El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Southwest University Park (El Paso, TX).

USL Championship
Referee: Bych I. (Ukr)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.70
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
7	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	10
Passes
81% (331/410)	83% (381/460)
Yellow Cards
3	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.11	0.32
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
3	1
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	10
Touches in opposition box
14	16
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
9	18
Passes
81% (331/410)	83% (381/460)
Long passes
34% (19/56)	38% (16/42)
Passes in final third
64% (55/86)	62% (64/104)
Crosses
20% (2/10)	15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	0.52
Fouls
18	9
Tackles
73% (11/15)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
42	54
Clearances Total
30	18
Interceptions
14	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	7
xGOT faced
0.32	1.11
Goals prevented
-0.68	-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Ortiz A. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
25', Djeffal S. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
45+1', Moreno A. 🟨,
45+3', Ackwei W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Nick Firmino 🟨,
55', Hafferty J. 🟨,
59', Rodrigues B. P. 🟨,
60', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
65', Ortiz A. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Burke C. ⚽, Goldthorp E. (A),
82', Ackwei W. ↓, Tony Alfaro ↑,
82', Moreno A. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
82', Sargeant K. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
90', Burke C. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

El Paso Locomotive
43.6%

Draw
26.5%

Lexington
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.2%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lexington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lexington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

El Paso Locomotive - Lexington Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.39)	3.48 ↓ (3.52)	3.08 ↑ (2.62)	8.5% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
El Paso is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Lexington is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lexington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
El Paso will have a mini benefit in this match.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Lexington?

El Paso Locomotive has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against El Paso Locomotive?

Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Lexington were as follows:

Latest results of El Paso Locomotive

02.04.2025 Ventura County - El Paso Locomotive 0:3 ✺

29.03.2025 Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 1:0 ✺

19.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Harpos 5:1 ✺

15.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 4:4 ✺

Latest results of Lexington

01.04.2025 Columbus Crew 2 - Lexington 3:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Lexington - San Antonio 2:3 ✺

22.03.2025 Lexington - Indy Eleven 1:1 ✺

19.03.2025 Lexington - Southern Indiana 5:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Orange County SC - Lexington 2:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	North Carolina	27	12	5	10	39:37	2	41
4	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
5	Hartford Athletic	26	11	5	10	40:29	11	38
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
9	Rhode Island	26	8	7	11	20:26	-6	31
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
7	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
8	Phoenix Rising	27	7	12	8	45:48	-3	33
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	26	7	6	13	33:44	-11	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	26	6	7	13	19:43	-24	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )