Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 5
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (395/468) | 75% (207/277) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (395/468) | 75% (207/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (40/72) | 48% (29/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (75/115) | 65% (47/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Culum A. ⚽,
- 13', Besselink R. 🟨,
- 21', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
- 43', Haen D. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Symons K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Simons J. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
- 60', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
- 62', Ciranni A. 🟨,
- 69', Culum A. ↓, El Allouchi M. ↑,
- 69', Meerstadt J. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
- 69', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 74', Bamba S. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
- 84', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
De Graafschap
43.2% | Draw
24.6% | Willem II
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
De Graafschap - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.3) |
3.76 ↑
(3.6) |
2.85 ↑
(2.55) |
7.8%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Willem II?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.
- De Graafschap has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Willem II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
- De Graafschap will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
Tirpan M.
(Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Culum A.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 1.2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Willem II?
De Graafschap has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against De Graafschap?
Willem II has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Willem II were as follows:
09.02.2024
De Graafschap
-
Willem II
0:2
06.10.2023
Willem II
-
De Graafschap
4:2
16.12.2022
De Graafschap
-
Willem II
0:3
Latest results of De Graafschap
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
