Result
1:1
04/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Cabrera E. 🟨,
- 31', Andrade L. 🟨,
- 33', Pereyra J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Cabrera E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Caceres S. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
- 46', Busquets E. ↓, Silvera F. ↑,
- 46', Andrade L. ↓, Obregon E. ↑,
- 55', Obregon E. 🟨,
- 61', Da Silva N. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 66', Guzman D. ↓, Lecchini R. ↑,
- 67', Femia E. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
- 67', Peralta M. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
- 74', Cabrera E. ↓, Velazquez A. ↑,
- 76', Rossi I. 🟨,
- 81', Balatti F. 🟨,
- 84', Azambuja N. ↓, Figueroa E. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Aguero E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Danubio
40.8% | Draw
30.5% | Montevideo City Torque
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Danubio's performance.Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo City Torque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danubio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+14.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo City Torque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Danubio - Montevideo City Torque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(3.3) |
3.06 ↓
(3.18) |
3.26 ↑
(2.21) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Danubio - Montevideo City Torque?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Montevideo City Torque?
Danubio has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo City Torque won against Danubio?
Montevideo City Torque has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
28.09.2025
Danubio
-
Montevideo City Torque
2:0
07.06.2025
Danubio
-
Montevideo City Torque
3:2
30.03.2025
Montevideo City Torque
-
Danubio
1:1
20.08.2023
Danubio
-
Montevideo City Torque
0:1
16.06.2023
Danubio
-
Montevideo City Torque
1:0
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Nacional | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Albion | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Defensor Sp | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Danubio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Progreso | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Juventud | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
