Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Bych I. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (331/410) | 83% (381/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (331/410) | 83% (381/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (19/56) | 38% (16/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (55/86) | 62% (64/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.52 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Ortiz A. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
- 25', Djeffal S. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
- 45+1', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ackwei W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Nick Firmino 🟨,
- 55', Hafferty J. 🟨,
- 59', Rodrigues B. P. 🟨,
- 60', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
- 65', Ortiz A. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 1, Burke C. ⚽, Goldthorp E. (A),
- 82', Ackwei W. ↓, Tony Alfaro ↑,
- 82', Moreno A. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
- 82', Sargeant K. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
- 90', Burke C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive
43.6% | Draw
26.5% | Lexington
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lexington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lexington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
El Paso Locomotive - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.39) |
3.48 ↓
(3.52) |
3.08 ↑
(2.62) |
8.5%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- El Paso is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Lexington is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lexington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- El Paso will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Lexington?
El Paso Locomotive has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against El Paso Locomotive?
Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Lexington were as follows:
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
