Deportivo Pasto vs Rionegro Águilas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas
Result
1:0
21/04/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Suarez L. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.67
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (247/305)85% (368/433)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.870.07
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
99
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1417
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
81% (247/305)85% (368/433)
Long passes
53% (31/59)59% (35/59)
Passes in final third
58% (52/89)75% (106/141)
Crosses
31% (4/13)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.71
Fouls
1115
Tackles
73% (8/11)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4241
Clearances Total
3416
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.070.87
Goals prevented
0.07-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Bone F. (Pen),
  • 19', Torres G. 🟨,
  • 23', Caicedo J. 🟨,
  • 30', Rios J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Castilla J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Bone F. , Castillo D. ,
  • 60', Rivas J. 🟨,
  • 67', Lozano D. , Caballero J. ,
  • 69', Torres G. , Vanegas R. ,
  • 71', Morelo W. , Benitez Hernandez R. A. ,
  • 81', Mena J. , Escobar Salcedo J. ,
  • 81', Rivas J. , Rojas C. ,
  • 85', Quinones D. , Ritacco G. ,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/mwr9n5ch

Chances of winning


Deportivo Pasto
46.6%
Draw
32.9%
Rionegro Águilas
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 27.9% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 28% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.91)
    2.84
    (3.36)
    4.53
    (4.08)
    6.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pasto won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Deportivo Pasto will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pasto won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:25 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Pasto won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
    29.10.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas 3:1
    06.04.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto 0:1
    30.09.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto 3:0
    10.06.2023 Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas 3:0
    28.05.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto 0:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
    Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1373323:111224
    2Fortaleza1366119:13624
    3Junior1264224:16822
    4Ind. Medellin1163221:15621
    5Atl. Nacional1255220:15520
    6Deportes Tolima1262414:9520
    7Llaneros1253410:10018
    8Dep. Cali1245317:16117
    9Santa Fe1245312:11117
    10Once Caldas1344516:16016
    11Alianza1244413:15-216
    12Pereira1235410:11-114
    13Millonarios1242614:17-314
    14America De Cali123459:10-113
    15Envigado122649:11-212
    16Aguilas1125411:15-411
    17U. Magdalena1232712:20-811
    18La Equidad122557:15-811
    19Chico1325610:21-1111
    20Dep. Pasto1224612:16-410

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