Result
2:4
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 1.10 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
85% (407/478) | 89% (433/487) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 1.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.92 | 1.41 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
85% (407/478) | 89% (433/487) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (12/36) | 59% (22/37) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (74/104) | 83% (116/139) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (5/19) | 29% (5/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.83 | 0.50 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 8 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
54% (7/13) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 31 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.41 | 0.92 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.59 | -1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 1', 1 - 0, Bucha P. ⚽, Engel L. (A),
- 5', 2 - 0, Evander ⚽,
- 18', Anunga T. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Rossi D. ⚽, Aliyu I. (A), Nagbe D. (A2)
- 45', Bucha P. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 2, Arfsten M. ⚽, Chambost D. (A),
- 45+5', Evander 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', Chambost D. 🟨,
- 58', Chambost D. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 3, Robinson M. (Own goal),
- 61', Anunga T. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 68', Gazdag D. 🟨,
- 78', Russell-Rowe J. 🟨,
- 78', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
- 82', Yedlin D. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 82', Kamara K. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 82', Orellano L. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
- 86', Robinson M. 🟨,
- 87', Engel L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 4, Habroune T. ⚽,
- 90+5', Habroune T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati 41.9% | Draw 25.4% | Columbus Crew 32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Crew's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cincinnati - Columbus Crew Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↑ (1.94) |
3.72 ↓ (3.87) |
2.89 ↓ (3.6) |
5.9% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Columbus Crew?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Columbus will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N.
(Ribs Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Columbus: Amundsen M.
(Knee Injury)
Camacho R.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Flores G.
(Ankle Injury)
Hadebe T.
(Ankle Injury)
Kubo Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Sergio Santos
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Columbus: Hagen N.
(Injury)
Schulte P.
(Abdominal strain)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Columbus Crew?
Cincinnati has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew won against Cincinnati?
Columbus Crew has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Columbus Crew were as follows:
17.05.2025
Columbus Crew
-
Cincinnati
1:1
14.09.2024
Cincinnati
-
Columbus Crew
0:0
11.05.2024
Columbus Crew
-
Cincinnati
1:2
02.12.2023
Cincinnati
-
Columbus Crew
2:3
20.08.2023
Columbus Crew
-
Cincinnati
3:0
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of Columbus Crew
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 42 |
3 | Minnesota United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 41 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
8 | Austin FC | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 30 |
9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 48 |
2 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 47 |
3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 41 |
6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
7 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
8 | Charlotte | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 41:39 | 2 | 35 |
9 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | 4 | 33 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 32 |
11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
14 | DC United | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:45 | -25 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)