Result
3:2
07/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 3
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Leivas N. ↓, Pizzichillo F. ↑,
- 21', 1 - 0, Fernandez S. ⚽,
- 33', Nunez S. (Pen),
- 45+1', Villa M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Nunez W. ↓, Andrade L. ↑,
- 54', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
- 55', Peralta M. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Kagelmacher G. ⚽,
- 63', Romero S. 🟨,
- 66', Guzman D. ↓, Pino L. ↑,
- 70', Fernandez S. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 70', Sosa L. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Neris P. ⚽,
- 73', Costa S. 🟨,
- 82', Costa S. ↓, Obregon E. ↑,
- 82', Siles P. ↓, Taran J. ↑,
- 87', Nunez S. ↓, Piriz D. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 2, Romero S. ⚽,
- 90+4', Piriz D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Danubio
38.6% | Draw
30.8% | Montevideo City Torque
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Danubio - Montevideo City Torque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.29) |
3 ↓
(3.03) |
3.04 ↓
(3.34) |
7.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Danubio - Montevideo City Torque?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Danubio (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Danubio will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 2.
- Danubio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Montevideo City is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Montevideo City Torque?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo City Torque won against Danubio?
Montevideo City Torque has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
30.03.2025
Montevideo City Torque
-
Danubio
1:1
20.08.2023
Danubio
-
Montevideo City Torque
0:1
16.06.2023
Danubio
-
Montevideo City Torque
1:0
05.02.2023
Montevideo City Torque
-
Danubio
1:1
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 3 | Boston River | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventud | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Nacional | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Miramar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | CA Cerro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Danubio | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Progreso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
| 16 | River Plate | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:8 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
