Result
2:4
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 1.10 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
85% (407/478) | 89% (433/487) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 1.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.92 | 1.41 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
85% (407/478) | 89% (433/487) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (12/36) | 59% (22/37) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (74/104) | 83% (116/139) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (5/19) | 29% (5/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.83 | 0.50 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 8 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
54% (7/13) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 31 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.41 | 0.92 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.59 | -1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 1', 1 - 0, Bucha P. ⚽, Engel L. (A),
- 5', 2 - 0, Evander ⚽,
- 18', Anunga T. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Rossi D. ⚽, Aliyu I. (A), Nagbe D. (A2)
- 45', Bucha P. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 2, Arfsten M. ⚽, Chambost D. (A),
- 45+5', Evander 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', Chambost D. 🟨,
- 58', Chambost D. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 3, Robinson M. (Own goal),
- 61', Anunga T. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 68', Gazdag D. 🟨,
- 78', Russell-Rowe J. 🟨,
- 78', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
- 82', Yedlin D. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 82', Kamara K. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 82', Orellano L. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
- 86', Robinson M. 🟨,
- 87', Engel L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 4, Habroune T. ⚽,
- 90+5', Habroune T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati 41.9% | Draw 25.4% | Columbus Crew 32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Crew's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cincinnati - Columbus Crew Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↑ (1.94) |
3.72 ↓ (3.87) |
2.89 ↓ (3.6) |
5.9% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Columbus Crew?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Columbus will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N.
(Ribs Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Columbus: Amundsen M.
(Knee Injury)
Camacho R.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Flores G.
(Ankle Injury)
Hadebe T.
(Ankle Injury)
Kubo Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Sergio Santos
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Columbus: Hagen N.
(Injury)
Schulte P.
(Abdominal strain)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Columbus Crew?
Cincinnati has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew won against Cincinnati?
Columbus Crew has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Columbus Crew were as follows:
17.05.2025
Columbus Crew
-
Cincinnati
1:1
14.09.2024
Cincinnati
-
Columbus Crew
0:0
11.05.2024
Columbus Crew
-
Cincinnati
1:2
02.12.2023
Cincinnati
-
Columbus Crew
2:3
20.08.2023
Columbus Crew
-
Cincinnati
3:0
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of Columbus Crew
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 54:34 | 20 | 56 |
2 | Minnesota United | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 51 |
3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 49 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 44 |
5 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
7 | Austin FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 38 |
8 | Colorado Rapids | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 36 |
9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 35 |
10 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 32 |
11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
12 | FC Dallas | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39:47 | -8 | 30 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 43:57 | -14 | 27 |
14 | St. Louis City | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 21 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 32:55 | -23 | 19 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 57 |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 52 |
3 | Charlotte | 29 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Nashville SC | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54:40 | 14 | 47 |
6 | Inter Miami | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 54:40 | 14 | 46 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
8 | New York City | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 44 |
9 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 40 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50:48 | 2 | 39 |
11 | New England Revolution | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 31 |
12 | Atlanta Utd | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
13 | Toronto FC | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:35 | -7 | 25 |
14 | CF Montreal | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:51 | -22 | 24 |
15 | DC United | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)