Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY).

USL Championship
Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.85
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
18	6
Shots on target
9	4
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
89% (405/457)	84% (327/391)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.70	1.69
Total shots
18	6
Shots on target
9	4
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
8	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
29	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
9	20
Passes
89% (405/457)	84% (327/391)
Long passes
65% (15/23)	31% (18/58)
Passes in final third
74% (98/132)	54% (25/46)
Crosses
48% (11/23)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.34	0.30
Throw-ins
23	12
Fouls
20	9
Tackles
50% (5/10)	87% (20/23)
Duels won
47	54
Clearances
8	29
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
1.69	0.70
Goals prevented
-0.31	-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Gilbert G. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Diaz M. ⚽,
29', Williams D. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Avila R. ⚽, Daroma F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gilbert G. ↓, Blessing L. ↑,
46', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
48', Epps M. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Burke C. ⚽, Ferri B. (A),
61', Hafferty J. 🟨,
64', Williams D. ↓, Ajago F. ↑,
73', Avila R. 🟨,
75', Daroma F. 🟨,
80', Avila R. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
87', Diaz M. ↓, Ackwei W. ↑,
90+10', Gabriel Torres ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
90+10', Moreno A. ↓, Romero B. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Lexington
41.9%

Draw
27.2%

El Paso Locomotive
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.6%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.7%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The chances for El Paso Locomotive have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-1%)

Lexington - El Paso Locomotive Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.25)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	7.7% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Lexington could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against El Paso Locomotive?

Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Lexington?

El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:

05.04.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Lexington 2:1

Latest results of Lexington

04.10.2025 Tulsa - Lexington 3:0 ✺

28.09.2025 New Mexico United - Lexington 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Detroit City - Lexington 0:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Lexington - Orange County SC 1:1 ✺

05.09.2025 Lexington - North Carolina 2:1 ✺

Latest results of El Paso Locomotive

04.10.2025 Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive 0:0 ✺

01.10.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots 3:1 ✺

26.09.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Rhode Island 2:2 ✺

20.09.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Charleston Battery 0:2 ✺

12.09.2025 North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive 1:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston ✔	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina ✔	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic ✔	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh ✔	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun ✔	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico ✔	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic ✔	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )