Sochi vs CSKA Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
22/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.372.58
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
125
Passes
77% (244/316)87% (449/518)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.372.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.363.00
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
125
Touches in opposition box
2522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
715
Passes
77% (244/316)87% (449/518)
Long passes
48% (16/33)42% (16/38)
Passes in final third
72% (58/81)69% (82/119)
Crosses
19% (5/27)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.101.03
Throw-ins
2525
Fouls
157
Tackles
90% (9/10)82% (14/17)
Duels won
3653
Clearances
3337
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
3.000.36
Goals prevented
0.00-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Zinkovskiy A. , Attiyat Allah Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Shumansky A. , Alerrandro ,
  • 46', Di Luciano R. , Henrique Carmo ,
  • 48', Henrique Carmo 🟨,
  • 49', Fedorov Z. 🟨,
  • 57', Soldatenkov A. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Oblyakov I. (Pen),
  • 68', 1 - 2, Oblyakov I. (Pen),
  • 68', Ezhov R. 🟨,
  • 73', Ezhov R. , Zaika K. ,
  • 73', Vasiljev D. , Kovalenko A. ,
  • 73', Fedorov Z. , Mukhin M. ,
  • 77', Kravtsov K. , Saavedra I. ,
  • 80', Alerrandro 🟨,
  • 83', Alerrandro , Villagra R. ,
  • 84', Volkov S. , Bart R. ,
  • 90+1', Bandikyan A. , Abdulkadyrov D. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Kislyak M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sochi
19.1%
Draw
25.3%
CSKA Moscow
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.2% 23.8% 59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7% 23.1% 60.8%

Sochi - CSKA Moscow Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.09
(5.4)
3.85
(3.9)
1.75
(1.57)
2.7%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sochi - CSKA Moscow?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). CSKA will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 79.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): CSKA Moscow will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1.
    • Sochi has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • CSKA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, CSKA is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Sochi: Makarchuk A. (Muscle Injury) Meleshin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in CSKA: Gajic M. (Red Card) Matheus Alves (Red Card)
    • We predict that CSKA will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
    30.03.2024 Sochi - CSKA Moscow 2:2
    09.02.2024 Sochi - CSKA Moscow 2:1
    20.09.2023 CSKA Moscow - Sochi 2:1
    30.08.2023 Sochi - CSKA Moscow 0:1
    13.08.2023 CSKA Moscow - Sochi 3:1
    Latest results of Sochi
    17.09.2025 Sochi - Dynamo Moscow 0:4
    14.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Sochi 2:0
    30.08.2025 Spartak Moscow - Sochi 2:1
    27.08.2025 Sochi - Krasnodar 2:4
    Latest results of CSKA Moscow
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar15103228:91933
    2CSKA Moscow16103326:141233
    3Zenit1586129:121730
    4Lokomotiv Moscow1586131:191230
    5Baltika1678121:71429
    6Spartak Moscow1684425:21428
    7Rubin Kazan1665516:19-323
    8Akron Togliatti1656521:22-121
    9FK Rostov1546512:15-318
    10Dynamo Moscow1545622:23-117
    11Akhmat Grozny1644819:24-516
    12Dynamo Makhachkala153578:17-914
    13Krylya Sovetov1535718:26-814
    14Orenburg1626817:26-912
    15Sochi16221214:37-238
    16Pari NN1522119:25-168

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL