Result
1:2
22/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 16
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (456/537) | 79% (311/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (456/537) | 79% (311/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (28/49) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (131/170) | 63% (58/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Perkovic M. 🟨,
- 38', Klich M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Rodrigues I. ⚽, Samper S. (A),
- 57', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Minchev M. ↑,
- 57', Pila D. ↓, Sutalo B. ↑,
- 57', Al Ammari A. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Praszelik M. ⚽,
- 67', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
- 67', Krol M. ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
- 68', Sutalo B. 🟨,
- 76', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 76', Hasic A. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
- 79', Luberecki F. ↓, Palacz K. ↑,
- 80', Wojcik F. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 2, Czubak K. ⚽, van Hoeven B. (A),
- 87', Maigaard M. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cracovia
46.5% | Draw
28% | Motor Lublin
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Cracovia - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.86) |
3.43 ↓
(3.62) |
3.77 ↓
(4.11) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cracovia - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Motor will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 15).
- Cracovia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Motor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cracovia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Motor: Ndiaye M.
(Ankle Injury)
Wojcik F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Motor: Samper S.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Cracovia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Motor Lublin?
Cracovia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Cracovia?
Motor Lublin has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Motor Lublin were as follows:
26.04.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Cracovia
0:1
26.10.2024
Cracovia
-
Motor Lublin
6:2
Latest results of Cracovia
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Piast Gliwice | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 34:36 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
