Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra
Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 5
  • Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.96
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
63% (178/284)65% (191/293)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.09
Total shots
177
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
03
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1814
Passes
63% (178/284)65% (191/293)
Long passes
35% (28/81)30% (25/82)
Passes in final third
46% (56/121)39% (41/106)
Crosses
12% (3/25)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.39
Throw-ins
2528
Fouls
1418
Tackles
88% (7/8)71% (12/17)
Duels won
6463
Clearances
3753
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.091.07
Goals prevented
0.090.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Gale S. 🟨,
  • 23', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Demetriou M. 🟨,
  • 66', Cirino L. 🟨,
  • 69', Agius C. , Golding J. ,
  • 69', Lunt O. , Tezgel E. ,
  • 71', Dack B. , Williams J. ,
  • 71', Cirino L. , Rowe A. ,
  • 71', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 84', O'Reilly T. , Finney C. ,
  • 84', Thomas C. , Moult L. ,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Gale S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
36.8%
Draw
30.8%
Crewe Alexandra
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 30.4% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 30.8% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.
  • Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.1)
    3.05
    (3.1)
    2.9
    (3.8)
    6.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Crewe will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Crewe (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
    • Recent performances by Gillingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Crewe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Injury) Cirino L. (Injury) Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Palmer-Houlden S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    05.10.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham 2:0
    29.03.2024 Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    03.10.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham 2:0
    21.03.2023 Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra 2:1
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Salford1161417:15219
    6MK Dons1153319:12718
    7Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    8Chesterfield1153320:19118
    9Notts Co1152420:13717
    10Barnet1152414:12217
    11Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    12Crewe1051414:11316
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League