Result
1:0
08/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 6
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (345/400) | 87% (355/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (345/400) | 87% (355/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (39/67) | 69% (47/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (48/64) | 72% (83/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Torres Patino J. P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pajaro R. ↓, Ramiirez S. ↑,
- 46', Moreno Y. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 46', Rovira B. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 49', Diaz Y. 🟨,
- 69', Lencina G. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
- 73', Balanta Carabali K. A. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 73', Florez K. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 77', Mera J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 78', Gonzalez J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 79', Aristizabal E. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 88', Marulanda J. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
54.1% | Draw
26.8% | Fortaleza CEIF
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.71) |
3.48 ↑
(3.4) |
4.83 ↓
(5.36) |
7.3%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Deportes Tolima (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportes Tolima will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportes Tolima will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final) and 4).
- Deportes Tolima is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fortaleza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Deportes Tolima will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportes Tolima has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Deportes Tolima?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
18.11.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
31.08.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:1
15.03.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
19.07.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
20.01.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:2
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Llaneros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Fortaleza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Cucuta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Dep. Cali | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Pereira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Chico | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
