Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 5
- Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (178/284) | 65% (191/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (178/284) | 65% (191/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (28/81) | 30% (25/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (56/121) | 39% (41/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Gale S. 🟨,
- 23', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Demetriou M. 🟨,
- 66', Cirino L. 🟨,
- 69', Agius C. ↓, Golding J. ↑,
- 69', Lunt O. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
- 71', Dack B. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 71', Cirino L. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
- 71', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 84', O'Reilly T. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 84', Thomas C. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 0, Gale S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
36.8% | Draw
30.8% | Crewe Alexandra
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.1) |
3.05 ↓
(3.1) |
2.9 ↓
(3.8) |
6.8%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Crewe will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Crewe (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
- Recent performances by Gillingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Crewe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Andrews J.
(Injury)
Cirino L.
(Injury)
Masterson C.
(Calf Injury)
Palmer-Houlden S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Crewe Alexandra?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Gillingham?
Crewe Alexandra has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
15.02.2025
Gillingham
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:0
05.10.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Gillingham
2:0
29.03.2024
Gillingham
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:0
03.10.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Gillingham
2:0
21.03.2023
Gillingham
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:1
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Swindon | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Salford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Walsall | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Bromley | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Crewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | MK Dons | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Barnet | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 17 | Harrogate | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Crawley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 20 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 21 | Barrow | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 22 | Newport | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
