Diocesano vs Calamonte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Koke ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', 1 - 1, ,
  • 69', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Diocesano
69%
Draw
19%
Calamonte
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 23.5% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 18.4% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diocesano's performance.
  • Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-21.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diocesano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calamonte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Diocesano - Calamonte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.51)
    4.99
    (3.9)
    7.93
    (5.84)
    5.3%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 4.
    • Diocesano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Calamonte is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Diocesano is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Diocesano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Calamonte were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Diocesano - Calamonte 3:0
    27.10.2024 Calamonte - Diocesano 1:1
    07.04.2024 Calamonte - Diocesano 1:4
    19.11.2023 Diocesano - Calamonte 3:0
    Latest results of Diocesano
    09.11.2025 Diocesano - Jaraíz 2:3
    02.11.2025 Montehermoso - Diocesano 1:1
    26.10.2025 Diocesano - Villanovense 0:0
    12.10.2025 Diocesano - Llerenense 2:1
    Latest results of Calamonte
    16.11.2025 Calamonte - Villafranca 2:2
    09.11.2025 Don Benito - Calamonte 2:0
    02.11.2025 Calamonte - Santa Amalia 1:2
    26.10.2025 Azuaga - Calamonte 1:0
    19.10.2025 Calamonte - Gévora 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito24156350:153551
    2Moralo24128438:241444
    3Jaraiz24119439:231642
    4Cabeza del Buey241011330:171341
    5CD Badajoz24135632:201241
    6Azuaga24117634:241040
    7Villanovense2498726:24235
    8Llerenense241041025:25034
    9Jerez CF24615338:29933
    10Villafranca2496928:29-133
    11Montijo24941126:27-131
    12Puebla24611724:28-429
    13Santa Amalia24851123:32-929
    14Gevora24581122:36-1423
    15Diocesano23481122:37-1520
    16CD Calamonte243101118:29-1119
    17Montehermoso24361517:44-2715
    18Pueblonuevo23351517:46-2914

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