Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Searle I. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (437/529) | 73% (255/348) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
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| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (437/529) | 73% (255/348) |
| Long passes |
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| 29% (18/62) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 71% (100/141) | 54% (55/102) |
| Crosses |
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| 44% (8/18) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
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| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
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| 54% (7/13) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
- 30', Norburn O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lunt O. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
- 52', Holicek M. 🟨,
- 62', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
- 64', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 64', Grant C. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 71', Hutchinson R. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 71', O'Reilly T. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
- 76', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 82', Bedeau J. 🟨,
- 86', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
- 90+1', Sanders M. H. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Notts County 47% | Draw 27% | Crewe Alexandra 26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Notts County - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 (1.99) |
3.44 ↓ (3.49) |
3.58 ↑ (3.47) |
7.1% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Notts County - Crewe Alexandra?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Notts County is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Robertson S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Crewe Alexandra?
Notts County has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Notts County?
Crewe Alexandra has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
27.09.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Notts County
2:1
22.03.2025
Notts County
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:0
16.11.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Notts County
2:0
24.02.2024
Notts County
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:3
11.11.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Notts County
1:0
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 54:32 | 22 | 62 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 46:30 | 16 | 57 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:24 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Swindon | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 50:34 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 59:33 | 26 | 54 |
| 6 | Salford | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | Walsall | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 49:41 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Crewe | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Barnet | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 46 |
| 11 | Colchester | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 45 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 45 |
| 13 | Accrington | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 43 |
| 14 | Gillingham | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 40:36 | 4 | 41 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | Oldham | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 35 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 43:51 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 29:51 | -22 | 30 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:50 | -22 | 27 |
| 20 | Crawley | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 32:51 | -19 | 26 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 26 |
| 22 | Barrow | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 24 |
| 23 | Newport | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22:50 | -28 | 21 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League