Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Cincinnati - Columbus Crew
Result
2:4
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.10
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
85% (407/478)89% (433/487)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.921.41
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
169
Passes
85% (407/478)89% (433/487)
Long passes
33% (12/36)59% (22/37)
Passes in final third
71% (74/104)83% (116/139)
Crosses
26% (5/19)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.50
Throw-ins
178
Fouls
916
Tackles
54% (7/13)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3931
Clearances
1924
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.410.92
Goals prevented
-1.59-1.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Bucha P. , Engel L. (A),
  • 5', 2 - 0, Evander ,
  • 18', Anunga T. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Rossi D. , Aliyu I. (A), Nagbe D. (A2)
  • 45', Bucha P. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 2, Arfsten M. , Chambost D. (A),
  • 45+5', Evander 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', Chambost D. 🟨,
  • 58', Chambost D. , Sejdic A. ,
  • 59', 2 - 3, Robinson M. (Own goal),
  • 61', Anunga T. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 68', Gazdag D. 🟨,
  • 78', Russell-Rowe J. 🟨,
  • 78', Russell-Rowe J. , Habroune T. ,
  • 82', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 82', Kamara K. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 82', Orellano L. , Mboma K. ,
  • 86', Robinson M. 🟨,
  • 87', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 4, Habroune T. ,
  • 90+5', Habroune T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
41.9%
Draw
25.4%
Columbus Crew
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 24.6% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 25% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.
  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Crew's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cincinnati - Columbus Crew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.94)
    3.72
    (3.87)
    2.89
    (3.6)
    5.9%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Columbus Crew?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Columbus will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury) Nwobodo O. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Columbus: Amundsen M. (Knee Injury) Camacho R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Flores G. (Ankle Injury) Hadebe T. (Ankle Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Sergio Santos (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Hagen N. (Injury) Schulte P. (Abdominal strain)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Columbus Crew were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1
    14.09.2024 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 0:0
    11.05.2024 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:2
    02.12.2023 Cincinnati - Columbus Crew 2:3
    20.08.2023 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 3:0
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    MLS Table
    Main

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    PlWDLDiffPts
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    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7New York City24115834:29538
    8Charlotte241121141:39235
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

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