Crewe Alexandra vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

League Two - Round 3
Referee: Young A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	0.94
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
63% (166/264)	70% (222/319)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	0.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.24	0.32
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
10	6
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
8	10
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
25	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
7	0
Free Kicks
16	20
Passes
63% (166/264)	70% (222/319)
Long passes
28% (23/82)	35% (25/72)
Passes in final third
57% (90/157)	40% (36/91)
Crosses
21% (6/28)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.72
Throw-ins
22	20
Fouls
20	16
Tackles
89% (17/19)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
66	61
Clearances
20	36
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
0.32	1.24
Goals prevented
0.32	0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Bell L. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, O'Reilly T. ⚽, March J. (A),
45+2', Connolly J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Flower L. ↓, Cashman D. ↑,
64', Brown R. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
64', McKirdy H. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
67', Williams J. 🟨,
71', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
73', Anderson M. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
73', Agius C. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
82', March J. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
85', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
85', Roles J. 🟨,
88', Lunt O. 🟨,
90', O'Reilly T. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
51.8%

Draw
25.9%

Crawley Town
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crewe Alexandra's performance.

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crawley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.14)	3.64 ↑ (3.45)	4.16 ↑ (3.19)	6.8% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town?

Users Predictions: Crewe Alexandra will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crewe Alexandra will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3.
Recent performances by Crewe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Crawley is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Crewe is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 1.8:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Crawley Town?

Crewe Alexandra has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Crewe Alexandra?

Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town were as follows:

19.05.2024 Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:0

10.02.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town 1:0

21.10.2023 Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:4

11.02.2023 Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:2

17.09.2022 Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town 1:0

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

12.08.2025 Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra 3:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Salford City - Crewe Alexandra 1:3 ✺

26.07.2025 Southport - Crewe Alexandra 2:1 ✺

23.07.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Crawley Town

12.08.2025 Swansea City - Crawley Town 3:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Crawley Town - Newport County 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺

25.07.2025 Crawley Town - Crystal Palace 0:3 ✺

19.07.2025 Crawley Town - Portsmouth Canceled ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	10	7	1	2	15:8	7	22
2	Swindon	10	7	0	3	21:13	8	21
3	Gillingham	10	6	3	1	15:7	8	21
4	Salford	10	6	1	3	17:13	4	19
5	Grimsby	10	5	3	2	21:13	8	18
6	Chesterfield	10	5	3	2	18:13	5	18
7	Bristol Rovers	10	5	2	3	12:11	1	17
8	Crewe	10	5	1	4	14:11	3	16
9	MK Dons	10	4	3	3	16:10	6	15
10	Cambridge Utd	10	4	3	3	11:9	2	15
11	Fleetwood	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15
12	Notts Co	10	4	2	4	17:12	5	14
13	Oldham	10	3	5	2	9:6	3	14
14	Bromley	10	3	5	2	14:12	2	14
15	Barnet	10	4	2	4	12:12	0	14
16	Harrogate	10	4	2	4	11:12	-1	14
17	Barrow	10	4	0	6	9:12	-3	12
18	Tranmere	9	2	4	3	13:12	1	10
19	Accrington	9	2	3	4	7:11	-4	9
20	Colchester	10	1	5	4	10:14	-4	8
21	Crawley	10	2	2	6	8:17	-9	8
22	Newport	10	1	2	7	10:20	-10	5
23	Shrewsbury	10	1	2	7	7:20	-13	5
24	Cheltenham	10	1	1	8	4:24	-20	4

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League