Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF
Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.42
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
03
Passes
79% (285/363)84% (411/492)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.41
Total shots
96
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
03
Touches in opposition box
108
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
79% (285/363)84% (411/492)
Long passes
54% (34/63)50% (33/66)
Passes in final third
65% (42/65)66% (70/106)
Crosses
20% (1/5)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.69
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
1114
Tackles
100% (7/7)43% (3/7)
Duels won
3922
Clearances
279
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.410.84
Goals prevented
-0.59-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Gonzalez J. , Lencina G. (A),
  • 24', Perez K. , Torres Patino J. P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Diaz Y. 🟨,
  • 64', Velasquez S. , Hernandez J. ,
  • 64', Gonzalez M. , Larregui B. ,
  • 70', Cordoba S. , Martinez J. ,
  • 70', Florez K. , Amaya A. ,
  • 78', Rovira B. , Trujillo C. ,
  • 78', Ricaurte A. , Cuero S. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez J. , Parra Osorio A. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Valencia S. ,
  • 81', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
  • 83', Arroyo A. , Escorcia L. ,

Chances of winning


Deportes Tolima
62.2%
Draw
24.5%
Fortaleza CEIF
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 25.6% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 25% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.59)
    4.01
    (3.65)
    7.44
    (6.06)
    2.8%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Deportes Tolima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fortaleza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Deportes Tolima is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportes Tolima 1:1
    19.07.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportes Tolima 1:1
    20.01.2024 Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF 1:2
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga17104329:131634
    2Ind. Medellin1694334:221231
    3Junior1794431:211031
    4Fortaleza1787223:16731
    5Deportes Tolima1792622:15729
    6Atl. Nacional1677227:19828
    7Llaneros1774616:16025
    8Aguilas1766526:23324
    9America De Cali1765618:16223
    10Alianza1765621:21023
    11Santa Fe1757517:16122
    12Once Caldas1764719:23-422
    13Millonarios1763820:24-421
    14Dep. Cali1755721:25-420
    15Pereira1746718:24-618
    16U. Magdalena1753920:27-718
    17Envigado1737714:20-616
    18Chico1737713:23-1016
    19Dep. Pasto1727819:27-813
    20La Equidad1725109:26-1711

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )