Bristol Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 36
Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.21	1.30
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
2	3
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	7
Passes
71% (252/357)	63% (165/264)
Yellow cards
3	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.21	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	0.92
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked shots
7	10
Shots inside the box
5	10
Shots outside the box
9	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	7
Touches in opposition box
23	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free kicks
13	8
Passes
71% (252/357)	63% (165/264)
Long passes
38% (31/81)	27% (20/74)
Passes in final third
58% (91/157)	58% (65/113)
Crosses
12% (3/26)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	0.45
Throw ins
27	21
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
62% (8/13)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
58	43
Clearances
27	53
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.92	1.37
Goals prevented
-0.08	-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Pond A. ⚽,
30', Billington L. 🟨,
33', Harrison E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Akhamrich Y. ↓, De Havilland R. ↑,
46', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
46', Harrison E. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
62', Thomas C. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
62', Powell J. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
63', March J. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
73', O'Reilly T. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
78', Smallwood R. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
84', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Leigh T. ⚽, Senior J. (A),
90+2', 2 - 1, Leigh T. ⚽,
90+5', Connolly J. 🟨,
90+6', Balmer K. 🟨,
90+6', Mola C. 🟨,
90+6', Bogle O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
40.4%

Draw
28.3%

Crewe Alexandra
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.18)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)	6.7% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Bristol Rovers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Crewe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Bristol Rovers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Harbottle R. (Inactive) McEachran J. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O. (Inactive) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Sanders M. H. (Inactive) Tezgel E. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home match between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Crewe Alexandra?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Bristol Rovers?

Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:

19.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers 1:1

12.12.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers 2:4

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

28.02.2026 Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town 3:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers 2:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers 3:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

28.02.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 1:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town 0:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League