Result
0:0
04/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network SoCal |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (409/455) | 86% (375/437) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (409/455) | 86% (375/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (26/37) | 72% (59/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (80/109) | 78% (114/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 86% (18/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Rodriguez E. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
- 61', Dunbar C. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
- 65', Coronado R. 🟨,
- 71', Trager T. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 77', Hegardt C. ↓, Molina R. ↑,
- 77', Benalcazar N. ↓, Espy T. ↑,
- 80', Molina R. 🟨,
- 81', Moreno A. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
- 86', Kelly S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Pinto M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Gabriel Torres 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orange County SC
40.6% | Draw
26.2% | El Paso Locomotive
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orange County SC's performance.El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orange County SC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Paso Locomotive could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(3.09) |
3.53 ↑
(3.33) |
2.78 ↑
(2.15) |
8.3%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Orange County SC will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
- Recently, El Paso has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against El Paso Locomotive?
Orange County SC has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Orange County SC?
El Paso Locomotive has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
14.06.2025
El Paso Locomotive
-
Orange County SC
0:3
16.10.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Orange County SC
0:2
17.08.2024
Orange County SC
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:1
21.10.2023
Orange County SC
-
El Paso Locomotive
1:0
09.09.2023
Orange County SC
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:0
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
