Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Meadow Lane (Nottingham).

League Two - Round 28
Referee: Searle I. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.00	0.64
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
4	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
6	5
Passes
83% (437/529)	73% (255/348)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.00	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.02	0.00
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked shots
4	4
Shots inside the box
11	4
Shots outside the box
5	5
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
26	12
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	3
Free kicks
7	15
Passes
83% (437/529)	73% (255/348)
Long passes
29% (18/62)	34% (24/70)
Passes in final third
71% (100/141)	54% (55/102)
Crosses
44% (8/18)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.92	0.87
Throw ins
28	23
Fouls
15	7
Tackles
54% (7/13)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
43	55
Clearances
23	29
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.00	2.02
Goals prevented
0.00	1.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
30', Norburn O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lunt O. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
52', Holicek M. 🟨,
62', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
64', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
64', Grant C. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
71', Hutchinson R. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
71', O'Reilly T. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
76', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
82', Bedeau J. 🟨,
86', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
90+1', Sanders M. H. ↓, Moult L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Notts County
47%

Draw
27%

Crewe Alexandra
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Notts County - Crewe Alexandra Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 (1.99)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	3.58 ↑ (3.47)	7.1% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Notts County - Crewe Alexandra?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Notts County is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Notts County: Robertson S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J. (Knee Injury) Tezgel E. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Crewe Alexandra?

Notts County has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Notts County?

Crewe Alexandra has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:

27.09.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 2:1

22.03.2025 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 0:0

16.11.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 2:0

24.02.2024 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 1:3

11.11.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 1:0

Latest results of Notts County

17.01.2026 Crawley Town - Notts County 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Oldham Athletic - Notts County Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

17.01.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Barrow 3:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺

01.01.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town 4:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 2:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Walsall - Crewe Alexandra 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League