Cincinnati vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Cincinnati - CF Montréal
Result
3:0
18/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Ford T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.09
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
512
Passes
87% (317/363)83% (347/420)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.370.07
Total shots
129
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
512
Touches in opposition box
2117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
87% (317/363)83% (347/420)
Long passes
62% (21/34)55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
74% (79/107)63% (62/98)
Crosses
38% (5/13)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.31
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
1010
Tackles
59% (16/27)79% (23/29)
Duels won
5154
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
133
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.071.37
Goals prevented
0.07-1.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Loturi V. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Hagglund N. , Evander (A),
  • 42', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Hagglund N. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Owusu P. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Hadebe T. , Flores G. ,
  • 46', Nwobodo O. , Gidi S. ,
  • 46', Marczuk D. , Kubo Y. ,
  • 46', Neal J. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Evander , Hagglund N. (A),
  • 58', Sealy D. , Escobar O. ,
  • 58', Herbers F. , Ivan Jaime ,
  • 61', Gidi S. 🟨,
  • 73', Owusu P. , Vrioni G. ,
  • 77', Hagglund N. , Anunga T. ,
  • 78', Ivan Jaime , Opoku K. ,
  • 81', Synchuk G. , Duke B. ,
  • 84', Kamara K. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 88', 3 - 0, Brenner , Valenzuela G. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
61.3%
Draw
19.9%
CF Montréal
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 19.4% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 19.1% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Cincinnati have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Cincinnati - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.53)
    4.77
    (4.85)
    5.09
    (4.87)
    4.6%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Cincinnati - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.
    • Cincinnati is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Montreal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Cincinnati is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Yellow Cards) Miazga M. (Leg Injury) Smith B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Bugaj D. (Lower-Body Injury) Morales E. (Lower-Body Injury) Piette S. (Injury) Vrioni G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Celentano R. (Leg Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 2.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - CF Montréal were as follows:
    25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3
    31.08.2024 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 4:1
    13.04.2024 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 2:1
    20.09.2023 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:1
    17.05.2023 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2