Result
0:4
01/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 10
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 2.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (363/434) | 89% (539/604) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 2.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (363/434) | 89% (539/604) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (30/60) | 56% (23/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 78% (135/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 37% (11/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.07 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', Panzo J. 🟥,
- 27', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Holsgrove J. (A),
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Carvalho P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', Vrousai M. ↓, da Silva Moreira E. ↑,
- 56', Spikic D. ↓, Aguilera Zamora B. ↑,
- 59', Tsoungui A. ↓, Ferro ↑,
- 59', Costa G. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 3, Lacximicant A. ⚽, Holsgrove J. (A),
- 67', Holsgrove J. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
- 67', Jandro ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
- 68', Miszta C. 🟨,
- 70', 0 - 4, Begraoui Y. (Pen),
- 71', Andre Luiz ↓, Gual M. ↑,
- 71', Lomboto J. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
- 76', Clayton 🟨,
- 82', Begraoui Y. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
- 83', Clayton ↓, Graca J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
41.4% | Draw
28.8% | Estoril Praia
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Rio Ave - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.14) |
3.29 ↓
(3.75) |
3.14 ↑
(2.96) |
5.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Estoril (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Estoril (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Estoril (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 4 - 50%). Estoril (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Rio Ave has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Estoril: Xeka
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rio Ave: Richards O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Guitane R.
(Injury)
Sanchez R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Estoril Praia?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Rio Ave?
Estoril Praia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Estoril Praia were as follows:
22.02.2025
Estoril Praia
-
Rio Ave
2:1
21.09.2024
Rio Ave
-
Estoril Praia
2:2
31.01.2024
Rio Ave
-
Estoril Praia
1:1
20.08.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Rio Ave
2:0
13.02.2023
Rio Ave
-
Estoril Praia
2:0
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
