Cheltenham Town vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers
Result
0:2
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.51
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
51% (107/209)62% (176/285)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.031.54
Total shots
718
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1431
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
812
Passes
51% (107/209)62% (176/285)
Long passes
20% (14/71)24% (14/59)
Passes in final third
42% (35/84)45% (46/103)
Crosses
35% (8/23)43% (9/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.92
Fouls
128
Tackles
60% (9/15)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5878
Clearances Total
3831
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.540.03
Goals prevented
-0.460.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Dieng T. 🟨,
  • 33', Backwell T. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Wood R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', Dieng T. 🟨,
  • 59', Kelly P. , Clifton H. ,
  • 59', Wood R. , McGrath J. ,
  • 60', Sharp B. , Street R. ,
  • 67', Backwell T. , Dulson L. ,
  • 67', Miller G. , Hay A. ,
  • 77', Gibson J. , Sbarra J. ,
  • 78', Anderson T. , Ironside J. ,
  • 88', Sbarra J. 🟨,
  • 89', 0 - 1, Sterry J. , Molyneux L. (A),
  • 90+2', Bradbury T. , Haynes R. ,
  • 90+3', Jude-Boyd A. , King T. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 2, Street R. ,

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
18.9%
Draw
25.3%
Doncaster Rovers
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 26.9% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 25.8% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.
  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.92
    (3.53)
    3.71
    (3.48)
    1.69
    (2.01)
    6.3%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Doncaster will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Cheltenham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Doncaster is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Doncaster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Cheltenham have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Doncaster is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Ironside J. (Inactive) Maxwell J. (Inactive) McGrath J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bennett S. (Inactive) Bowman R. (Inactive) Power D. (Hamstring Injury) Young L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Doncaster: Olowu J. (Inactive)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Doncaster Rovers - Cheltenham Town 2:2
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League