Result
0:0
27/04/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | AFA Play, ESPN Premium |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | K-Ball |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
South-america | ESPN South |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.68 | 0.93 |
Ball Possession |
---|
76% | 24% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
86% (461/535) | 56% (95/171) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 6 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.68 | 0.93 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.07 | 0.19 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
86% (461/535) | 56% (95/171) |
Long passes |
---|
66% (41/62) | 40% (23/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
79% (169/213) | 42% (28/67) |
Crosses |
---|
12% (3/25) | 44% (4/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.76 | 0.58 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
84% (16/19) | 57% (16/28) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 62 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 44 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.19 | 0.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.19 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Sanchez B. 🟨,
- 39', Paz C. 🟨,
- 42', Galdames P. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 45+1', Mino F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Avalos G. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
- 56', Tarzia D. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
- 64', Sanchez B. ↓, Guille B. ↑,
- 64', Diaz A. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
- 68', Alonso A. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 77', Millan L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
- 79', Gallo R. 🟨,
- 81', Cabral L. 🟥,
- 84', Sanabria M. 🟨,
- 90', Gallo R. ↓, Sayavedra R. ↑,
- 90+6', Celiz M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente 59.3% | Draw 26.9% | Deportivo Riestra 13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente's performance.Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Riestra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Riestra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente - Deportivo Riestra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↓ (1.82) |
3.54 ↑ (3.2) |
6.77 ↑ (4.6) |
5.4% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente - Deportivo Riestra?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Independiente is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match Independiente is a favorite.
- There will not play in Independiente: Montiel S.
(Inactive)
Paredes F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Monje P.
(Inactive)
Randazzo J.
(Inactive)
Tovo E.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Deportivo Riestra?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Independiente?
Deportivo Riestra has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:
06.10.2024
Independiente
-
Deportivo Riestra
3:1
15.03.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Independiente
1:0
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)