Crewe Alexandra vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Crewe Alexandra - Notts County
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 10
  • Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.30
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
71% (190/266)82% (400/488)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.831.65
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2431
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1418
Passes
71% (190/266)82% (400/488)
Long passes
43% (26/60)21% (11/53)
Passes in final third
54% (57/105)77% (128/167)
Crosses
17% (5/30)14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.29
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
1814
Tackles
64% (14/22)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5861
Clearances
4338
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.651.83
Goals prevented
0.65-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', Billington L. 🟨,
  • 8', 1 - 0, Demetriou M. , Sanders M. H. (A),
  • 36', Bedeau J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Tsaroulla N. , Iorpenda T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
  • 57', Holicek M. 🟨,
  • 64', Iorpenda T. , Luker J. ,
  • 65', Agius C. , Lankester J. ,
  • 72', Hall T. , Dennis M. ,
  • 75', Thomas C. , Tezgel E. ,
  • 89', Holicek M. , Connolly J. ,
  • 89', Finney C. , Mingi J. J. ,
  • 90', Macari L. , Aljofree S. ,
  • 90', Tsaroulla N. , Cotter B. ,
  • 90+1', Cotter B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Roos K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, March J. (Pen),
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
40.4%
Draw
28.5%
Notts County
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 27.1% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 28% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Crewe Alexandra - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.11)
    3.29
    (3.45)
    3.03
    (3.28)
    6.2%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 4.
    • Crewe is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Notts County were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    16.11.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 2:0
    24.02.2024 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 1:3
    11.11.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 1:0
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1482419:13626
    2Swindon1482424:19526
    3Salford1481520:18225
    4MK Dons1473427:151224
    5Notts Co1473425:151024
    6Grimsby1473427:18924
    7Chesterfield1465324:21323
    8Gillingham1464419:14522
    9Crewe1471620:18222
    10Fleetwood1464421:20122
    11Bromley1456321:18321
    12Barnet1463518:15321
    13Cambridge Utd1463516:15121
    14Colchester1446421:18318
    15Barrow1453613:15-218
    16Bristol Rovers1452714:25-1117
    17Oldham1437412:12016
    18Tranmere1336421:19215
    19Harrogate1442815:23-814
    20Cheltenham1442810:25-1514
    21Shrewsbury1434712:22-1013
    22Accrington1333712:16-412
    23Crawley1433814:22-812
    24Newport1432914:23-911

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League