Result
2:0
19/03/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (491/568) | 81% (238/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (491/568) | 81% (238/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (35/62) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (69/101) | 68% (56/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (17/19) | 100% (3/3) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Balanta J. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Torres Patino J. P. ⚽, Guzman S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arrieta C. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Sandoval L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 56', Navarro S. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 56', Velasquez J. ↓, Balanta Carabali K. A. ↑,
- 58', Rovira B. ↓, Ricardo E. ↑,
- 58', Gonzalez J. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 60', Mera J. 🟨,
- 70', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 76', Marulanda J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 76', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
- 81', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Pedrozo D. ↑,
- 82', Pico L. ↓, Vivas S. ↑,
- 83', Valencia J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
55.4% | Draw
27% | Fortaleza CEIF
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.71) |
3.45 ↑
(3.41) |
5.29 ↑
(5.11) |
7.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Deportes Tolima (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportes Tolima will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportes Tolima will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Deportes Tolima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Deportes Tolima?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
08.12.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:0
18.11.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
31.08.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:1
15.03.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
19.07.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:18 | -1 | 21 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:14 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Alianza | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Chico | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
