Willem II vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Willem II
42.9%
Draw
22.9%
De Graafschap
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 23.7% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 23.1% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Willem II - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.19)
    4.02
    (3.9)
    2.76
    (2.72)
    7.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 4.
    • Willem II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • De Graafschap has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 2.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - De Graafschap were as follows:
    12.09.2025 De Graafschap - Willem II 1:1
    09.02.2024 De Graafschap - Willem II 0:2
    06.10.2023 Willem II - De Graafschap 4:2
    16.12.2022 De Graafschap - Willem II 0:3
    Latest results of Willem II
    22.03.2026 MVV Maastricht - Willem II 0:5
    13.03.2026 FC Oss - Willem II 1:3
    08.03.2026 Willem II - Den Bosch 1:1
    27.02.2026 Emmen - Willem II 0:3
    24.02.2026 Willem II - ADO Den Haag 0:1
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 33252674:324277
    2Cambuur32217466:372970
    3Willem II32158950:381253
    4De Graafschap321571059:51852
    5Almere City331641368:531552
    6Jong PSV331551362:58450
    7Waalwijk331391156:50648
    8Roda331212951:48348
    9Den Bosch331371358:59-146
    10Dordrecht3311101244:46-243
    11Eindhoven FC321241646:57-1140
    12Jong Utrecht331091451:55-439
    13Venlo331151741:51-1038
    14FC Emmen311071448:56-837
    15Vitesse331391151:49236
    16Maastricht33991539:66-2736
    17Jong AZ331041957:66-934
    18Helmond33971738:57-1934
    19Jong Ajax33881745:59-1432
    20Oss337111541:57-1632

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie