Cerro vs Defensor Sporting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
29
Shots on target
26
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
29
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
03
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1222
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
2011

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Alvarez J. , Navarro L. ,
  • 57', Ocampo M. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 61', Wunsch N. , Lozano B. ,
  • 63', Barrios G. 🟨,
  • 75', Caceres S. , Miranda A. ,
  • 75', Paiva S. , Morales B. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ,
  • 81', Machado A. , Abreu D. ,
  • 83', Lozano B. 🟨,
  • 86', Agazzi L. , Biscayzacu X. ,
  • 89', Larrosa E. , Farias M. ,
  • 90+2', Neira I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cerro
26.5%
Draw
30.8%
Defensor Sporting
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 28.9% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 28.3% 44.4%

Cerro - Defensor Sporting Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.56
(3.33)
3.04
(3.18)
2.19
(2.12)
6.6%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro - Defensor Sporting?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Defensor Sporting (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 0.
    • Cerro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Defensor Sporting is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cerro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Defensor Sporting is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 2:1
    14.04.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 3:2
    07.09.2024 Cerro - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    25.02.2024 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 5:0
    15.11.2023 Cerro - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    Latest results of Cerro
    05.10.2025 Progreso - Cerro 2:0
    21.09.2025 Cerro - Miramar Misiones 1:0
    14.09.2025 Danubio - Cerro 5:1
    07.09.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 0:1
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Liverpool M.Penarol1 : 2
    2ByeNacional

    Final
    1PenarolNacional2 : 2