Result
0:2
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.58 | 1.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
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7 | 18 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 7 |
Passes |
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51% (107/209) | 62% (176/285) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.58 | 1.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.03 | 1.54 |
Total shots |
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7 | 18 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 31 |
Offsides |
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4 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 12 |
Passes |
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51% (107/209) | 62% (176/285) |
Long passes |
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20% (14/71) | 24% (14/59) |
Passes in final third |
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42% (35/84) | 45% (46/103) |
Crosses |
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35% (8/23) | 43% (9/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.66 | 0.92 |
Fouls |
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12 | 8 |
Tackles |
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60% (9/15) | 60% (9/15) |
Duels won |
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58 | 78 |
Clearances Total |
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38 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.54 | 0.03 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.46 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Dieng T. 🟨,
- 33', Backwell T. 🟨,
- 45+1', Wood R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', Dieng T. 🟨,
- 59', Kelly P. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
- 59', Wood R. ↓, McGrath J. ↑,
- 60', Sharp B. ↓, Street R. ↑,
- 67', Backwell T. ↓, Dulson L. ↑,
- 67', Miller G. ↓, Hay A. ↑,
- 77', Gibson J. ↓, Sbarra J. ↑,
- 78', Anderson T. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
- 88', Sbarra J. 🟨,
- 89', 0 - 1, Sterry J. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
- 90+2', Bradbury T. ↓, Haynes R. ↑,
- 90+3', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, King T. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 2, Street R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town 18.9% | Draw 25.3% | Doncaster Rovers 55.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.92 ↑ (3.53) |
3.71 ↑ (3.48) |
1.69 ↓ (2.01) |
6.3% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Doncaster will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Cheltenham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Doncaster is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Doncaster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Cheltenham have a series of guest games.
- In this match Doncaster is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Doncaster: Ironside J.
(Inactive)
Maxwell J.
(Inactive)
McGrath J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bennett S.
(Inactive)
Bowman R.
(Inactive)
Power D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Young L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Doncaster: Olowu J.
(Inactive)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Doncaster Rovers?
Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Cheltenham Town?
Doncaster Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
07.12.2024
Doncaster Rovers
-
Cheltenham Town
2:2
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Crewe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Chesterfield | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
3 | MK Dons | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 7 |
4 | Grimsby | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
5 | Fleetwood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Swindon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Salford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
9 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
10 | Colchester | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
11 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
12 | Harrogate | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
13 | Gillingham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
14 | Cambridge Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
15 | Newport | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
16 | Barrow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
17 | Oldham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
18 | Notts Co | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
20 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 1 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
22 | Barnet | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
23 | Crawley | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
24 | Cheltenham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League