Result
1:3
22/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (244/316) | 87% (449/518) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 3.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (244/316) | 87% (449/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (16/33) | 42% (16/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (58/81) | 69% (82/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.00 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Zinkovskiy A. ⚽, Attiyat Allah Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Shumansky A. ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
- 46', Di Luciano R. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
- 48', Henrique Carmo 🟨,
- 49', Fedorov Z. 🟨,
- 57', Soldatenkov A. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Oblyakov I. (Pen),
- 68', 1 - 2, Oblyakov I. (Pen),
- 68', Ezhov R. 🟨,
- 73', Ezhov R. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
- 73', Vasiljev D. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
- 73', Fedorov Z. ↓, Mukhin M. ↑,
- 77', Kravtsov K. ↓, Saavedra I. ↑,
- 80', Alerrandro 🟨,
- 83', Alerrandro ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
- 84', Volkov S. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
- 90+1', Bandikyan A. ↓, Abdulkadyrov D. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Kislyak M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sochi
19.1% | Draw
25.3% | CSKA Moscow
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sochi - CSKA Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.09 ↓
(5.4) |
3.85 ↓
(3.9) |
1.75 ↑
(1.57) |
2.7%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sochi - CSKA Moscow?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). CSKA will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 79.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): CSKA Moscow will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1.
- Sochi has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- CSKA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, CSKA is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Sochi: Makarchuk A.
(Muscle Injury)
Meleshin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in CSKA: Gajic M.
(Red Card)
Matheus Alves
(Red Card)
- We predict that CSKA will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against CSKA Moscow?
Sochi has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Sochi?
CSKA Moscow has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
30.03.2024
Sochi
-
CSKA Moscow
2:2
09.02.2024
Sochi
-
CSKA Moscow
2:1
20.09.2023
CSKA Moscow
-
Sochi
2:1
30.08.2023
Sochi
-
CSKA Moscow
0:1
13.08.2023
CSKA Moscow
-
Sochi
3:1
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | Zenit | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Baltika | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
