Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 26
- Referee: Hasmann J. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Kehl L. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Badjie I. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, Gunther-Schmidt J. ⚽, Ehlers J. (A),
- 44', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
- 63', Badjie I. ↓, Lesueur T. ↑,
- 68', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
- 69', Ehlers J. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Lesueur T. ⚽, Kehl L. (A),
- 74', 1 - 3, Lesueur T. ⚽,
- 78', Clausen M. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
- 78', Stefaniak M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 80', Kehl L. ↓, Tesche R. ↑,
- 84', Zobel T. 🟨,
- 85', Uhlmann E. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 87', Proger K. ↓, Ajdini B. ↑,
- 87', Wagner F. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
- 87', Meissner R. ↓, Janotta T. ↑,
- 89', Tesche R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
30.1% | Draw
27.7% | Osnabrück
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osnabrück could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↓
(3.34) |
3.36 ↓
(3.52) |
2.2 ↑
(2.03) |
7.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Osnabrück (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Osnabrück will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 1.
- Aue is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Osnabrück is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Osnabrück may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Osnabrück is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aue won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Osnabrück?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osnabrück won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Osnabrück has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück were as follows:
20.09.2025
Osnabrück
-
Erzgebirge Aue
3:1
25.01.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Osnabrück
0:0
10.08.2024
Osnabrück
-
Erzgebirge Aue
0:2
04.02.2023
Osnabrück
-
Erzgebirge Aue
3:1
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 58 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 59:48 | 11 | 52 |
| 4 | Verl | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 67:41 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Duisburg | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 52:40 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 52:32 | 20 | 50 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 | Wehen | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42:32 | 10 | 48 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 47:53 | -6 | 42 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 49:39 | 10 | 40 |
| 12 | Viktoria Koln | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 |
| 14 | Regensburg | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 53:53 | 0 | 35 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 40:43 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | Aue | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:52 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Ulm | 29 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 38:61 | -23 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 41:64 | -23 | 23 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 29 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 26:68 | -42 | 14 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
