Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires).

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	0.36
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
6	9
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	8
Passes
54% (117/215)	79% (356/453)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.53	0.60
Total shots
6	9
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
1	4
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
0	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
12	23
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
11	11
Passes
54% (117/215)	79% (356/453)
Long passes
41% (28/69)	44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
50% (52/104)	63% (92/146)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	1.15
Throw-ins
20	20
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
65% (15/23)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
54	44
Clearances
37	31
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.60	0.53
Goals prevented
-0.40	0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
27', Loyola F. 🟨,
45+4', Barbieri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Millan L. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
49', de Irastorza J. 🟨,
67', de Irastorza J. ↓, Zabala F. ↑,
72', Celiz M. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
76', Zabala F. 🟨,
83', Abaldo M. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
83', Loyola F. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
83', Alonso A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
84', Herrera J. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
90+2', Valdez S. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 1, Montiel S. ⚽, Cabral L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Deportivo Riestra
32.5%

Draw
35.9%

Independiente
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

33.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

33.5%

35%

Deportivo Riestra - Independiente Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.08)	2.65 ↓ (2.77)	3 ↑ (2.65)	5.5% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra - Independiente?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.3% – 58.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Deportivo Riestra (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Deportivo Riestra (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Independiente (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
Deportivo Riestra is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R. (Ankle Injury) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Inactive) Valenzuela M. (Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Independiente?

Deportivo Riestra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Deportivo Riestra?

Independiente has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Riestra - Independiente were as follows:

27.04.2025 Independiente - Deportivo Riestra 0:0

06.10.2024 Independiente - Deportivo Riestra 3:1

15.03.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Independiente 1:0

Latest results of Deportivo Riestra

31.10.2025 San Lorenzo - Deportivo Riestra 1:0 ✺

20.10.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Instituto Córdoba 1:0 ✺

13.10.2025 Platense - Deportivo Riestra 1:1 ✺

06.10.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 2:2 ✺

28.09.2025 River Plate - Deportivo Riestra 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Independiente

01.11.2025 Independiente - Atlético Tucumán 3:0 ✺

24.10.2025 Independiente - Platense 3:0 ✺

19.10.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Independiente 1:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2 ✺

05.10.2025 Godoy Cruz - Independiente 1:1 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Velez Sarsfield	4	3	1	0	6:3	3	10
2	Lanus	4	2	2	0	8:6	2	8
3	Estudiantes L.P	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
4	Defensa y Justicia	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
5	Platense	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
6	Boca Juniors	4	2	0	2	5:4	1	6
7	Independiente	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6
8	San Lorenzo	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
9	Gimnasia Mendoza	4	2	0	2	2:5	-3	6
10	Union de Santa Fe	4	1	1	2	5:3	2	4
11	Talleres Cordoba	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
12	Central Cordoba	4	1	1	2	1:2	-1	4
13	Instituto	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
14	Dep. Riestra	4	0	1	3	1:4	-3	1
15	Newells Old Boys	4	0	1	3	4:8	-4	1

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	4	4	0	0	7:3	4	12
2	Tigre	4	3	1	0	10:3	7	10
3	Belgrano	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
4	River Plate	4	2	1	1	4:4	0	7
5	Sarmiento Junin	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
6	Gimnasia L.P	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
7	Barracas Central	4	1	2	1	3:2	1	5
8	Rosario Central	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
9	Huracan	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
10	Argentinos Jrs	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
11	Banfield	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
12	Aldosivi	4	0	3	1	2:4	-2	3
13	Racing Club	4	1	0	3	5:8	-3	3
14	Atl. Tucuman	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)