Result
0:0
09/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 33
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (299/355) | 83% (331/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (299/355) | 83% (331/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (29/45) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (103/138) | 63% (52/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 11', Bernal F. 🟨,
- 14', Christian 🟨,
- 27', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bernal F. ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 56', Arroyo K. 🟨,
- 56', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 65', Serna K. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 68', Arroyo K. ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 73', Everaldo ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 73', Canobbio A. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 74', Romero L. 🟨,
- 76', Freytes J. 🟨,
- 83', William Furtado ↓, Kaua Moraes ↑,
- 84', Eduardo ↓, Walace ↑,
- 84', Christian ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
- 85', Acosta L. ↓, Lima ↑,
- 85', Hercules ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 90+6', Walace 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
48.6% | Draw
29.3% | Fluminense
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Cruzeiro - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.85) |
3.27 ↑
(3.2) |
4.3 ↓
(4.5) |
5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Fluminense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Cruzeiro (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cruzeiro will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.
- Cruzeiro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fluminense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Silva
(Yellow Cards)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Ribs Injury)
Wanderson
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Inactive)
Manoel
(Inactive)
Martinelli
(Yellow Cards)
PH Ganso
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Fluminense?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Cruzeiro?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Fluminense were as follows:
17.07.2025
Fluminense
-
Cruzeiro
0:2
03.10.2024
Fluminense
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
19.06.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Fluminense
2:0
20.09.2023
Fluminense
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
10.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Fluminense
0:2
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
