Result
147:123
29/12/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NBA
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | NBA Global League Pass |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 97 | 87 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 54.64% | 54.02% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 53 | 58 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 31 | 36 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 58.49% | 62.07% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 44 | 29 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 50% | 37.93% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 82.6% | 81.8% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 45 | 35 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 40 | 29 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Technical Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Chances of winning
Miami Heat
46.8% | Denver Nuggets
53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.Denver Nuggets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denver Nuggets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denver Nuggets than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denver Nuggets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.46) |
|
1.81 ↑
(1.55) |
4.1%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 243.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Denver will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 31.8% – 72.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Denver (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5, 1st Half - Miami (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5, OT - Miami (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5, OT - Miami (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 245.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Denver (votes: 4 - 26.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 121:123.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Miami: Adebayo B.
(Back Injury)
Herro T.
(Toe Injury)
Rozier T.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Denver: Bates T.
(Foot Injury)
Braun C.
(Ankle Injury)
Gordon A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johnson C.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 2028:2220. (average 101.4:111).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 788:868. (average 98.5:108.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami Heat won against Denver Nuggets?
Miami Heat has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Denver Nuggets won against Miami Heat?
Denver Nuggets has won 12 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets were as follows:
05.11.2025
Denver Nuggets
-
Miami Heat
122:112
17.01.2025
Miami Heat
-
Denver Nuggets
113:133
08.11.2024
Denver Nuggets
-
Miami Heat
135:122
13.03.2024
Miami Heat
-
Denver Nuggets
88:100
29.02.2024
Denver Nuggets
-
Miami Heat
103:97
Latest results of Miami Heat
Latest results of Denver Nuggets
NBA Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ | 70 | 55 | 15 | 8294:7524 | 0.786 |
| 2 | San Antonio Spurs | 69 | 51 | 18 | 8213:7709 | 0.739 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 68 | 43 | 25 | 7905:7815 | 0.632 |
| 4 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 70 | 43 | 27 | 8318:8046 | 0.614 |
| 5 | Houston Rockets | 67 | 41 | 26 | 7625:7354 | 0.612 |
| 6 | Denver Nuggets | 70 | 42 | 28 | 8449:8154 | 0.600 |
| 7 | Phoenix Suns | 69 | 39 | 30 | 7756:7684 | 0.565 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Clippers | 69 | 34 | 35 | 7824:7786 | 0.493 |
| 9 | Portland Trail Blazers | 70 | 34 | 36 | 8066:8209 | 0.486 |
| 10 | Golden State Warriors | 69 | 33 | 36 | 7936:7899 | 0.478 |
| 11 | Memphis Grizzlies | 68 | 24 | 44 | 7869:8066 | 0.353 |
| 12 | New Orleans Pelicans | 70 | 24 | 46 | 8103:8369 | 0.343 |
| 13 | Dallas Mavericks | 70 | 23 | 47 | 7928:8292 | 0.329 |
| 14 | Utah Jazz | 69 | 20 | 49 | 8085:8640 | 0.290 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 70 | 18 | 52 | 7751:8451 | 0.257 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 68 | 49 | 19 | 7984:7471 | 0.721 |
| 2 | Boston Celtics | 69 | 46 | 23 | 7894:7380 | 0.667 |
| 3 | New York Knicks | 70 | 45 | 25 | 8199:7742 | 0.643 |
| 4 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 69 | 42 | 27 | 8221:7927 | 0.609 |
| 5 | Toronto Raptors | 68 | 39 | 29 | 7752:7605 | 0.574 |
| 6 | Orlando Magic | 68 | 38 | 30 | 7855:7765 | 0.559 |
| 7 | Miami Heat | 69 | 38 | 31 | 8294:8065 | 0.551 |
| 8 | Atlanta Hawks | 69 | 38 | 31 | 8147:8046 | 0.551 |
| 9 | Philadelphia 76ers | 69 | 37 | 32 | 7954:8012 | 0.536 |
| 10 | Charlotte Hornets | 69 | 35 | 34 | 7991:7744 | 0.507 |
| 11 | Milwaukee Bucks | 68 | 28 | 40 | 7565:7902 | 0.412 |
| 12 | Chicago Bulls | 69 | 28 | 41 | 7996:8300 | 0.406 |
| 13 | Brooklyn Nets | 69 | 17 | 52 | 7339:7981 | 0.246 |
| 14 | Washington Wizards | 68 | 16 | 52 | 7669:8418 | 0.235 |
| 15 | Indiana Pacers | 70 | 15 | 55 | 7791:8417 | 0.214 |
Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
