Result
0:3
14/06/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (494/551) | 79% (263/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (494/551) | 79% (263/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (42/58) | 27% (12/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (131/169) | 57% (28/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/29) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.71 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 28', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Zubak E. ⚽,
- 41', 0 - 2, Ackwei W. (Own goal),
- 45+3', 0 - 3, Zubak E. ⚽, Benalcazar N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Avila R. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 46', Quezada A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 46', Daroma F. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
- 55', Sylla O. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
- 70', Latinovich V. 🟨,
- 72', Hegardt C. ↓, Ciotta N. ↑,
- 72', Zubak E. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 73', Dunbar C. 🟨,
- 76', Ruiz R. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
- 80', Dunbar C. ↓, Guimaraes P. ↑,
- 81', Partida K. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
- 90', Cabrera A. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive
45.8% | Draw
26.6% | Orange County SC
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.91) |
3.45 ↓
(3.72) |
3.33 ↓
(3.44) |
8.8%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. El Paso will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 2.
- El Paso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Orange County SC's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- El Paso might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Orange County SC?
El Paso Locomotive has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against El Paso Locomotive?
Orange County SC has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC were as follows:
16.10.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Orange County SC
0:2
17.08.2024
Orange County SC
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:1
21.10.2023
Orange County SC
-
El Paso Locomotive
1:0
09.09.2023
Orange County SC
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:0
08.04.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
Orange County SC
1:0
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
