El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football  USL League One Cup El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising
Result
2:3 penalties
19/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.77
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
85% (341/402)82% (232/283)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.88
Total shots
198
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2812
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1817
Passes
85% (341/402)82% (232/283)
Long passes
60% (41/68)38% (13/34)
Passes in final third
66% (79/119)61% (36/59)
Crosses
33% (6/18)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.87
Throw-ins
2428
Fouls
1718
Tackles
77% (17/22)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5545
Clearances
1921
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.881.31
Goals prevented
0.88-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Twumasi K. (Own goal),
  • 7', Johnson D. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 1, Gabriel Torres , Avila R. (A),
  • 28', Avila R. 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 1, Cabrera A. , Gabriel Torres (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Montgomery B. 🟨,
  • 61', Coronado R. 🟨,
  • 62', Cabrera A. , Lopez F. ,
  • 64', Montgomery B. , Mar Boye P. ,
  • 64', Rizzo P. , Avayevu H. ,
  • 73', Ping J. , Emmers X. ,
  • 73', Ping J. , Emmers X. ,
  • 76', Lopez F. , Vazquez R. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Johnson D. ,
  • 86', Moreno A. , Mora O. ,
  • 86', Twumasi K. , Romero B. ,
  • 86', Coronado R. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 90+2', Dennis C. 🟨,
  • Penalties (6 - 7)
  • 1, Ortiz A. (Pen),
  • 1, Dennis C. (Pen),
  • 2, Gabriel Torres (Pen),
  • 2, Cuello E. (Pen),
  • 3, Rodriguez E. (Pen),
  • 3, Mar Boye P. (Pen),
  • 4, Ruiz R. (Pen),
  • 4, Margaritha J. (Pen),
  • 5, Vazquez R. (Pen),
  • 5, Sacko I. (Pen),
  • 6, Romero B. (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),

Chances of winning


El Paso Locomotive
41.6%
Draw
29.6%
Phoenix Rising
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 28.9% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 28.5% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.24)
    3.16
    (3.15)
    3.24
    (2.99)
    7.1%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 0.
    • El Paso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Phoenix Rising's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1.2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    15.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 4:4
    19.07.2024 Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive 2:0
    15.06.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    23.09.2023 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    12.08.2023 Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive 5:0
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising