Derby County vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 32
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
germanyGermanyWOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN
turkeyTurkeyExxen
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.801.01
Ball possession
28%72%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
62
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
62
Passes
70% (159/226)87% (501/579)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.801.01
xG on target (xGOT)
2.220.21
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
27
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
55
Shots outside the box
610
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1220
Passes
70% (159/226)87% (501/579)
Long passes
46% (29/63)40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
56% (36/64)73% (107/146)
Crosses
36% (4/11)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.82
Throw ins
2219
Fouls
2012
Tackles
54% (7/13)90% (18/20)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
3012
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.212.22
Goals prevented
0.210.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Agyemang P. 🟨,
  • 44', Stamenic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Brewster R. ⚽,
  • 51', Clarke M. 🟨,
  • 65', Eom J. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
  • 65', Cullen L. ↓, Walta L. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Agyemang P. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
  • 72', Brewster R. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
  • 72', Fraulo O. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
  • 76', Cabango B. 🟨,
  • 77', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
  • 77', Ronald ↓, Widell M. ↑,
  • 85', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
  • 88', Szmodics S. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
  • 88', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
  • 90+5', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Morris C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
37.5%		Draw
29.6%		Swansea City
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 30.1% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.2% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swansea City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Derby County - Swansea City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.54 ↑
    (2.24)    		 3.2 ↑
    (3.1)    		 2.9 ↓
    (3.31)    		 5.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Derby County - Swansea City?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.5% – 68.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Swansea (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Swansea (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 20%). Swansea (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Swansea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Derby: Langas S. (Hamstring Injury) Morris C. (Ankle Injury) Travis L. (Red Card) Widell Zetterstrom J. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Swansea: Idah A. (Groin Injury) Inoussa Z. (Injury) Santos R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swansea: Widell M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Swansea City were as follows:
    25.11.2025 Swansea City - Derby County 1:2
    05.04.2025 Swansea City - Derby County 1:0
    27.11.2024 Derby County - Swansea City 1:2
    Latest results of Derby County
    07.02.2026 Derby County - Ipswich Town 1:2 ✺
    30.01.2026 Bristol City - Derby County 0:5 ✺
    23.01.2026 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 1:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 Charlton Athletic - Derby County 1:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Preston North End - Derby County 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Swansea City
    08.02.2026 Swansea City - Sheffield Wednesday 4:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Watford - Swansea City 0:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Hull City - Swansea City 2:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers 3:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Swansea City - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Millwall35188947:40762
    4Ipswich33179759:342560
    5Hull341861056:48860
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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