Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 32
- Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Germany | WOW |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport OTT 3, SupeSport ESPN |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (159/226) | 87% (501/579) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (159/226) | 87% (501/579) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (36/64) | 73% (107/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 90% (18/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Agyemang P. 🟨,
- 44', Stamenic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, Brewster R. ⚽,
- 51', Clarke M. 🟨,
- 65', Eom J. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
- 65', Cullen L. ↓, Walta L. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Agyemang P. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
- 72', Brewster R. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 72', Fraulo O. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
- 76', Cabango B. 🟨,
- 77', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 77', Ronald ↓, Widell M. ↑,
- 85', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
- 88', Szmodics S. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
- 88', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 90+5', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
37.5% | Draw
29.6% | Swansea City
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swansea City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derby County - Swansea City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.24) |
3.2 ↑
(3.1) |
2.9 ↓
(3.31) |
5.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Swansea City?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.5% – 68.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Swansea (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Swansea (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 20%). Swansea (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Swansea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Derby: Langas S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Morris C.
(Ankle Injury)
Travis L.
(Red Card)
Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Groin Injury)
Inoussa Z.
(Injury)
Santos R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Swansea: Widell M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Swansea City?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Derby County?
Swansea City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Swansea City were as follows:
25.11.2025
Swansea City
-
Derby County
1:2
05.04.2025
Swansea City
-
Derby County
1:0
27.11.2024
Derby County
-
Swansea City
1:2
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Swansea City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
