Danubio vs Montevideo City Torque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Danubio - Montevideo City Torque
Result
3:2
07/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 3
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
512
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
512
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
48
Goalkeeper Saves
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Leivas N. , Pizzichillo F. ,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Fernandez S. ,
  • 33', Nunez S. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Villa M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Nunez W. , Andrade L. ,
  • 54', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
  • 55', Peralta M. , Femia E. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Kagelmacher G. ,
  • 63', Romero S. 🟨,
  • 66', Guzman D. , Pino L. ,
  • 70', Fernandez S. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 70', Sosa L. , Cardozo E. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Neris P. ,
  • 73', Costa S. 🟨,
  • 82', Costa S. , Obregon E. ,
  • 82', Siles P. , Taran J. ,
  • 87', Nunez S. , Piriz D. ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Gonzalez M. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Romero S. ,
  • 90+4', Piriz D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Danubio
38.6%
Draw
30.8%
Montevideo City Torque
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 31% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.6% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Danubio - Montevideo City Torque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.29)
    3
    (3.03)
    3.04
    (3.34)
    7.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Danubio - Montevideo City Torque?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Danubio (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Danubio will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 2.
    • Danubio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Montevideo City is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Montevideo City Torque - Danubio 1:1
    20.08.2023 Danubio - Montevideo City Torque 0:1
    16.06.2023 Danubio - Montevideo City Torque 1:0
    05.02.2023 Montevideo City Torque - Danubio 1:1
    Latest results of Danubio
    31.05.2025 Progreso - Danubio 0:1
    25.05.2025 Danubio - Miramar Misiones 2:0
    19.05.2025 Plaza Colonia - Danubio 1:2
    Draw
    Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs

    Final
    1NacionalPenarol0 : 1