Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
147:123
29/12/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
9787
Field Goals Made
5347
Field Goals %
54.64%54.02%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5358
2-Point Field Goals Made
3136
2-Point Field Goals %
58.49%62.07%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
4429
3-Point Field Goals Made
2211
3-Point Field Goals %
50%37.93%
Free Throws Attempted
2322
Free Throws Made
1918
Free Throws %
82.6%81.8%
Offensive Rebounds
146
Defensive Rebounds
3129
Total Rebounds
4535
Assists
4029
Blocks
44
Turnovers
1010
Steals
85
Personal Fouls
2120
Technical Fouls
01

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
46.8%
Denver Nuggets
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 61.3%

Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.05
(2.46)

1.81
(1.55)
4.1%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 243.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Denver will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 31.8%72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Denver (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5, 1st Half - Miami (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, OT - Miami (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5, OT - Miami (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 245.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Denver (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 121:123.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Miami: Adebayo B. (Back Injury) Herro T. (Toe Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Denver: Bates T. (Foot Injury) Braun C. (Ankle Injury) Gordon A. (Hamstring Injury) Johnson C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 2028:2220. (average 101.4:111).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 788:868. (average 98.5:108.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets were as follows:
    05.11.2025 Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat 122:112
    17.01.2025 Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets 113:133
    08.11.2024 Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat 135:122
    13.03.2024 Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets 88:100
    29.02.2024 Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat 103:97
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    27.12.2025 Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers 142:116
    26.12.2025 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 111:126
    23.12.2025 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 91:112
    21.12.2025 New York Knicks - Miami Heat 132:125
    19.12.2025 Boston Celtics - Miami Heat 129:116
    Latest results of Denver Nuggets
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder5240126249:56090.769
    2San Antonio Spurs5034165844:55880.680
    3Denver Nuggets5233196245:60440.635
    4Houston Rockets4931185661:53950.633
    5Minnesota Timberwolves5232206220:59670.615
    6Los Angeles Lakers4930195699:56930.612
    7Phoenix Suns5131205820:56940.608
    8Golden State Warriors5127245927:58120.529
    9Los Angeles Clippers5023275614:56550.460
    10Portland Trail Blazers5123285878:60240.451
    11Memphis Grizzlies4920295650:57330.408
    12Dallas Mavericks5019315690:58230.380
    13Utah Jazz5116356032:64720.314
    14New Orleans Pelicans5313406067:64110.245
    15Sacramento Kings5212405744:62680.231


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons4937125756:53870.755
    2Boston Celtics5133185913:55390.647
    3New York Knicks5133186028:57190.647
    4Cleveland Cavaliers5231216210:60190.596
    5Philadelphia 76ers5029215842:57640.580
    6Toronto Raptors5230225918:58500.577
    7Miami Heat5227256235:61370.519
    8Orlando Magic4925245634:56780.510
    9Atlanta Hawks5225276106:61500.481
    10Chicago Bulls5124275976:61280.471
    11Charlotte Hornets5123285914:58240.451
    12Milwaukee Bucks4920295495:56870.408
    13Brooklyn Nets4913365248:56300.265
    14Washington Wizards4913365491:60120.265
    15Indiana Pacers5113385658:60520.255

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )