Derby County vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Derby County - Southampton
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 9
  • Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.44
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
78% (262/334)86% (506/585)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.921.50
Total shots
913
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1120
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
911
Passes
78% (262/334)86% (506/585)
Long passes
37% (22/59)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
66% (87/131)74% (112/151)
Crosses
16% (4/25)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.06
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
119
Tackles
50% (9/18)63% (5/8)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
3223
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.501.92
Goals prevented
0.500.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Armstrong A. ,
  • 15', Stewart R. 🟨,
  • 22', Forsyth C. 🟨,
  • 30', Stewart R. , Fellows T. ,
  • 32', Travis L. 🟨,
  • 33', Johnston M. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Agyemang P. , Weimann A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Scienza L. , Downs D. ,
  • 62', Weimann A. 🟨,
  • 68', Clark B. , Brewster R. ,
  • 69', Ozoh D. , Adams E. ,
  • 79', Charles S. , Downes F. ,
  • 79', Fraser R. , Azaz F. ,
  • 79', Agyemang P. , Jackson K. ,
  • 79', Weimann A. , Ward J. ,
  • 85', Downes F. 🟨,
  • 85', Morris C. , Salvesen L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
27.3%
Draw
28.5%
Southampton
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 27% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 26.7% 42.4%

Derby County - Southampton Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.46
(3.05)
3.34
(3.5)
2.15
(2.25)
5.3%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). S`hampton will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 20.4%61.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 2 - 40%). S`hampton (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 15).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • S`hampton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brewster R. (Injury) Langas S. (Knee Injury) Thompson L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Edozie S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Welington (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Southampton
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    2025/26
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