackles
70% (14/20)72% (18/25)
Duels won
3759
Clearances
1119
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
1.920.89
Goals prevented
-1.08-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Clark C. 🟨,
  • 40', Nwobodo O. , Anunga T. ,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Evander , Yedlin D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', Clark C. , Opoku K. ,
  • 55', Guboglo Y. , Sealy D. ,
  • 55', Pearce T. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 58', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 2, Orellano L. , Evander (A),
  • 67', Kamara K. , Kubo Y. ,
  • 71', Piette S. , Craig B. ,
  • 82', Neal J. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Evander , Engel L. (A),
  • 86', Evander , Baird C. ,
  • 86', Orellano L. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 86', Denkey K. , Smith B. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Owusu P. , Vilsaint J. (A),
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bugaj D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
31.7%
Draw
26.2%
Cincinnati
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 26.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 26.5% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • CF Montréal - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (2.97)
    3.62
    (3.63)
    2.28
    (2.28)
    5.2%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 21.5%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cincinnati has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Escobar O. (International duty) Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Saliba N. (International duty) Sealy D. (International duty) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury) Waterman J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury) Kann A. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Cincinnati were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 4:1
    13.04.2024 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 2:1
    20.09.2023 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:1
    17.05.2023 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6Los Angeles FC1885533:24929
    7San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Colorado Rapids22751024:33-926
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Inter Miami18105342:291335
    6Orlando City2197539:281134
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution2066826:25124
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of CF Montréal - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 1, TSN 5
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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