Erzgebirge Aue vs Osnabrück – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück
Result
0:0
25/01/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 21
  • Referee: Fuchs N. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV, Sportklub 5
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
montenegroMontenegroSportklub 5
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, Sportklub 5
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1519
Shots on Goal
1115
Shots off Goal
44
Corner Kicks
89
Goalkeeper Saves
1511
Free Kicks
1710
Offsides
11
Fouls
311
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
319

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Sijaric O. 🟨,
  • 35', Tesche R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tesche R. , Amoako K. J. ,
  • 47', Gnaase D. 🟨,
  • 68', Kayo B. , Henning B. ,
  • 68', Kehl L. , Simakala B. ,
  • 71', Tashchy B. , Pepic M. ,
  • 75', Karademir Y. , Gyamfi M. ,
  • 79', Sijaric O. , Fallmann P. ,
  • 84', Clausen M. 🟨,
  • 86', Clausen M. , Stefaniak M. ,
  • 88', Gyamfi M. 🟨,
  • 88', Muller M. , Goguadze N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
31.7%
Draw
26.8%
Osnabrück
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 26.8% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 27.2% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzgebirge Aue's form might have worsened.
  • Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osnabrück's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzgebirge Aue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osnabrück, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.44)
    3.48
    (3.47)
    2.25
    (2.64)
    7%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Osnabrück will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Osnabrück: 23.4%70.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aue won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Osnabrück could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Osnabrück will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Aue: Burghardt M. (Yellow Cards) Jakob K. (Red Card) Ozkan C. (Injury) Seitz S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Osnabrück: Oduah E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aue: Stefaniak M. (Illness)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Aue won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Osnabrück - Erzgebirge Aue 0:2
    04.02.2023 Osnabrück - Erzgebirge Aue 3:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Osnabrück
    18.01.2025 Osnabrück - Sandhausen 3:2
    09.01.2025 Hajduk Split - Osnabrück 1:0
    05.01.2025 Sportfreunde Lotte - Osnabrück Canceled
    22.12.2024 Verl - Osnabrück 1:1
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1RW Essen00000:000
    2Verl00000:000
    3Regensburg00000:000
    4Stuttgart II00000:000
    5Ingolstadt00000:000
    6TSV Havelse00000:000
    7Cottbus00000:000
    8Hansa Rostock00000:000
    9Duisburg00000:000
    10Alemannia Aachen00000:000
    11Wehen00000:000
    12Munich 186000000:000
    13VfL Osnabruck00000:000
    14Aue00000:000
    15Mannheim00000:000
    16Ulm00000:000
    17Saarbrucken00000:000
    18Schweinfurt00000:000
    19Hoffenheim II00000:000
    20Viktoria Koln00000:000

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