Result
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
27.6% | Draw
26.8% | Osnabrück
45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+2%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↑
(3.34) |
3.47 ↓
(3.52) |
2.02 ↓
(2.03) |
8.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 1.
- Aue has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Osnabrück is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Osnabrück is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aue won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Osnabrück?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osnabrück won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Osnabrück has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück were as follows:
20.09.2025
Osnabrück
-
Erzgebirge Aue
3:1
25.01.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Osnabrück
0:0
10.08.2024
Osnabrück
-
Erzgebirge Aue
0:2
04.02.2023
Osnabrück
-
Erzgebirge Aue
3:1
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cottbus | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 51:38 | 13 | 48 |
| 2 | Duisburg | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 46:32 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | VfL Osnabruck | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 38:24 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Verl | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 60:38 | 22 | 44 |
| 5 | RW Essen | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 48:41 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Wehen | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Ingolstadt | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 44:34 | 10 | 36 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 41:46 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Viktoria Koln | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 35 |
| 12 | Stuttgart II | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim II | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 32 |
| 14 | Alemannia Aachen | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 42:46 | -4 | 32 |
| 15 | Regensburg | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 28 |
| 17 | Aue | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28:40 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Ulm | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 33:51 | -18 | 23 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 35:55 | -20 | 19 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 25 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 10 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
