Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/285) | 83% (349/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/285) | 83% (349/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (54/83) | 64% (34/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Lucas Arcanjo ↓, Thiago Couto ↑,
- 36', Jair Ventura 🟨,
- 37', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 37', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
- 45+2', Raniele 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Roberto P. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 46', Ronald Lopes ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 46', Lucas Halter 🟨,
- 48', Garro R. 🟨,
- 49', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 50', Camutanga 🟨,
- 62', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 62', Carrillo A. ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
- 70', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 79', Ramon 🟨,
- 80', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 82', Yuri Alberto ↓, Andre Ramalho ↑,
- 87', 0 - 1, Charles Rigon ⚽,
- 88', Depay M. ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
- 89', Garro R. ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
- 90+4', Camutanga ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 90+5', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
34.6% | Draw
30.8% | Corinthians
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Vitória Salvador - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(2.78) |
3.1 ↓
(3.13) |
2.76 ↑
(2.64) |
4.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Corinthians will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 10.6% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Vitória: Caceres R.
(Yellow Cards)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Andre Ramalho
(Hamstring Injury)
Matheuzinho
(Yellow Cards)
Maycon
(Yellow Cards)
Vitinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Baralhas
(Injury)
Ramos R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Andre
(Injury)
Carrillo A.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Corinthians?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Vitória Salvador?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Corinthians were as follows:
01.06.2025
Corinthians
-
Vitória Salvador
0:0
09.11.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Corinthians
1:2
04.07.2024
Corinthians
-
Vitória Salvador
3:2
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
