Result
1:1
19/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 21
- Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (143/238) | 77% (318/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (143/238) | 77% (318/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (21/73) | 42% (35/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (43/94) | 62% (86/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Tezgel E. ⚽, Hutchinson R. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Morton C. ⚽, Kilgour A. (A),
- 30', Mola C. 🟨,
- 30', Thibaut A. 🟥,
- 33', Tezgel E. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
- 36', Sparkes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Connolly J. 🟨,
- 57', Cavegn F. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
- 60', Southwood L. 🟨,
- 60', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
- 73', Thomas L. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
- 73', Chang A. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
- 77', Morton C. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
- 81', Lunt O. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 81', March J. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
49% | Draw
26.8% | Bristol Rovers
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.88) |
3.5 ↑
(3.47) |
3.86 ↓
(3.87) |
6.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers?
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crewe Alexandra will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Recent performances by Crewe have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bristol Rovers is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bristol Rovers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Crewe might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Crewe: Armstrong O.
(Inactive)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Lopata K.
(Red Card)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O.
(Calf Injury)
Demetriou M.
(Inactive)
Golding J.
(Inactive)
Holicek M.
(Inactive)
Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
Thomas C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J.
(Injury)
Southam-Hales M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Bristol Rovers?
Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Crewe Alexandra?
Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
12.12.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Bristol Rovers
2:4
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 40:26 | 14 | 45 |
| 2 | Swindon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | Walsall | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 44:25 | 19 | 40 |
| 5 | Salford | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Notts Co | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 38 |
| 9 | Fleetwood | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Colchester | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 37:28 | 9 | 33 |
| 11 | Gillingham | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 31:26 | 5 | 32 |
| 12 | Barnet | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 32 |
| 13 | Crewe | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 32 |
| 14 | Oldham | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 23:18 | 5 | 31 |
| 15 | Grimsby | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 31 |
| 16 | Accrington | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 30 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 29 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 21:37 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Barrow | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 24 |
| 20 | Crawley | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 27:40 | -13 | 19 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21:38 | -17 | 19 |
| 22 | Bristol Rovers | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 18:44 | -26 | 18 |
| 23 | Newport | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 17 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:37 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
