Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 3
- Referee: Young A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (166/264) | 70% (222/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (166/264) | 70% (222/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (23/82) | 35% (25/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (90/157) | 40% (36/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (17/19) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Bell L. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, O'Reilly T. ⚽, March J. (A),
- 45+2', Connolly J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Flower L. ↓, Cashman D. ↑,
- 64', Brown R. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
- 64', McKirdy H. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
- 67', Williams J. 🟨,
- 71', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
- 73', Anderson M. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
- 73', Agius C. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
- 82', March J. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 85', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
- 85', Roles J. 🟨,
- 88', Lunt O. 🟨,
- 90', O'Reilly T. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
51.8% | Draw
25.9% | Crawley Town
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crewe Alexandra's performance.Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crawley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.14) |
3.64 ↑
(3.45) |
4.16 ↑
(3.19) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crewe Alexandra will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3.
- Recent performances by Crewe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Crawley is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Crewe is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 1.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Crawley Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town were as follows:
19.05.2024
Crawley Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:0
10.02.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Crawley Town
1:0
21.10.2023
Crawley Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:4
11.02.2023
Crawley Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:2
17.09.2022
Crewe Alexandra
-
Crawley Town
1:0
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Grimsby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Salford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bromley | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Walsall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Swindon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Notts Co | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Newport | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Oldham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Barnet | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Barrow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | Crawley | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
