Result
0:1
10/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (117/215) | 79% (356/453) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (117/215) | 79% (356/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/69) | 44% (28/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (52/104) | 63% (92/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
- 27', Loyola F. 🟨,
- 45+4', Barbieri M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Millan L. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
- 49', de Irastorza J. 🟨,
- 67', de Irastorza J. ↓, Zabala F. ↑,
- 72', Celiz M. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
- 76', Zabala F. 🟨,
- 83', Abaldo M. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
- 83', Loyola F. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 83', Alonso A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 84', Herrera J. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
- 90+2', Valdez S. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 1, Montiel S. ⚽, Cabral L. (A),
Chances of winning
Deportivo Riestra
32.5% | Draw
35.9% | Independiente
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Deportivo Riestra - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↓
(3.08) |
2.65 ↓
(2.77) |
3 ↑
(2.65) |
5.5%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.3% – 58.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Deportivo Riestra (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Deportivo Riestra (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Independiente (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- Deportivo Riestra is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R.
(Ankle Injury)
Tovo E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F.
(Inactive)
Valenzuela M.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Independiente?
Deportivo Riestra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Deportivo Riestra?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Riestra - Independiente were as follows:
27.04.2025
Independiente
-
Deportivo Riestra
0:0
06.10.2024
Independiente
-
Deportivo Riestra
3:1
15.03.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Independiente
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
