Result
2:1
08/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MLS - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (222/297) | 84% (423/503) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (222/297) | 84% (423/503) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (26/55) | 32% (12/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (68/102) | 78% (123/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Amundsen M. 🟨,
- 10', Hagglund N. 🟨,
- 35', Habroune T. 🟨,
- 39', Habroune T. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 63', Engel L. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Russell-Rowe J. ⚽, Herrera A. (A), Schulte P. (A2)
- 67', 1 - 1, Brenner ⚽, Hadebe T. (A), Evander (A2)
- 76', Denkey K. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
- 84', Herrera A. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Brenner ⚽,
- 87', Brenner 🟨,
- 88', Brenner ↓, Nwobodo O. ↑,
- 88', Echenique E. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 90', Arfsten M. ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
- 90', Chambost D. ↓, Gazdag D. ↑,
- 90', Amundsen M. ↓, Cheberko Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
36.7% | Draw
26.4% | Columbus Crew
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Cincinnati - Columbus Crew Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.34) |
3.61 ↓
(3.69) |
2.6 ↓
(2.77) |
5.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Columbus Crew?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Cincinnati (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cincinnati will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
- Cincinnati is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Columbus has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Kubo Y.
(Red Card)
Miazga M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W.
(Ankle Injury)
Farsi M.
(Pelvis Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Smith B.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:43. (average 1.1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Columbus Crew?
Cincinnati has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew won against Cincinnati?
Columbus Crew has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Columbus Crew were as follows:
02.11.2025
Columbus Crew
-
Cincinnati
4:0
27.10.2025
Cincinnati
-
Columbus Crew
1:0
12.07.2025
Cincinnati
-
Columbus Crew
2:4
17.05.2025
Columbus Crew
-
Cincinnati
1:1
14.09.2024
Cincinnati
-
Columbus Crew
0:0
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of Columbus Crew
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Austin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | DC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | New York City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
