Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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45% | 55% |
Total shots |
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7 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 2 |
Total shots |
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7 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Fernandez S. ⚽,
- 12', 2 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
- 25', Perg M. 🟨,
- 32', Guzman D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Guzman D. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
- 46', Costa S. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
- 46', Nunez W. ↓, Arevalo K. ↑,
- 48', Sosa L. 🟨,
- 56', Fernandez S. ↓, Amaro J. ↑,
- 65', Da Silva N. 🟨,
- 73', Peralta M. ↓, Brandao ↑,
- 73', Nunez S. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 84', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Busquets E. ↑,
- 84', Siles P. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 86', Femia E. ↓, Balatti F. ↑,
- 89', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Danubio 54.4% | Draw 26.6% | Montevideo City Torque 18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Danubio's performance.Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo City Torque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-25.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danubio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+23.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo City Torque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Danubio - Montevideo City Torque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.59 ↓ (3.2) |
6.16 ↑ (3.24) |
9.22 ↑ (2.27) |
-34.3% (6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Danubio - Montevideo City Torque?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 2.
- Recent performances by Danubio have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Montevideo City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Montevideo City Torque?
Danubio has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo City Torque won against Danubio?
Montevideo City Torque has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
07.06.2025
Danubio
-
Montevideo City Torque
3:2
30.03.2025
Montevideo City Torque
-
Danubio
1:1
20.08.2023
Danubio
-
Montevideo City Torque
0:1
16.06.2023
Danubio
-
Montevideo City Torque
1:0
05.02.2023
Montevideo City Torque
-
Danubio
1:1
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Penarol | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
3 | Defensor Sp | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 22 |
4 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
5 | Montevideo City | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 21 |
6 | Liverpool M | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
7 | CA Cerro | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Progreso | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Danubio | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
11 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
12 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 12 |
13 | Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
14 | River Plate | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 7 |
15 | Plaza Colonia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:21 | -14 | 5 |
16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )