Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive
Result
0:0
04/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network SoCal
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.86
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
90% (409/455)86% (375/437)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.031.48
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2127
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
90% (409/455)86% (375/437)
Long passes
70% (26/37)72% (59/82)
Passes in final third
73% (80/109)78% (114/147)
Crosses
28% (5/18)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.70
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
1510
Tackles
60% (9/15)86% (18/21)
Duels won
3955
Clearances
2622
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.480.03
Goals prevented
1.480.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Rodriguez E. , Avila R. ,
  • 61', Dunbar C. , Jamison B. ,
  • 65', Coronado R. 🟨,
  • 71', Trager T. , War M. ,
  • 77', Hegardt C. , Molina R. ,
  • 77', Benalcazar N. , Espy T. ,
  • 80', Molina R. 🟨,
  • 81', Moreno A. , Sorto C. ,
  • 86', Kelly S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Pinto M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Gabriel Torres 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
40.6%
Draw
26.2%
El Paso Locomotive
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 27.6% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 26.4% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orange County SC's performance.
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orange County SC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Paso Locomotive could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (3.09)
    3.53
    (3.33)
    2.78
    (2.15)
    8.3%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orange County SC will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 3.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, El Paso has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    14.06.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC 0:3
    16.10.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC 0:2
    17.08.2024 Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive 0:1
    21.10.2023 Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive 1:0
    09.09.2023 Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive 0:0
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

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