Result
1:0
23/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.69 | 1.90 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
10 | 14 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 5 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 38 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 8 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Attacks |
---|
152 | 148 |
Dangerous Attacks |
---|
50 | 73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Pinnock M. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Hoskins S. ⚽, Appere L. (A),
- 45', Sibley L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Cashin E. 🟨,
- 60', McGowan A. ↓, Hondermarck W. ↑,
- 64', Adams E. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 64', Sibley L. ↓, Elder C. ↑,
- 64', Thompson L. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
- 65', Leonard M. 🟨,
- 70', Waghorn M. ↓, Washington C. ↑,
- 70', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 88', Moore L. ↓, Koiki A. ↑,
- 89', Fox B. ↓, Simpson T. ↑,
- 89', Appere L. ↓, McWilliams S. ↑,
- 90', Hoskins S. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
- 90+10', Bradley S. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town 12.7% | Draw 23.6% | Derby County 63.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Northampton Town - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.35 ↑ (4.6) |
4.03 ↑ (3.73) |
1.48 ↓ (1.74) |
6% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Northampton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Derby is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recently Derby have a series of home games.
- In this match Derby is indisputable favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Derby County?
Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Northampton Town?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Derby County were as follows:
31.10.2023
Derby County
-
Northampton Town
4:0
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Derby County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stevenage | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
2 | Cardiff | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
3 | Barnsley | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Bradford City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Huddersfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Luton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Lincoln | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
8 | Stockport County | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Doncaster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Exeter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
12 | Mansfield | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
13 | Wigan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
15 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
16 | Burton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
17 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
18 | Blackpool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
19 | Port Vale | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
20 | Wycombe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
21 | Reading | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
22 | Northampton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
23 | Plymouth | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
24 | Peterborough | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two