Rionegro Águilas vs Deportivo Pasto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 15
Referee: Camargo S. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.88	1.50
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
22	13
Shots on target
8	6
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
82% (375/455)	69% (166/241)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88	1.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.57	2.02
Total shots
22	13
Shots on target
8	6
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
13	9
Shots outside the Box
9	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
33	15
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
18	13
Passes
82% (375/455)	69% (166/241)
Long passes
63% (46/73)	46% (28/61)
Passes in final third
73% (124/170)	54% (30/56)
Crosses
25% (8/32)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.89	0.92
Throw-ins
18	13
Fouls
13	18
Tackles
67% (6/9)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
50	47
Clearances
12	45
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
xGOT faced
2.02	1.57
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Valois Y. ⚽,
9', Caicedo J. 🟨,
16', Hernandez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Espinal F. 🟨,
51', Caballero J. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
51', Puerta M. ↓, Alfonzo D. ↑,
52', Lozano F. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
64', Valois Y. 🟨,
68', Hernandez D. ↓, Rivaldo J. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Valois Y. ⚽, Bone F. (A),
77', 1 - 2, Morelo W. ⚽, Rivaldo J. (A),
80', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
81', Bone F. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
82', Espinal F. ↓, Camacho D. ↑,
82', Caicedo J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
87', Cabezas V. 🟨,
88', Ramirez M. ↓, Charales F. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Rivaldo J. ⚽, Pineda J. (A),
90+4', Pineda J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3aku2w2n

Chances of winning

Rionegro Águilas
49.7%

Draw
28.2%

Deportivo Pasto
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

30.6%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

30.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.9)	3.5 ↑ (3)	4.32 ↓ (4.33)	0.8% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rionegro Águilas: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.
Rionegro Águilas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportivo Pasto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Rionegro Águilas is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Deportivo Pasto?

Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Rionegro Águilas?

Deportivo Pasto has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:

21.04.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas 1:0

29.10.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas 3:1

06.04.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto 0:1

30.09.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto 3:0

10.06.2023 Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Águilas 3:0

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

08.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas 3:2 ✺

28.09.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali 3:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Llaneros SA - Rionegro Águilas 0:1 ✺

07.09.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Pasto

05.10.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar 3:3 ✺

01.10.2025 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto 4:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto 2:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali 0:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	16	9	4	3	30:19	11	31
2	Bucaramanga	15	9	3	3	26:12	14	30
3	Ind. Medellin	15	9	3	3	33:21	12	30
4	Atl. Nacional	16	7	7	2	27:19	8	28
5	Fortaleza	16	7	7	2	21:16	5	28
6	Llaneros	16	7	4	5	16:14	2	25
7	Deportes Tolima	15	7	2	6	18:14	4	23
8	Santa Fe	15	5	6	4	16:14	2	21
9	Aguilas	16	5	6	5	21:22	-1	21
10	America De Cali	16	5	5	6	16:15	1	20
11	Alianza	16	5	5	6	19:21	-2	20
12	Dep. Cali	16	5	5	6	20:23	-3	20
13	Once Caldas	16	5	4	7	18:23	-5	19
14	Pereira	16	4	6	6	17:19	-2	18
15	U. Magdalena	16	5	3	8	20:26	-6	18
16	Millonarios	15	5	2	8	18:23	-5	17
17	Envigado	16	3	7	6	14:18	-4	16
18	Dep. Pasto	16	2	7	7	19:25	-6	13
19	Chico	16	2	7	7	11:23	-12	13
20	La Equidad	15	2	5	8	9:22	-13	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )