Defensor Sporting vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Defensor Sporting - Cerro
Result
2:1
22/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 6
  • Referee: Motta S. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
129
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
85
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', Cambon A. 🟨,
  • 61', Cambon A. , Abreu D. ,
  • 61', Alvarez J. , Dudok R. ,
  • 62', Frugone A. 🟨,
  • 63', Frugone A. , Falconis O. ,
  • 63', Ocampo M. , Alonso M. ,
  • 65', Pacifico P. 🟨,
  • 70', Abaldo M. , Biscayzacu X. ,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Cuello E. ,
  • 72', Dawson K. 🟨,
  • 79', Barrios G. , Wunsch N. ,
  • 80', Miranda A. , Salaberry H. ,
  • 80', Caceres S. , Mulet A. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Abreu D. ,
  • 90', Crespo E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Abreu D. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Wunsch N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
54.1%
Draw
27%
Cerro
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 26.9% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 26.4% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Defensor Sporting - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.72)
    3.43
    (3.47)
    4.93
    (4.96)
    7.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Cerro?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2.
    • Defensor Sporting is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cerro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cerro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Defensor Sporting is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 9 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Cerro were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 3:2
    07.09.2024 Cerro - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    25.02.2024 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 5:0
    15.11.2023 Cerro - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    08.04.2023 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 1:1
    Latest results of Cerro
    19.06.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 2:1
    13.06.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 2:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol540112:4812
    2Boston River53209:3611
    3Montevideo City531113:8510
    4Liverpool M53116:3310
    5Cerro Largo53116:3310
    6Juventud53025:509
    7Defensor Sp53023:6-39
    8Nacional531111:657
    9Miramar52128:717
    10CA Cerro52125:417
    11Racing Montevideo52034:10-66
    12Danubio51134:6-24
    13Wanderers51132:4-24
    14Progreso51045:9-43
    15Plaza Colonia50143:10-71
    16River Plate50140:8-81

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