Result
2:0
06/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 19
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (329/418) | 77% (304/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (329/418) | 77% (304/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (38/78) | 40% (30/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (88/129) | 58% (58/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kehrer E. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 57', van Asten R. 🟨,
- 61', El Allouchi M. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
- 65', Pynadath J. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
- 67', Drakpe A. 🟨,
- 76', Schuurman J. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Haen D. ⚽,
- 82', Afaker M. ↓, M'Bemba Y. ↑,
- 82', van Asten R. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
- 87', Doodeman N. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 0, Haen D. ⚽, van Aalst U. (A),
Chances of winning
Willem II
53.3% | Draw
22.6% | Dordrecht
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Willem II - Dordrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.73) |
4.14 ↑
(4.02) |
3.87 ↓
(3.99) |
7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Willem II - Dordrecht?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Willem II will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Willem II is a strong favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:15. (average 2.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Dordrecht?
Willem II has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Willem II?
Dordrecht has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Dordrecht were as follows:
30.10.2025
Willem II
-
Dordrecht
7:0
24.05.2025
Willem II
-
Dordrecht
4:2
21.05.2025
Dordrecht
-
Willem II
2:1
13.07.2024
Dordrecht
-
Willem II
4:4
03.05.2024
Dordrecht
-
Willem II
1:1
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 32 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 72:31 | 41 | 74 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 63:33 | 30 | 70 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 58:49 | 9 | 52 |
| 4 | Willem II | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | Jong PSV | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62:56 | 6 | 50 |
| 6 | Almere City | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 66:53 | 13 | 49 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 48 |
| 8 | Roda | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:47 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 43:43 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 55:57 | -2 | 43 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 31 | 12 | 4 | 15 | 45:55 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Venlo | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39:49 | -10 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 48:54 | -6 | 36 |
| 15 | Maastricht | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 39:61 | -22 | 36 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 49:49 | 0 | 33 |
| 17 | Helmond | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 37:56 | -19 | 33 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 32 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 53:63 | -10 | 31 |
| 20 | Oss | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 39:56 | -17 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
