Result
1:1
23/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Koke ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 69', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Diocesano
69% | Draw
19% | Calamonte
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diocesano's performance.Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-21.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diocesano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calamonte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Diocesano - Calamonte Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.51) |
4.99 ↑
(3.9) |
7.93 ↑
(5.84) |
5.3%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 4.
- Diocesano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Calamonte is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Diocesano is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Diocesano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Calamonte?
Diocesano has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Calamonte won against Diocesano?
Calamonte has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Calamonte were as follows:
09.03.2025
Diocesano
-
Calamonte
3:0
27.10.2024
Calamonte
-
Diocesano
1:1
07.04.2024
Calamonte
-
Diocesano
1:4
19.11.2023
Diocesano
-
Calamonte
3:0
Latest results of Diocesano
Latest results of Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
