Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra
Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 5
  • Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.96
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
63% (178/284)65% (191/293)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.09
Total shots
177
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
03
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1814
Passes
63% (178/284)65% (191/293)
Long passes
35% (28/81)30% (25/82)
Passes in final third
46% (56/121)39% (41/106)
Crosses
12% (3/25)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.39
Throw-ins
2528
Fouls
1418
Tackles
88% (7/8)71% (12/17)
Duels won
6463
Clearances
3753
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.091.07
Goals prevented
0.090.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Gale S. 🟨,
  • 23', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Demetriou M. 🟨,
  • 66', Cirino L. 🟨,
  • 69', Agius C. , Golding J. ,
  • 69', Lunt O. , Tezgel E. ,
  • 71', Dack B. , Williams J. ,
  • 71', Cirino L. , Rowe A. ,
  • 71', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 84', O'Reilly T. , Finney C. ,
  • 84', Thomas C. , Moult L. ,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Gale S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
36.8%
Draw
30.8%
Crewe Alexandra
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 30.4% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 30.8% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.
  • Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.1)
    3.05
    (3.1)
    2.9
    (3.8)
    6.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Crewe will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Crewe (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
    • Recent performances by Gillingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Crewe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Injury) Cirino L. (Injury) Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Palmer-Houlden S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    05.10.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham 2:0
    29.03.2024 Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    03.10.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham 2:0
    21.03.2023 Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra 2:1
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe540110:3712
    2Chesterfield54019:6312
    3MK Dons532010:2811
    4Grimsby532010:5511
    5Gillingham53208:3511
    6Bromley52308:539
    7Walsall53025:419
    8Swindon53028:809
    9Salford53026:609
    10Tranmere42208:268
    11Harrogate52217:618
    12Fleetwood52218:808
    13Cambridge Utd52126:607
    14Barrow52034:5-16
    15Barnet52034:6-26
    16Notts Co51229:815
    17Colchester51225:6-15
    18Oldham50413:4-14
    19Newport51135:7-24
    20Bristol Rovers51133:6-34
    21Accrington40223:6-32
    22Crawley50142:9-71
    23Shrewsbury50142:12-101
    24Cheltenham50051:11-100

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League