Result
0:0
01/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Peru | L1 Max |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.05 | 0.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
71% | 29% |
Total shots |
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13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Passes |
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90% (566/629) | 72% (179/250) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.05 | 0.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.62 | 0.44 |
Total shots |
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13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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19 | 5 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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5 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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16 | 8 |
Passes |
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90% (566/629) | 72% (179/250) |
Long passes |
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60% (29/48) | 25% (13/53) |
Passes in final third |
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77% (123/159) | 51% (24/47) |
Crosses |
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16% (5/31) | 8% (1/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.76 | 0.13 |
Throw-ins |
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29 | 17 |
Fouls |
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8 | 16 |
Tackles |
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67% (10/15) | 78% (14/18) |
Duels won |
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40 | 40 |
Clearances |
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19 | 29 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.44 | 0.62 |
Goals prevented |
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0.44 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Raniele ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 30', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
- 36', Lucas Halter 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hernandez H. ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 61', Lucas Braga ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
- 61', Janderson ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 63', Andre Ramalho 🟨,
- 68', Talles Magno ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 74', Claudinho ↓, Ricardo Ryller ↑,
- 81', Depay M. ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
- 81', Breno Bidon ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 83', Ricardo Ryller 🟨,
- 88', Garro R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ze Marcos 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians 56.5% | Draw 27.4% | Vitória Salvador 16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Corinthians - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↑ (1.57) |
3.49 ↓ (3.84) |
5.93 ↓ (6.21) |
5.1% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 72.9% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Corinthians (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
- Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Corinthians is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Gustavo Henrique
(Groin Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Caceres R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hugo
(Calf Injury)
Matheuzinho
(Yellow Cards)
Willian Oliveira
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Vitória Salvador?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Corinthians?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
09.11.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Corinthians
1:2
04.07.2024
Corinthians
-
Vitória Salvador
3:2
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet