Result
0:0
01/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (566/629) | 72% (179/250) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (566/629) | 72% (179/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (29/48) | 25% (13/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (123/159) | 51% (24/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/31) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Raniele ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 30', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
- 36', Lucas Halter 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hernandez H. ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 61', Lucas Braga ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
- 61', Janderson ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 63', Andre Ramalho 🟨,
- 68', Talles Magno ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 74', Claudinho ↓, Ricardo Ryller ↑,
- 81', Depay M. ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
- 81', Breno Bidon ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 83', Ricardo Ryller 🟨,
- 88', Garro R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ze Marcos 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
56.5% | Draw
27.4% | Vitória Salvador
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Corinthians - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.57) |
3.49 ↓
(3.84) |
5.93 ↓
(6.21) |
5.1%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 72.9% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Corinthians (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
- Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Corinthians is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Gustavo Henrique
(Groin Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Caceres R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hugo
(Calf Injury)
Matheuzinho
(Yellow Cards)
Willian Oliveira
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Vitória Salvador?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Corinthians?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
09.11.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Corinthians
1:2
04.07.2024
Corinthians
-
Vitória Salvador
3:2
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
