Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 28
  • Referee: Searle I. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.000.64
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
40
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
65
Passes
83% (437/529)73% (255/348)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.000.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.020.00
Total shots
169
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
114
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2612
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free kicks
715
Passes
83% (437/529)73% (255/348)
Long passes
29% (18/62)34% (24/70)
Passes in final third
71% (100/141)54% (55/102)
Crosses
44% (8/18)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.87
Throw ins
2823
Fouls
157
Tackles
54% (7/13)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4355
Clearances
2329
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.002.02
Goals prevented
0.001.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Jatta A. , Tsaroulla N. (A),
  • 30', Norburn O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lunt O. , Connolly J. ,
  • 52', Holicek M. 🟨,
  • 62', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
  • 64', Jones J. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 64', Grant C. , Hall T. ,
  • 71', Hutchinson R. , Thibaut A. ,
  • 71', O'Reilly T. , Rankine D. ,
  • 76', Jatta A. , Dennis M. ,
  • 82', Bedeau J. 🟨,
  • 86', Macari L. , Ness L. ,
  • 90+1', Sanders M. H. , Moult L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
47%
Draw
27%
Crewe Alexandra
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26.6% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 25.6% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Notts County - Crewe Alexandra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.99)
    3.44
    (3.49)
    3.58
    (3.47)
    7.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Crewe Alexandra?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Notts County is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Robertson S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J. (Knee Injury) Tezgel E. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 2:1
    22.03.2025 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    16.11.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 2:0
    24.02.2024 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 1:3
    11.11.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Notts County 1:0
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League