Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
0:1
10/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.36
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
54% (117/215)79% (356/453)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.530.60
Total shots
69
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1223
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
54% (117/215)79% (356/453)
Long passes
41% (28/69)44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
50% (52/104)63% (92/146)
Crosses
21% (3/14)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.15
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
1111
Tackles
65% (15/23)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5444
Clearances
3731
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.600.53
Goals prevented
-0.400.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
  • 27', Loyola F. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Barbieri M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Millan L. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
  • 49', de Irastorza J. 🟨,
  • 67', de Irastorza J. ↓, Zabala F. ↑,
  • 72', Celiz M. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
  • 76', Zabala F. 🟨,
  • 83', Abaldo M. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
  • 83', Loyola F. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
  • 83', Alonso A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
  • 84', Herrera J. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
  • 90+2', Valdez S. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
  • 90+5', 0 - 1, Montiel S. ⚽, Cabral L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Riestra
32.5%		Draw
35.9%		Independiente
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 33.9% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 33.5% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
    •

    Deportivo Riestra - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.91 ↓
    (3.08)    		 2.65 ↓
    (2.77)    		 3 ↑
    (2.65)    		 5.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.3% – 58.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Deportivo Riestra (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Deportivo Riestra (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Independiente (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Deportivo Riestra is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R. (Ankle Injury) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Inactive) Valenzuela M. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Riestra - Independiente were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Independiente - Deportivo Riestra 0:0
    06.10.2024 Independiente - Deportivo Riestra 3:1
    15.03.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Independiente 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
    31.10.2025 San Lorenzo - Deportivo Riestra 1:0 ✺
    20.10.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Instituto Córdoba 1:0 ✺
    13.10.2025 Platense - Deportivo Riestra 1:1 ✺
    06.10.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 2:2 ✺
    28.09.2025 River Plate - Deportivo Riestra 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Independiente
    01.11.2025 Independiente - Atlético Tucumán 3:0 ✺
    24.10.2025 Independiente - Platense 3:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Independiente 1:0 ✺
    12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Godoy Cruz - Independiente 1:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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