Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 13
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, Eleven Sports 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (345/450) | 72% (253/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (345/450) | 72% (253/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (27/71) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (50/103) | 61% (86/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.09 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Stojilkovic F. ⚽,
- 35', Kakabadze O. 🟨,
- 45', Ali H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pozo J. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
- 56', Klich M. 🟨,
- 56', Kakabadze O. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,
- 60', Ali H. ↓, Huja M. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Grosicki K. ⚽,
- 68', Wojcik O. 🟨,
- 68', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
- 73', Klich M. ↓, Al Ammari A. ↑,
- 73', Minchev M. ↓, Hasic A. ↑,
- 76', Molnar R. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 85', Grosicki K. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
- 85', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 85', Maigaard M. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
- 88', Pila D. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 1, Mukairu P. ⚽, Ulvestad F. (A),
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
40.9% | Draw
26.8% | Cracovia
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.12) |
3.53 ↑
(3.09) |
2.94 ↓
(3.09) |
6.5%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Cracovia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4.
- Pogoń Szczecin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cracovia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Injury)
Renyer
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Cracovia?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Cracovia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia were as follows:
14.03.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Cracovia
5:2
14.09.2024
Cracovia
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:1
30.03.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Cracovia
3:1
23.09.2023
Cracovia
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:5
08.04.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Cracovia
3:2
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Cracovia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
