Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
147:123
29/12/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
9787
Field Goals Made
5347
Field Goals %
54.64%54.02%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5358
2-Point Field Goals Made
3136
2-Point Field Goals %
58.49%62.07%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
4429
3-Point Field Goals Made
2211
3-Point Field Goals %
50%37.93%
Free Throws Attempted
2322
Free Throws Made
1918
Free Throws %
82.6%81.8%
Offensive Rebounds
146
Defensive Rebounds
3129
Total Rebounds
4535
Assists
4029
Blocks
44
Turnovers
1010
Steals
85
Personal Fouls
2120
Technical Fouls
01

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
46.8%
Denver Nuggets
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 61.3%

Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.05
(2.46)

1.81
(1.55)
4.1%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 243.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Denver will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 31.8%72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 3 - 60%). Denver (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 121:123.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Miami: Adebayo B. (Back Injury) Herro T. (Toe Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Denver: Bates T. (Foot Injury) Braun C. (Ankle Injury) Gordon A. (Hamstring Injury) Johnson C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 2028:2220. (average 101.4:111).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 788:868. (average 98.5:108.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets were as follows:
    05.11.2025 Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat 122:112
    17.01.2025 Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets 113:133
    08.11.2024 Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat 135:122
    13.03.2024 Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets 88:100
    29.02.2024 Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat 103:97
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    27.12.2025 Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers 142:116
    26.12.2025 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 111:126
    23.12.2025 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 91:112
    21.12.2025 New York Knicks - Miami Heat 132:125
    19.12.2025 Boston Celtics - Miami Heat 129:116
    Latest results of Denver Nuggets
    NBA Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder413474975:44330.829
    2Denver Nuggets4128135026:48070.683
    3San Antonio Spurs4027134704:45110.675
    4Minnesota Timberwolves4127144934:46970.659
    5Los Angeles Lakers3824144426:44250.632
    6Houston Rockets3723144364:41000.622
    7Phoenix Suns4024164593:44860.600
    8Golden State Warriors4122194736:46420.537
    9Portland Trail Blazers4119224749:48730.463
    10Los Angeles Clippers4017234490:45310.425
    11Memphis Grizzlies4017234593:46490.425
    12Dallas Mavericks4115264628:47910.366
    13Utah Jazz4014264771:50790.350
    14Sacramento Kings4111304518:49490.268
    15New Orleans Pelicans4310334942:52540.233


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons3828104478:42270.737
    2New York Knicks4025154760:45940.625
    3Boston Celtics3924154548:42950.615
    4Toronto Raptors4225174783:47070.595
    5Philadelphia 76ers3922174557:45090.564
    6Orlando Magic4123184767:47110.561
    7Cleveland Cavaliers4223195043:49330.548
    8Miami Heat4021194782:47120.525
    9Atlanta Hawks4220224969:49940.476
    10Chicago Bulls4019214699:48370.475
    11Milwaukee Bucks4017234508:46270.425
    12Charlotte Hornets4014264645:46660.350
    13Brooklyn Nets3811274136:43280.289
    14Washington Wizards3910294391:48310.256
    15Indiana Pacers419324534:48510.220

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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