Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Carabali Y. 🟨,
- 39', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Porras A. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
- 46', Corado J. ↓, Vasquez T. ↑,
- 46', Quinteros F. ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
- 48', Cabezas Quinonez E. A. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 0, Correa J. ⚽,
- 74', Fajardo W. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 0, Martinez L. ⚽,
- 87', Correa J. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
- 88', Martinez L. ↓, Robles Hristopher ↑,
- 89', Andrade N. ↓, Guzman Miron D. J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Malacateco
66% | Draw
21.5% | Deportivo Achuapa
12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malacateco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malacateco's performance.Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Achuapa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (-17.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malacateco that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Achuapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.98) |
4.28 ↑
(3.31) |
7.34 ↑
(3.67) |
8.8%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Malacateco won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Achuapa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Malacateco is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Malacateco won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:16 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Malacateco won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 0.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Malacateco won against Deportivo Achuapa?
Malacateco has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Achuapa won against Malacateco?
Deportivo Achuapa has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malacateco - Deportivo Achuapa were as follows:
26.01.2025
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Malacateco
0:0
20.10.2024
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Malacateco
0:2
02.08.2024
Malacateco
-
Deportivo Achuapa
0:2
14.04.2024
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Malacateco
2:0
05.11.2023
Malacateco
-
Deportivo Achuapa
3:2
Latest results of Malacateco
Latest results of Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Mixco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Municipal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Antigua | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Deportivo Achuapa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Comunicaciones | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Aurora F.C | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Marquense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Guastatoya | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
