De Graafschap vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 5
  • Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.78
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2811
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
84% (395/468)75% (207/277)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.78
xG on target (xGOT)
2.060.78
Total shots
2811
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
76
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
144
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
3313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
157
Passes
84% (395/468)75% (207/277)
Long passes
56% (40/72)48% (29/60)
Passes in final third
65% (75/115)65% (47/72)
Crosses
39% (11/28)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.52
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
816
Tackles
78% (7/9)50% (4/8)
Duels won
4432
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
39
xGOT faced
0.782.06
Goals prevented
-0.221.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Culum A. ,
  • 13', Besselink R. 🟨,
  • 21', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
  • 43', Haen D. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Niemeijer R. , Symons K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Simons J. , van der Heide A. ,
  • 60', Boersma B. , Theodoridis D. ,
  • 62', Ciranni A. 🟨,
  • 69', Culum A. , El Allouchi M. ,
  • 69', Meerstadt J. , Braem T. ,
  • 69', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 74', Bamba S. , Verheydt T. ,
  • 84', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


De Graafschap
43.2%
Draw
24.6%
Willem II
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 25.1% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 25% 35.3%

De Graafschap - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(2.3)
3.76
(3.6)
2.85
(2.55)
7.8%
(10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 9.6%70.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.
    • De Graafschap has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Willem II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
    • De Graafschap will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Tirpan M. (Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Culum A. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 1.2:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Willem II were as follows:
    09.02.2024 De Graafschap - Willem II 0:2
    06.10.2023 Willem II - De Graafschap 4:2
    16.12.2022 De Graafschap - Willem II 0:3
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    05.09.2025 De Graafschap - Emmen 2:3
    15.08.2025 Roda - De Graafschap 1:0
    08.08.2025 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:2
    02.08.2025 De Graafschap - Volos 1:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    06.09.2025 Cambuur - Willem II 2:2
    29.08.2025 Willem II - Jong Utrecht 2:1
    22.08.2025 Almere City - Willem II 0:1
    17.08.2025 Willem II - FC Eindhoven 0:1
    10.08.2025 ADO Den Haag - Willem II 5:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag21171357:233452
    2Cambuur22155248:232550
    3De Graafschap22114742:35737
    4Almere City22112947:351235
    5Roda2298538:32635
    6Jong PSV22104844:44034
    7Willem II2296729:30-133
    8Den Bosch221021041:41032
    9Waalwijk2286834:34030
    10Venlo221001229:33-430
    11Jong Utrecht2285938:40-229
    12FC Emmen22841039:43-428
    13Eindhoven FC22831129:43-1427
    14Dordrecht2267927:32-525
    15Helmond22741131:38-725
    16Maastricht22741127:41-1425
    17Oss2258930:37-723
    18Jong AZ23721436:46-1023
    19Jong Ajax23371331:45-1416
    20Vitesse2176833:35-215

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