Result
2:1
22/02/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 23
- Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (416/495) | 81% (374/463) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 67% (96/143) | 68% (97/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 31% (5/16) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 75% (18/24) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Bacher F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 0, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
- 57', Guitane R. ↓, Garcia Andrade F. ↑,
- 63', Andre Luiz ↓, Morais T. ↑,
- 63', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Bakoulas T. ↑,
- 66', Alvaro P. 🟨,
- 72', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Jandro ↑,
- 72', Begraoui Y. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 75', Pohlmann O. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Morais T. ⚽,
- 85', Alvaro P. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 85', Clayton ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
- 87', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Novais J. ↑,
- 88', Bakoulas T. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Jandro ⚽,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
44.9% | Draw
27.7% | Rio Ave
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Estoril Praia - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.06) |
3.44 ↑
(3.41) |
3.47 ↓
(3.6) |
5.1%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 19.5% – 68.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 1.
- Estoril in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Rio Ave is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Estoril will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B.
(Injury)
Medina T.
(Injury)
Neto M.
(Yellow Cards)
Petrasso F.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Estoril won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:33 (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:17 (average 1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Rio Ave?
Estoril Praia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Estoril Praia?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Rio Ave were as follows:
21.09.2024
Rio Ave
-
Estoril Praia
2:2
31.01.2024
Rio Ave
-
Estoril Praia
1:1
20.08.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Rio Ave
2:0
13.02.2023
Rio Ave
-
Estoril Praia
2:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
