Result
1:1
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 12
- Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (270/335) | 88% (446/506) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (270/335) | 88% (446/506) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 50% (17/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (54/83) | 77% (91/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Mbuku N. ⚽, Chennahi T. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Bamba K. ⚽, Salmier Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Konate C. O. ↓, Coulibaly I. ↑,
- 46', Boto K. ↓, Nsimba V. ↑,
- 62', Chennahi T. 🟨,
- 63', Hunou A. ↓, Astic J. ↑,
- 68', Fayad K. ↓, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↑,
- 68', Pays N. ↓, Orakpo V. ↑,
- 68', Savanier T. ↓, Sishuba A. ↑,
- 74', Fakili I. ↓, Camblan A. ↑,
- 76', Ngapandouetnbu S. 🟨,
- 80', Mincarelli L. ↓, Sainte-Luce T. ↑,
- 86', Bamba K. ↓, Baallal A. ↑,
- 90+1', Sishuba A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Clermont
29.8% | Draw
27.9% | Montpellier
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Clermont - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↑
(2.87) |
3.32 ↑
(3.3) |
2.24 ↓
(2.37) |
7.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Clermont - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Montpellier will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Clermont (votes: 1 - 20%). Montpellier (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1.
- Clermont is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Montpellier has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Montpellier is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Clermont: Baallal A.
(Inactive)
Caufriez M.
(Inactive)
Diedhiou F.
(Inactive)
Donavin M.
(Inactive)
Douane M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A.
(Inactive)
Mouanga Y.
(Injury)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Montpellier?
Clermont has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Clermont?
Montpellier has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Clermont - Montpellier were as follows:
14.04.2024
Clermont
-
Montpellier
1:1
29.11.2023
Montpellier
-
Clermont
Abandoned
19.03.2023
Montpellier
-
Clermont
2:1
06.11.2022
Clermont
-
Montpellier
1:1
Latest results of Clermont
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
