Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
116:130
12/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
94104
Field Goals Made
4545
Field Goals %
47.87%43.27%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5757
2-Point Field Goals Made
3031
2-Point Field Goals %
52.63%54.39%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3747
3-Point Field Goals Made
1514
3-Point Field Goals %
40.54%29.79%
Free Throws Attempted
1331
Free Throws Made
1126
Free Throws %
84.6%83.9%
Offensive Rebounds
915
Defensive Rebounds
3435
Total Rebounds
4350
Assists
2531
Blocks
610
Turnovers
2115
Steals
613
Personal Fouls
2921
Technical Fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
54.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 66.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.
  • Cleveland Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cleveland Cavaliers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-20.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleveland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+20.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cleveland Cavaliers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.77)

    2.2
    (1.43)
    -4.8%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 239.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Cleveland will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 48.2%82.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4.5, OT - Miami (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2, OT - Miami (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, OT - Miami (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1, OT - Miami (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5, OT - Cleveland (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 238, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Miami Heat will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 20 - 80%). Cleveland (votes: 5 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 118:123.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Miami: Adebayo B. (Toe Injury) Herro T. (Ankle Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Cleveland: Garland D. (Injury) Mitchell D. (Rest) Mobley E. (Rest) Strus M. (Foot Injury) Tyson J. (Concussion)
    • There are questionable in Cleveland: Nance L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2087:2230. (average 104.4:111.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1179:1269. (average 107.2:115.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers were as follows:
    10.11.2025 Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers 140:138
    13.07.2025 Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat 92:72
    28.04.2025 Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers 83:138
    26.04.2025 Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers 87:124
    23.04.2025 Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat 121:112
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    Latest results of Cleveland Cavaliers
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7055158294:75240.786
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6944258029:79310.638
    4Minnesota Timberwolves7043278318:80460.614
    5Houston Rockets6841277741:74780.603
    6Denver Nuggets7042288449:81540.600
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6934357824:77860.493
    9Portland Trail Blazers7034368066:82090.486
    10Golden State Warriors6933367936:78990.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6824447869:80660.353
    12New Orleans Pelicans7024468103:83690.343
    13Dallas Mavericks7023477928:82920.329
    14Utah Jazz6920498085:86400.290
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6946237894:73800.667
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6839297752:76050.574
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6938318147:80460.551
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    12Chicago Bulls6928417996:83000.406
    13Brooklyn Nets6917527339:79810.246
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers7015557791:84170.214

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    Clinched Spots for Teams
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