Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 28
  • Referee: Searle I. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.000.64
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
40
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
65
Passes
83% (437/529)73% (255/348)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.000.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.020.00
Total shots
169
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
114
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2612
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free kicks
715
Passes
83% (437/529)73% (255/348)
Long passes
29% (18/62)34% (24/70)
Passes in final third
71% (100/141)54% (55/102)
Crosses
44% (8/18)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.87
Throw ins
2823
Fouls
157
Tackles
54% (7/13)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4355
Clearances
2329
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.002.02
Goals prevented
0.001.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Jatta A. , Tsaroulla N. (A),
  • 30', Norburn O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lunt O. , Connolly J. ,
  • 52', Holicek M. 🟨,
  • 62', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
  • 64', Jones J. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 64', Grant C. , Hall T. ,
  • 71', Hutchinson R. , Thibaut A. ,
  • 71', O'Reilly T. , Rankine D. ,
  • 76', Jatta A. , Dennis M. ,
  • 82', Bedeau J. 🟨,
  • 86', Macari L. , Ness L. ,
  • 90+1', Sanders M. H. , Moult L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
47%
Draw
27%
Crewe Alexandra
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26.6% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 25.6% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Notts County - Crewe Alexandra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.99)
    3.44
    (3.49)
    3.58
    (3.47)
    7.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Crewe Alexandra?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Notts County is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Robertson S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J. (Knee Injury) Tezgel E. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 2:1
    22.03.2025 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    16.11.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 2:0
    24.02.2024 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 1:3
    11.11.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 1:0
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League