Danubio vs Montevideo City Torque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Danubio - Montevideo City Torque
Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
39
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
718
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
49
Corner Kicks
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Fernandez S. ,
  • 12', 2 - 0, Gonzalez M. ,
  • 25', Perg M. 🟨,
  • 32', Guzman D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Guzman D. , Da Silva N. ,
  • 46', Costa S. , Kociubinski B. ,
  • 46', Nunez W. , Arevalo K. ,
  • 48', Sosa L. 🟨,
  • 56', Fernandez S. , Amaro J. ,
  • 65', Da Silva N. 🟨,
  • 73', Peralta M. , Brandao ,
  • 73', Nunez S. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 84', Pizzichillo F. , Busquets E. ,
  • 84', Siles P. , Martinez F. ,
  • 86', Femia E. , Balatti F. ,
  • 89', Gonzalez M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Danubio
54.4%
Draw
26.6%
Montevideo City Torque
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 29.1% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 28.3% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Danubio's performance.
  • Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo City Torque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-25.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danubio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+23.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo City Torque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Danubio - Montevideo City Torque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (3.2)
    6.16
    (3.24)
    9.22
    (2.27)
    -34.3%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Danubio - Montevideo City Torque?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 2.
    • Recent performances by Danubio have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Montevideo City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Danubio - Montevideo City Torque 3:2
    30.03.2025 Montevideo City Torque - Danubio 1:1
    20.08.2023 Danubio - Montevideo City Torque 0:1
    16.06.2023 Danubio - Montevideo City Torque 1:0
    05.02.2023 Montevideo City Torque - Danubio 1:1
    Latest results of Danubio
    14.09.2025 Danubio - Cerro 5:1
    31.08.2025 Danubio - Miramar Misiones 2:3
    24.08.2025 Progreso - Danubio 1:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1292126:91729
    2Nacional1283124:101424
    3Defensor Sp1271411:12-122
    4Boston River1256120:81221
    5Montevideo City1263322:15721
    6Liverpool M1154215:12319
    7CA Cerro1261511:13-219
    8Cerro Largo1253413:12118
    9Progreso1252515:14117
    10Danubio1243514:11315
    11Miramar1233616:19-312
    12Racing Montevideo113359:18-912
    13Juventud113266:10-411
    14River Plate121476:17-117
    15Plaza Colonia111287:21-145
    16Wanderers121295:19-145

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