VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


VVV-Venlo
32.8%
Draw
23.7%
De Graafschap
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 23.1% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 22.7% 44.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.8)
    3.92
    (4)
    2.15
    (2.11)
    7.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.
    • Venlo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • De Graafschap is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap were as follows:
    08.08.2025 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:2
    28.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap 3:1
    01.12.2024 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:1
    26.01.2024 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:0
    01.09.2023 VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap 2:0
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    06.04.2026 Jong PSV - VVV-Venlo 1:0
    03.04.2026 VVV-Venlo - Cambuur 3:0
    20.03.2026 Emmen - VVV-Venlo 2:2
    17.03.2026 VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax 0:1
    13.03.2026 MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie