Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 26
- Referee: Hasmann J. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Kehl L. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Badjie I. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, Gunther-Schmidt J. ⚽, Ehlers J. (A),
- 44', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
- 63', Badjie I. ↓, Lesueur T. ↑,
- 68', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
- 69', Ehlers J. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Lesueur T. ⚽, Kehl L. (A),
- 74', 1 - 3, Lesueur T. ⚽,
- 78', Clausen M. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
- 78', Stefaniak M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 80', Kehl L. ↓, Tesche R. ↑,
- 84', Zobel T. 🟨,
- 85', Uhlmann E. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 87', Proger K. ↓, Ajdini B. ↑,
- 87', Wagner F. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
- 87', Meissner R. ↓, Janotta T. ↑,
- 89', Tesche R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
30.1% | Draw
27.7% | Osnabrück
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osnabrück could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↓
(3.34) |
3.36 ↓
(3.52) |
2.2 ↑
(2.03) |
7.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Osnabrück (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Osnabrück will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 1.
- Aue is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Osnabrück is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Osnabrück may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Osnabrück is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aue won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Osnabrück?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osnabrück won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Osnabrück has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück were as follows:
20.09.2025
Osnabrück
-
Erzgebirge Aue
3:1
25.01.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Osnabrück
0:0
10.08.2024
Osnabrück
-
Erzgebirge Aue
0:2
04.02.2023
Osnabrück
-
Erzgebirge Aue
3:1
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 2 | RW Essen | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 65:50 | 15 | 61 |
| 3 | Cottbus | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 61:44 | 17 | 60 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 55:42 | 13 | 57 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 57:36 | 21 | 56 |
| 6 | Verl | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 71:44 | 27 | 54 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Alemannia Aachen | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 57:52 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Wehen | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 48 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 51:56 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Viktoria Koln | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 46:44 | 2 | 44 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 44:48 | -4 | 42 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 | Ingolstadt | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 51:44 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 59:58 | 1 | 39 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 37 |
| 17 | Ulm | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 41:63 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | TSV Havelse | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 47:73 | -26 | 26 |
| 19 | Aue | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 32 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 30:76 | -46 | 17 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
