Result
1:3
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | TSN 1, TSN 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/450) | 84% (342/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/450) | 84% (342/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (59/79) | 74% (106/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 72% (18/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Clark C. 🟨,
- 40', Nwobodo O. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
- 45', 0 - 1, Evander ⚽, Yedlin D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', Clark C. ↓, Opoku K. ↑,
- 55', Guboglo Y. ↓, Sealy D. ↑,
- 55', Pearce T. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
- 58', Sealy D. 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 2, Orellano L. ⚽, Evander (A),
- 67', Kamara K. ↓, Kubo Y. ↑,
- 71', Piette S. ↓, Craig B. ↑,
- 82', Neal J. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 3, Evander ⚽, Engel L. (A),
- 86', Evander ↓, Baird C. ↑,
- 86', Orellano L. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 86', Denkey K. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Owusu P. ⚽, Vilsaint J. (A),
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+3', Bugaj D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
CF Montréal
31.7% | Draw
26.2% | Cincinnati
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
CF Montréal - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↓
(2.97) |
3.62 ↓
(3.63) |
2.28 ↑
(2.28) |
5.2%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
- Montreal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cincinnati has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Montreal: Duke B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Escobar O.
(International duty)
Herbers F.
(Thigh Injury)
Saliba N.
(International duty)
Sealy D.
(International duty)
Synchuk G.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Vrioni G.
(Elbow Injury)
Waterman J.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N.
(Ribs Injury)
Kann A.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.7:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Cincinnati?
CF Montréal has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against CF Montréal?
Cincinnati has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Cincinnati were as follows:
31.08.2024
Cincinnati
-
CF Montréal
4:1
13.04.2024
CF Montréal
-
Cincinnati
2:1
20.09.2023
CF Montréal
-
Cincinnati
1:1
17.05.2023
Cincinnati
-
CF Montréal
3:0
Latest results of CF Montréal
Latest results of Cincinnati
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 44 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39:35 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 31 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
| 10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 18 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 50 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 42 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 43:39 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 35 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | DC United | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | -27 | 19 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
