Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball NBA Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets
Result
113:133
17/01/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USA: NBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
9192
Field Goals Made
4550
Field Goals %
49.5%54.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5859
2-Point Field Goals Made
3634
2-Point Field Goals %
62.1%57.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3333
3-Point Field Goals Made
916
3-Point Field Goals %
27.3%48.5%
Free Throws Attempted
1419
Free Throws Made
1417
Free Throws %
100%89.5%
Offensive Rebounds
67
Defensive Rebounds
3534
Total Rebounds
4141
Assists
3035
Blocks
01
Turnovers
86
Steals
25
Personal Fouls
1510
Technical Fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
42.1%
Denver Nuggets
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miami Heat's form might have worsened.
  • Denver Nuggets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denver Nuggets's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami Heat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Nuggets than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denver Nuggets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.7)

    1.67
    (2.2)
    3.4%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 228.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

  • Watch this match and NBA with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FanDuel Sports Network Sun
  • What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Denver will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 32%80.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 113:116.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Miami won 0.
    • Recent matches Miami is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Denver is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Miami could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Miami have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Miami: Smith D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Denver: Cancar V. (Knee Injury) Gordon A. (Injury) Holmes D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jokic N. (Elbow Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Miami won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 1989:2171 (average 99.5:108.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 774:838 (average 96.8:104.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat 135:122
    13.03.2024 Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets 88:100
    29.02.2024 Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat 103:97
    14.07.2023 Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat 112:81
    12.06.2023 Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat 94:89
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    Latest results of Denver Nuggets
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Memphis Grizzlies (8)4 : 0
    2Denver Nuggets (4)Los Angeles Clippers (5)4 : 3
    3Los Angeles Lakers (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)1 : 4
    4Houston Rockets (2)Golden State Warriors (7)3 : 4
    5Boston Celtics (2)Orlando Magic (7)4 : 1
    6New York Knicks (3)Detroit Pistons (6)4 : 2
    7Cleveland Cavaliers (1)Miami Heat (8)4 : 0
    8Indiana Pacers (4)Milwaukee Bucks (5)4 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Denver Nuggets (4)4 : 3
    2Minnesota Timberwolves (6)Golden State Warriors (7)4 : 1
    3Boston Celtics (2)New York Knicks (3)2 : 4
    4Cleveland Cavaliers (1)Indiana Pacers (4)1 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)4 : 1
    2New York Knicks (3)Indiana Pacers (4)2 : 4

    Final
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Indiana Pacers (4)4 : 3