Result
0:0
27/04/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | AFA Play, ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (461/535) | 56% (95/171) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (461/535) | 56% (95/171) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (41/62) | 40% (23/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (169/213) | 42% (28/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 57% (16/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Sanchez B. 🟨,
- 39', Paz C. 🟨,
- 42', Galdames P. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 45+1', Mino F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Avalos G. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
- 56', Tarzia D. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
- 64', Sanchez B. ↓, Guille B. ↑,
- 64', Diaz A. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
- 68', Alonso A. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 77', Millan L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
- 79', Gallo R. 🟨,
- 81', Cabral L. 🟥,
- 84', Sanabria M. 🟨,
- 90', Gallo R. ↓, Sayavedra R. ↑,
- 90+6', Celiz M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente
59.3% | Draw
26.9% | Deportivo Riestra
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente's performance.Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Riestra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Riestra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente - Deportivo Riestra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.82) |
3.54 ↑
(3.2) |
6.77 ↑
(4.6) |
5.4%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente - Deportivo Riestra?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Independiente is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match Independiente is a favorite.
- There will not play in Independiente: Montiel S.
(Inactive)
Paredes F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Monje P.
(Inactive)
Randazzo J.
(Inactive)
Tovo E.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Deportivo Riestra?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Independiente?
Deportivo Riestra has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:
06.10.2024
Independiente
-
Deportivo Riestra
3:1
15.03.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Independiente
1:0
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Huracan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Lanus | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Dep. Riestra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Gimnasia L.P | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Instituto | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Independiente | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
