Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
0:1
10/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.36
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
54% (117/215)79% (356/453)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.430.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.530.60
Total shots
69
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1223
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
54% (117/215)79% (356/453)
Long passes
41% (28/69)44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
50% (52/104)63% (92/146)
Crosses
21% (3/14)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.15
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
1111
Tackles
65% (15/23)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5444
Clearances
3731
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.600.53
Goals prevented
-0.400.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
  • 27', Loyola F. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Barbieri M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Millan L. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
  • 49', de Irastorza J. 🟨,
  • 67', de Irastorza J. ↓, Zabala F. ↑,
  • 72', Celiz M. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
  • 76', Zabala F. 🟨,
  • 83', Abaldo M. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
  • 83', Loyola F. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
  • 83', Alonso A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
  • 84', Herrera J. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
  • 90+2', Valdez S. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
  • 90+5', 0 - 1, Montiel S. ⚽, Cabral L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Riestra
32.5%		Draw
35.9%		Independiente
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 33.9% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 33.5% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
    •

    Deportivo Riestra - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.91 ↓
    (3.08)    		 2.65 ↓
    (2.77)    		 3 ↑
    (2.65)    		 5.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.3% – 58.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Deportivo Riestra (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Deportivo Riestra (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Independiente (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Deportivo Riestra is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R. (Ankle Injury) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Inactive) Valenzuela M. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Riestra - Independiente were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Independiente - Deportivo Riestra 0:0
    06.10.2024 Independiente - Deportivo Riestra 3:1
    15.03.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Independiente 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
    31.10.2025 San Lorenzo - Deportivo Riestra 1:0 ✺
    20.10.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Instituto Córdoba 1:0 ✺
    13.10.2025 Platense - Deportivo Riestra 1:1 ✺
    06.10.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 2:2 ✺
    28.09.2025 River Plate - Deportivo Riestra 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Independiente
    01.11.2025 Independiente - Atlético Tucumán 3:0 ✺
    24.10.2025 Independiente - Platense 3:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Independiente 1:0 ✺
    12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Godoy Cruz - Independiente 1:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    3Lanus1053216:12418
    4Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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