CF Montréal vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS CF Montréal - Cincinnati
Result
1:3
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 1, TSN 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.40
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
411
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
30
Passes
82% (371/450)84% (342/406)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.891.92
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
1318
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
812
Passes
82% (371/450)84% (342/406)
Long passes
41% (23/56)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
75% (59/79)74% (106/144)
Crosses
33% (3/9)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.621.20
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
128
Tackles
70% (14/20)72% (18/25)
Duels won
3759
Clearances
1119
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
1.920.89
Goals prevented
-1.08-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Clark C. 🟨,
  • 40', Nwobodo O. , Anunga T. ,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Evander , Yedlin D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', Clark C. , Opoku K. ,
  • 55', Guboglo Y. , Sealy D. ,
  • 55', Pearce T. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 58', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 2, Orellano L. , Evander (A),
  • 67', Kamara K. , Kubo Y. ,
  • 71', Piette S. , Craig B. ,
  • 82', Neal J. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Evander , Engel L. (A),
  • 86', Evander , Baird C. ,
  • 86', Orellano L. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 86', Denkey K. , Smith B. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Owusu P. , Vilsaint J. (A),
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bugaj D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
31.7%
Draw
26.2%
Cincinnati
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 26.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 26.5% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • CF Montréal - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (2.97)
    3.62
    (3.63)
    2.28
    (2.28)
    5.2%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 21.5%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cincinnati has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Escobar O. (International duty) Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Saliba N. (International duty) Sealy D. (International duty) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury) Waterman J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury) Kann A. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Cincinnati were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 4:1
    13.04.2024 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 2:1
    20.09.2023 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:1
    17.05.2023 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    2San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    10San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)