Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (285/363) | 84% (411/492) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (285/363) | 84% (411/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (34/63) | 50% (33/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (42/65) | 66% (70/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Lencina G. (A),
- 24', Perez K. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Diaz Y. 🟨,
- 64', Velasquez S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 64', Gonzalez M. ↓, Larregui B. ↑,
- 70', Cordoba S. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 70', Florez K. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 78', Rovira B. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 78', Ricaurte A. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 78', Gonzalez J. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Valencia S. ⚽,
- 81', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
- 83', Arroyo A. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
62.2% | Draw
24.5% | Fortaleza CEIF
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.59) |
4.01 ↑
(3.65) |
7.44 ↑
(6.06) |
2.8%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Deportes Tolima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fortaleza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportes Tolima has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Deportes Tolima?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
15.03.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
19.07.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
20.01.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:2
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15:9 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Alianza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Pereira | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Millonarios | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | La Equidad | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Chico | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Aguilas | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
