Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - Deportivo Riestra
Result
0:0
27/04/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaAFA Play, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.93
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
86% (461/535)56% (95/171)
Yellow Cards
06
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.070.19
Total shots
147
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2621
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
138
Passes
86% (461/535)56% (95/171)
Long passes
66% (41/62)40% (23/57)
Passes in final third
79% (169/213)42% (28/67)
Crosses
12% (3/25)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.58
Throw-ins
1912
Fouls
813
Tackles
84% (16/19)57% (16/28)
Duels won
6162
Clearances
2444
Interceptions
311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.190.07
Goals prevented
0.190.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Sanchez B. 🟨,
  • 39', Paz C. 🟨,
  • 42', Galdames P. , Vera F. ,
  • 45+1', Mino F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Avalos G. , Gimenez M. ,
  • 56', Tarzia D. , Roman P. ,
  • 64', Sanchez B. , Guille B. ,
  • 64', Diaz A. , Benegas N. ,
  • 68', Alonso A. , Sanabria M. ,
  • 77', Millan L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 79', Gallo R. 🟨,
  • 81', Cabral L. 🟥,
  • 84', Sanabria M. 🟨,
  • 90', Gallo R. , Sayavedra R. ,
  • 90+6', Celiz M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
59.3%
Draw
26.9%
Deportivo Riestra
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 29% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 28.1% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente's performance.
  • Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Riestra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Riestra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Independiente - Deportivo Riestra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.82)
    3.54
    (3.2)
    6.77
    (4.6)
    5.4%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - Deportivo Riestra?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Independiente is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Independiente is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Montiel S. (Inactive) Paredes F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Monje P. (Inactive) Randazzo J. (Inactive) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Independiente - Deportivo Riestra 3:1
    15.03.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Independiente 1:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    2Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    3Barracas Central1044212:10216
    4Tigre1144310:8216
    5Estudiantes L.P1051411:11016
    6Huracan114436:8-216
    7Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    8Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    9Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    10Banfield114259:14-514
    11Belgrano1034310:8213
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys102449:12-310
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1053217:9818
    5San Lorenzo114439:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente90545:9-45

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)