Pogoń Szczecin vs Cracovia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia
Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 13
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, Eleven Sports 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.022.33
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
77% (345/450)72% (253/349)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.022.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.862.09
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
1933
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
77% (345/450)72% (253/349)
Long passes
38% (27/71)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
49% (50/103)61% (86/140)
Crosses
17% (4/23)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.891.24
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1013
Tackles
71% (10/14)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4961
Clearances
3843
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
2.090.86
Goals prevented
1.09-1.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Stojilkovic F. ,
  • 35', Kakabadze O. 🟨,
  • 45', Ali H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Pozo J. , Juwara M. ,
  • 56', Klich M. 🟨,
  • 56', Kakabadze O. , Aleksic M. ,
  • 60', Ali H. , Huja M. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Grosicki K. ,
  • 68', Wojcik O. 🟨,
  • 68', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
  • 73', Klich M. , Al Ammari A. ,
  • 73', Minchev M. , Hasic A. ,
  • 76', Molnar R. , Mukairu P. ,
  • 85', Grosicki K. , Przyborek A. ,
  • 85', Stojilkovic F. , Zahiroleslam K. ,
  • 85', Maigaard M. , Praszelik M. ,
  • 88', Pila D. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Mukairu P. , Ulvestad F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
40.9%
Draw
26.8%
Cracovia
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 28.9% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 30.2% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.12)
    3.53
    (3.09)
    2.94
    (3.09)
    6.5%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Cracovia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4.
    • Pogoń Szczecin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cracovia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Injury) Renyer (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia 5:2
    14.09.2024 Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1
    30.03.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia 3:1
    23.09.2023 Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin 1:5
    08.04.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia 3:2
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Latest results of Cracovia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia1173123:131024
    2Gornik Zabrze1272319:10923
    3Cracovia1263321:14721
    4Wisla Plock1163215:8721
    5Korona Kielce1254316:11519
    6Lech Poznan1154220:18219
    7Zaglebie1245325:18717
    8Pogon Szczecin1352620:23-317
    9Widzew Lodz1351720:20016
    10Legia1143414:12215
    11Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    12Arka Gdynia134369:20-1115
    13Rakow1142512:15-314
    14Motor Lublin1235416:21-514
    15GKS Katowice1232716:24-811
    16Lechia Gdansk1243521:27-610
    17Termalica B-B1324717:25-810
    18Piast Gliwice1114610:15-57

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1