Result
0:2
17/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 14
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.50 | 0.81 |
Ball Possession |
---|
70% | 30% |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
91% (545/601) | 77% (212/274) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.50 | 0.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.15 | 1.62 |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
15 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
19 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
3 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
51 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
91% (545/601) | 77% (212/274) |
Long passes |
---|
65% (33/51) | 33% (14/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
84% (169/201) | 71% (40/56) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (9/42) | 17% (1/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.18 | 0.54 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 7 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (6/8) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
9 | 53 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.62 | 0.15 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.38 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 30', 0 - 1, Fabricio Bruno ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 35', 0 - 2, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nonato ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 59', Martinelli 🟨,
- 63', Kaua Prates ↓, William Furtado ↑,
- 66', Soteldo Y. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 66', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 67', Cassio 🟨,
- 75', Fuentes G. ↓, Rene ↑,
- 76', Martinelli ↓, Lima ↑,
- 79', Matheus Pereira ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 79', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 86', Marquinhos 🟨,
- 88', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 89', Christian ↓, Jonathan Jesus ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense 41.8% | Draw 31.6% | Cruzeiro 26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fluminense - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.28 ↓ (2.55) |
3 ↓ (3.15) |
3.57 ↑ (2.8) |
5.2% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Cruzeiro?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Fluminense (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(53 of 65 users predict this - 81.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 90.97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cruzeiro has had a series of home games.
- Fluminense might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Kaiki
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Riquelme Felipe
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: William Furtado
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Cruzeiro?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Fluminense?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Cruzeiro were as follows:
03.10.2024
Fluminense
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
19.06.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Fluminense
2:0
20.09.2023
Fluminense
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
10.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Fluminense
0:2
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet