Result
0:3
14/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 34
- Referee: Sen A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (297/385) | 80% (332/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 40 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (297/385) | 80% (332/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 59% (37/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (89/128) | 74% (121/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.63 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.34 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Teklic T. ⚽,
- 25', Kirtay Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kurucuk F. ↓, Guzelbay C. ↑,
- 46', Cikalleshi S. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
- 57', Roshi O. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 2, Tozlu E. ⚽, Sylla C. (A),
- 62', Cekici E. ↓, Midilic Y. ↑,
- 64', Hatipoglu H. ↓, Alpsoy H. ↑,
- 70', Durmaz E. ↓, Cinar O. ↑,
- 81', Matur O. 🟥,
- 82', Giorbelidze G. ↓, Akkan G. ↑,
- 85', Roshi O. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 3, Tozlu E. ⚽, Teklic T. (A),
- 88', Koc S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Teklic T. ↓, Sever I. ↑,
- 90+1', Tozlu E. ↓, Kilinc K. ↑,
- 90+2', Crociata G. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Adanaspor
12.3% | Draw
21.3% | Erzurumspor
66.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adanaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adanaspor's form might have worsened.Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erzurumspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erzurumspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adanaspor - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.64 ↑
(5.28) |
4.3 ↑
(4.03) |
1.38 ↓
(1.58) |
8.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Adanaspor - Erzurumspor?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Adanaspor will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Erzurumspor: 46.1% – 91.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Adanaspor (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Erzurumspor (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Adanaspor (1.79) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +2 - Erzurumspor (3.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.75 - Erzurumspor (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Erzurumspor (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Erzurumspor (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Adanaspor (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.75 - Erzurumspor (5.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3.5 - Erzurumspor (8.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5 - Erzurumspor (4.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Adanaspor (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Erzurumspor (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:6.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1.
- Adanaspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Erzurumspor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Erzurumspor is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Adanaspor: Diakite C.
(Inactive)
Fofana A.
(Inactive)
Matur O.
(Yellow Cards)
Yepie Yepie S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Akgun S.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Erzurumspor to win the game is with odds 1.46.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:16 (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Adanaspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Adanaspor won against Erzurumspor?
Adanaspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Adanaspor?
Erzurumspor has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adanaspor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
07.12.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Adanaspor
1:0
18.02.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Adanaspor
1:0
24.09.2023
Adanaspor
-
Erzurumspor
1:0
12.11.2022
Erzurumspor
-
Adanaspor
3:2
Latest results of Adanaspor
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hatayspor is Relegated to
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
