Result
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Derby County 42.9% | Draw 29.4% | Swansea City 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Derby County - Swansea City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↓ (2.24) |
3.21 ↑ (3.1) |
3.37 ↑ (3.31) |
6% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Swansea City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 9 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
- Derby is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Swansea has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Derby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Derby will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Swansea City?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Derby County?
Swansea City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Swansea City were as follows:
25.11.2025
Swansea City
-
Derby County
1:2
05.04.2025
Swansea City
-
Derby County
1:0
27.11.2024
Derby County
-
Swansea City
1:2
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Swansea City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 61 |
| 2 | Coventry | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 63:35 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 51:29 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Hull | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 54 |
| 5 | Millwall | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 53 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 44:39 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Preston | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 47 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 43:38 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Southampton | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 46 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
| 11 | Derby | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 45:39 | 6 | 45 |
| 12 | Watford | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
| 13 | QPR | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 42:43 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | Stoke | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 34:28 | 6 | 43 |
| 15 | Swansea | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 16 | Norwich | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 42:42 | 0 | 39 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 31 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 18 | Charlton | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | West Brom | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 32:47 | -15 | 34 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 27:38 | -11 | 33 |
| 21 | Leicester | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44:51 | -7 | 32 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 27:40 | -13 | 32 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 28:44 | -16 | 28 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 31 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 18:62 | -44 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One