Crewe Alexandra vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

League Two - Round 10
Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.30
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	5
Passes
71% (190/266)	82% (400/488)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.83	1.65
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
4	7
Shots inside the Box
4	10
Shots outside the Box
6	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
24	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
14	18
Passes
71% (190/266)	82% (400/488)
Long passes
43% (26/60)	21% (11/53)
Passes in final third
54% (57/105)	77% (128/167)
Crosses
17% (5/30)	14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.61	1.29
Throw-ins
21	25
Fouls
18	14
Tackles
64% (14/22)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
58	61
Clearances
43	38
Interceptions
5	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.65	1.83
Goals prevented
0.65	-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Billington L. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Demetriou M. ⚽, Sanders M. H. (A),
36', Bedeau J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Tsaroulla N. ⚽, Iorpenda T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
57', Holicek M. 🟨,
64', Iorpenda T. ↓, Luker J. ↑,
65', Agius C. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
72', Hall T. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
75', Thomas C. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
89', Holicek M. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
89', Finney C. ↓, Mingi J. J. ↑,
90', Macari L. ↓, Aljofree S. ↑,
90', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
90+1', Cotter B. 🟨,
90+4', Roos K. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, March J. (Pen),
90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
40.4%

Draw
28.5%

Notts County
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

27.1%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Crewe Alexandra - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.11)	3.29 ↓ (3.45)	3.03 ↓ (3.28)	6.2% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Notts County?

Users Predictions: Notts County will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 4.
Crewe is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Notts County?

Crewe Alexandra has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Crewe Alexandra?

Notts County has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Notts County were as follows:

22.03.2025 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 0:0

16.11.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 2:0

24.02.2024 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 1:3

11.11.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 1:0

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

20.09.2025 Barrow - Crewe Alexandra 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Barnet 1:2 ✺

06.09.2025 Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra 1:1 ✺

02.09.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Chesterfield 7:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

20.09.2025 Notts County - Crawley Town 4:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Notts County - Fleetwood Town 1:0 ✺

02.09.2025 Lincoln City - Notts County 3:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Notts County 1:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	11	8	1	2	17:9	8	25
2	Swindon	11	8	0	3	22:13	9	24
3	Grimsby	11	6	3	2	23:13	10	21
4	Gillingham	11	6	3	2	17:10	7	21
5	Crewe	11	6	1	4	16:12	4	19
6	Salford	11	6	1	4	17:15	2	19
7	MK Dons	11	5	3	3	19:12	7	18
8	Cambridge Utd	11	5	3	3	14:10	4	18
9	Chesterfield	11	5	3	3	20:19	1	18
10	Notts Co	11	5	2	4	20:13	7	17
11	Barnet	11	5	2	4	14:12	2	17
12	Bristol Rovers	11	5	2	4	13:13	0	17
13	Bromley	11	3	6	2	17:15	2	15
14	Fleetwood	11	4	3	4	15:16	-1	15
15	Oldham	11	3	5	3	10:9	1	14
16	Harrogate	11	4	2	5	12:14	-2	14
17	Barrow	11	4	1	6	9:12	-3	13
18	Tranmere	10	2	5	3	16:15	1	11
19	Colchester	11	2	5	4	16:16	0	11
20	Accrington	10	2	3	5	7:13	-6	9
21	Crawley	11	2	2	7	9:20	-11	8
22	Cheltenham	11	2	1	8	6:24	-18	7
23	Shrewsbury	11	1	3	7	7:20	-13	6
24	Newport	11	1	2	8	10:21	-11	5

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League